state of play: 07/08/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Voicemail to Tusk: "I Have No Good News for You": Dudek: Tusk's Twilight, Kęskrawiec: I Dare to Doubt He'll Recover, Flieger: Does He Still Have the Will to Fight?, Nizinkiewicz: The Government is Corroding

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-- "THE POISON GLAND HAS TURNED INTO A CANDY FACTORY FOR THE CIVIC PLATFORM". HOŁOWNIA ON PUBLIC MEDIA - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/07/08 -- PRESIDENT-ELECT WATCHED RAKÓW CZĘSTOCHOWA'S TRAINING SESSION IN ARŁAMÓW - WESZŁO VIA REPUBLIKA: “President-elect Karol Nawrocki, one month before moving into the palace and officially taking office, went on vacation to Arłamów. As journalists from TV Republika found out, the winner of the recent elections took the opportunity to watch Raków Częstochowa in action.” https://weszlo.com/2025/07/06/karol-nawrocki-rakow-czestochowa-sparing/ -- TUSK'S TWILIGHT - PROF. ANTONI DUDEK IN INTERIA: "On June 1st, Donald Tusk lost his position as a demiurge" – this is what I heard a few days ago from one of the most important politicians of the ruling coalition, and in light of the events that followed the second round of the presidential elections, it is difficult not to agree with him." -- IT TURNED OUT, HOWEVER, THAT HOŁOWNIA IS FED UP WITH PLAYING THE ROLE OF A PUPPET IN THE PRIME MINISTER'S PUPPET SHOW - DUDek CONTINUES: “It turned out, however, that Szymon Hołownia is fed up with playing the role of a puppet in the Prime Minister's puppet show, and as soon as the Chamber of Extraordinary Control and Public Affairs of the Supreme Court recognized the validity of Nawrocki's election, he announced that he would convene the National Assembly on August 6th and swear in Nawrocki.” -- TUSK QUITE EFFECTIVELY CONVINCED HIS SUPPORTERS THAT ONLY TRZASKOWSKI AND HIS TEAM WERE TO BLAME FOR THE DEFEAT, NOT THE GOVERNMENT LED BY HIM - ANTONI DUDEK AGAIN: “From the ranks of KO, not a single voice of a significant politician was heard after June 1st demanding that Tusk explain his mistakes, which facilitated Nawrocki's victory. And there were many of them. Starting from the fact that he did not make Rafał Trzaskowski the face of the deregulation project (which could have helped win a slightly larger percentage of Mentzen's voters from the first round) and did not give him any other significant electoral tool, ending with a pathetic performance on Polsat, in which he ridiculed the credibility of Onet's publications about Nawrocki by referring to the freak-fighter Jacek Murański. Tusk quite effectively convinced his supporters that only Trzaskowski and his team were to blame for the defeat, not the government led by him, whose increasingly low ratings obviously weakened the chances of the Mayor of Warsaw.” -- THE TWILIGHT OF THE SECOND, THIS TIME MUCH SHORTER, ERA OF DONALD TUSK'S PERSONAL RULE - PROF. DUDek'S CONCLUSION IN INTERIA: “Regardless of how much longer Tusk survives as Prime Minister, one must look at him only through rose-tinted glasses to believe that this politician will be able to lead the Civic Coalition to another electoral victory. Because on June 1st, the twilight of the second, and this time much shorter, era of Donald Tusk's personal rule began.” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-zmierzch-tuska,nId,22162700 -- TUSK LOST SOCIAL SUPPORT AND I DARE TO DOUBT HE WILL REGAIN IT. CYCLICALLY ANNOUNCED OPENINGS AND ACCELERATIONS TURN OUT TO BE EMPTY SLOGANS - MAREK KĘSKRAWIEC IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Tusk has lost social support, and I dare to doubt he will regain it. Cyclically announced openings and accelerations turn out to be empty slogans (does anyone still remember the promise of one hundred deregulation laws by the end of May?), and the main energy is directed towards secondary topics, exciting at most the hardest electorate of KO. This was also the case in June, which passed in the shadow of Roman Giertych's campaign to convince society that the scale of irregularities in the elections made it impossible to swear in Karol Nawrocki as president. The effects can be seen in the latest CBOS poll: opponents of the government are now 47%, and supporters only 32%. It looks even worse for the Prime Minister himself – as many as 58% of respondents want him to leave. This is a worse result than Mateusz Morawiecki's ratings on the day of PiS's electoral defeat in the autumn of 2023.