state of play: 06/05/2025

THE STATE OF PLAY: Our Thesis: If the Government Doesn't Get Back Up, Tusk and KO Won't Either. Is Senyszyn's Myth Shattered? Is She Still a "Witch"?

Łukasz Mężyk

-- IS SENYSZYN'S MYTH SHATTERED? SE QUOTES HER WORDS: CHILDREN CANNOT BE ALLOWED ABSOLUTELY EVERYTHING. BOUNDARIES MUST BE SET. AND AS WE CAN SEE, THE NAWROCKI'S DAUGHTER SIMPLY HAS NO BOUNDARIES: – It wasn't a witch hunt against the child, Professor Joanna Senyszyn tells "Super Express." – It was a criticism of parents who failed to control their own child, she adds. – Children cannot be allowed absolutely everything. Boundaries must be set for them. And as we can see, the Nawrockis' daughter simply has no boundaries, she assessed. – It's hard to talk about hate speech against a child who is being criticized, because a child at this age should not be following social media or reading anything about themselves, she said in an interview with SE. – If parents allow a child to read such things about themselves, then it is the parents who should be criticized, not the commenters, says the former MEP.” https://polityka.se.pl/wiadomosci/joanna-senyszyn-o-sprawie-corki-nawrockiego-to-nie-hejt-rodzice-nie-zapanowali-nad-dzieckiem-aa-AxNZ-LAf9-3afw.html -- OLA KWAŚNIEWSKA SEES THE MATTER DIFFERENTLY THAN JOANNA SENYSZYN AND HER "BEADS": “I'm doing a detox from politics, but people keep asking me what I think about it. Hating a child is hating a child. It doesn't matter whose child it is. And it doesn't matter how frustrated you are with the election results. I'm sure you can do better,” Kwaśniewska commented. https://www.pudelek.pl/aleksandra-kwasniewska-oburzona-krytyka-jaka-spadla-na-corke-karola-nawrockiego-robi-sobie-detoks-7164093506444192a *** -- SZEFERNAKER: DO YOU KNOW THE OSCE REPORT? TVN IS MENTIONED THERE 8 TIMES - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/06/05 -- AFTER APPLYING A CORRECTION FOR NON-RESPONDENTS, THE EXIT POLL RESULTS SHOW NAWROCKI LEADING ON ELECTION DAY REGARDLESS OF VOTING TIME - RESULTS ONLY CAME CLOSE AROUND 4 AND 6 PM: https://x.com/LukasPawlowski/status/1929877665554579660 -- BIG PICTURE - OUR THESIS: IF THE GOVERNMENT DOESN'T GET BACK UP, TUSK AND KO WON'T EITHER. -- ZOOM: -- LET'S AGREE: THERE WILL BE NO NEW BEGINNING - MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI - CO-EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF OKO.PRESS: “Let's agree that there will be no new beginning. The confidence vote will be approved, then Nowa Lewica will agree to everything because they have no idea what they would be doing anyway. Trzecia Droga will snatch one or two more ministries during the reconstruction, and so they might limp on until spring 2027.” https://x.com/synczeslawa/status/1930373779076620791 -- CHANGES ARE NEEDED IN THE GOVERNMENT, BUT THE COALITION DISAGREES ON THEM - MONIKA WALUŚ ON ONE-NET: “Politicians from the parties forming it unanimously admit that changes are needed in the government. However, just like before the elections, there is no agreement within the coalition on what those changes should look like. – Replacing or removing a few deputy ministers won't help if the Prime Minister's Chancellery itself continues to sabotage our work, we hear from Lewica.” -- COALITION PARTNERS ARE TRYING TO SHIFT THE BLAME TO KO - WALUŚ WRITES ON ONE-NET ABOUT RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE KO CANDIDATE'S DEFEAT: “Now, the coalition partners, although also disheartened by the defeat of the democratic candidate, instead of hiding, are trying to shift the blame to Civic Coalition. And thus, to buy themselves a better negotiating position during the renegotiation of the coalition agreement and the aforementioned government reconstruction.” -- THE PREVIOUS ACCELERATION DIDN'T SUCCEED - WE READ AT WALUŚ ON ONE-NET: “- The acceleration that Prime Minister Tusk announced a few months ago did not succeed. We need a new beginning, a reset, and we move on – adds her party colleague. – How do you imagine that, since you disagreed with Lewica on every other issue? You didn't need a president to break an election promise – I remind the farmer. – That's true, so we need to find new common ground – he says enigmatically. When asked if there's any idea for that, he admits that they might agree with Lewica to delegate part of the housing policy to local governments, which have experience in this area.