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/rzad-donalda-tuska-na-krawedzi-czy-szymon-holownia-zdradzi-sojusznikow-191177 -- IF DONALD TUSK DOES NOT STOP THE GOVERNMENT CRISIS, IT IS TIME FOR EARLY ELECTIONS - JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The vote on the motion of confidence in the government in the Sejm changed nothing. The appointment of a government spokesperson changed nothing. Tusk's government is corroding. The poll drops for the Civic Coalition are getting bigger, and the aversion of most Poles to the current Prime Minister is growing. It is not good. And it will get worse. (...) The decay of the government should not poison the state. In a situation of war in the East and unstable international politics, Poland needs a stable, predictable, and effective ruling team. Is Donald Tusk still at the head of such a team?” -- SZŁAPKA ALSO DID NOT IMPROVE THE GOVERNMENT'S COMMUNICATION, WHICH SHOWS THE AUTHORITIES' INABILITY TO DEAL WITH THE SITUATION AT THE BORDER - NIZINKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “Donald Tusk is increasingly isolated. There is also dissatisfaction with the leader within PO. Trzaskowski's loss, personnel changes, decreasing contact with the 'manager,' Radosław Sikorski gaining strength, Roman Giertych having access to the Prime Minister's ear – these are some of the grievances and divisions within PO. Adam Szłapka also did not improve the government's communication, which shows the authorities' inability to cope with the situation at the border and the militias of Robert Bąkiewicz.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42667411-jacek-nizinkiewicz-jesli-donald-tusk-nie-zatrzyma-kryzysu-rzadu-czas-na-przyspieszone-wybory -- DONALD TUSK BELIEVED HE COULD ONLY LOSE NOW - ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “There is a decisive moment in politics when a given politician begins to believe that they will win – during an election campaign, the psychological barrier disappears. The conviction that one can only lose now likely has a similar power.” -- IN THE END, TUSK LACKS VISION. DOES HE STILL HAVE THE WILL TO FIGHT? - FLIEGER CONTINUES IN RZ: “Perhaps the fundamental difference between Donald Tusk and Jarosław Kaczyński, which determines why one comes for a moment and the other rules for years, is this: the leader of Platforma only wanted to defeat the PiS leader, while the latter always wants to change reality. Because in the end, Tusk lacks vision. Does he still have the will to fight?” https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art42665711-estera-flieger-donald-tusk-uwierzyl-ze-moze-juz-tylko-przegrac -- TODAY, OUTRAGE IS DIRECTED AT HOŁOWNIA FROM THE SAME SIDE THAT ENCOURAGED HIM NOT LONG AGO TO BREAK THE CONSTITUTION HIMSELF - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “The only difference is that today outrage is directed at Hołownia from the same side that encouraged him not long ago to break the constitution himself. It was from the Civic Platform and its media entourage that suggestions came to risk breaking the constitution and not convening the National Assembly. Or – even further – to interrupt the Assembly, not to administer the oath to Karol Nawrocki, but to seize power himself. You really don't have to be a PiS sympathizer to know that this would be an action on the verge of a coup d'état.” -- CRITICISM OF HOŁOWNIA FOR BETRAYING DEMOCRATIC IDEALS IS WORTH LITTLE, BECAUSE IT IS PART OF THE SAME TRIBAL POLARIZATION - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “Therefore, today, criticism of Hołownia from this side for betraying democratic ideals is not worth much. It is part of the same tribal polarization that has been devastating Polish politics for years. And which Hołownia wanted to oppose. But he failed.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42667411-michal-szuldrzynski-hejt-hipokryzja-i-holownia-ktory-sie-spotyka-z-kaczynskim -- BIRTHDAYS: Mirosława Stachowiak-Różecka, Mirosław Drzewiecki, Stanisław Koziej, Jerzy Kopaczewski, Paweł Pudłowski.

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