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/wynik-wyborow-zadal-cios-w-wizerunek-tuska-na-ostatniej-prostej-szkodzil/frhl3tn,79cfc278 -- AS ONE POLITICIAN RELATES TO US, THE PRIME MINISTER REPEATEDLY SAID NOT TO LET ANYONE CONVINCE THEM THAT THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION "WAS A DEFEAT" - ARLETA ZALEWSKA ON TVN24: “- The leader announced a change in the government's communication policy and the appointment of a spokesperson, a KO politician tells us. The absence of a government spokesperson for many months has been a point of contention among coalition partners, who believe it is a mistake and that the entire coalition is losing out because of it. Tusk has long maintained that he and the ministers are the best spokespersons. However, this is set to change. No name was mentioned on Wednesday evening, however. – I am not going to be a coach who improves your moods, Donald Tusk reportedly said. As one politician relates to us, the prime minister repeatedly said not to let anyone convince them that the presidential election "was a defeat.” -- THE MP FROM KOSZALIN WAS THE ONLY ONE WHO ATTACKED TRZASKOWSKI'S CAMPAIGN TEAM: “- At times it was almost too sweet, an MP tells us. But then she adds: many people clearly felt sorry for Rafał. When asked if there was any criticism in the room, we hear that there was only one MP who, during her speech, tried to attack the campaign team and demand a discussion about the mistakes made during the campaign. – I saw this lady for the first time, a politician tells us. Another KO MP: it was MP Barbara Grygorcewicz from Koszalin, but her speech was not well received in the room.” -- TUSK IS TO MEET WITH EACH MINISTER: “During Tuesday's Council of Ministers meeting, Donald Tusk announced a major government reconstruction. The plan is concrete. In July, Tusk will meet individually with each minister and during these conversations, he will announce who stays and who loses their position.” https://tvn24.pl/polska/podcast-polityczny-rafal-trzaskowski-dostal-brawa-znamy-kulisy-posiedzenia-klubu-koalicji-obywatelskiej-st8496612 -- IT'S ALL BEEN DONE BEFORE: -- TUSK ALREADY SPOKE ABOUT INDIVIDUAL MEETINGS WITH MINISTERS ON SEPTEMBER 4, 2024, IN GDANSK...…: “Donald Tusk to ministers: you will be held accountable. Meetings with social groups will take place. At a meeting with ministers in Gdansk, Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced accountability for actions and mistakes. Ministers are to hold meetings with social groups, with the prime minister himself present.” -- WERE THESE MEETINGS HELD? -- 9 MONTHS AGO, THE PRIME MINISTER ALSO "ACCOUNTED" FOR MINISTERS AND WAS "HARSH" WITH THEM: “- You will also be held accountable. For actions, for mistakes. (...) You will all find the courage and help me organize meetings with the most interested groups in areas where things are not going well, to talk with those who are not entirely satisfied with our actions – said Prime Minister Donald Tusk.” https://fakty.tvn24.pl/zobacz-fakty/donald-tusk-do-ministrow-bedziecie-rozliczani-odbeda-sie-spotkania-z-grupami-spolecznymi-st8067086 -- SOMEONE ON X CALCULATED THAT THIS IS AT LEAST TUSK'S 9TH "NEW BEGINNING": https://x.com/fiat_money/status/1929681257891324385 -- ALL OF THE PLATFORM'S "NEW BEGINNINGS." HOW MANY TIMES CAN ONE CHANGE COURSE? - MARCIN MAKOWSKI ALREADY WROTE IN 2015: https://makowskimarcin.pl/wszystkie-nowe-otwarcia-platformy-ile-razy-mozna-zmieniac-kurs/ -- IN HIS EXPOSÉ, DONALD TUSK ALSO COMMITTED TO FINDING TIME EVERY MONTH TO CONFESS ON BEHALF OF HIS GOVERNMENT WHAT THEY HAVE DONE, "WHAT HAS SUCCEEDED, WHERE THE PROBLEM LIES": “I would like to commit here that every month, somewhere in Poland, openly, publicly, whether 10,000 people come or 5 people, I will find time to confess on behalf of my government what we have done, what has succeeded, where the problem lies – honestly and truthfully, we will present such a report to Poles every month. We cannot, we have no right to waste this great rebirth. October 15th marked a great rebirth of Poles. It's time for a happy Poland.” https://www.gov.pl/web/premier/stenogram-expose-premiera-donalda-tuska -- AFTER THE CONFIDENCE VOTE FOR THE GOVERNMENT AS AN INSTRUMENT CONFIRMING SUPPORT, PRIME MINISTER DONALD TUSK HAS REACHED FOR IT TWICE - IN 2012 AND 2014 - PAP NOTED: https://www.pap.pl/aktualnosci/wotum-zaufania-dla-rzadu-premier-tusk-siegal-po-nie-juz-wczesniej -- OH, DONALD PROBABLY DIDN'T LIKE THAT TOO MUCH - KAMIL DZIUBKA'S CONVERSATION PARTNER ON ONE-NET ABOUT THE LOUD APPLAUSE FOR TRZASKOWSKI AT THE KO CLUB IN THE KPRM: “- Oh, Donald probably didn't like that too much, an MP from Civic Coalition, who came to the government headquarters on Aleje Ujazdowskie in Warsaw last night, tells Onet. Our interlocutor describes the entrance of Rafał Trzaskowski into the Anna Walentynowicz Hall at the KPRM in this way. According to our sources, the mayor of Warsaw, who had lost the presidential race to Karol Nawrocki just three days earlier, received thunderous applause.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/kulisy-narady-donalda-tuska-z-klubem-ko-wstep-do-ciezkiej-rozgrywki/7hqh2px,79cfc278 -- ROMAN GIERTYCH HAS OFFICIALLY JOINED PO IN KIELCE - IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “- Tusk only told us that talks with the coalition partners are difficult. But I admit that the prime minister is in good shape, which is encouraging. And one more thing: Roman Giertych, previously unaffiliated, has joined PO in Kielce, summarizes our interlocutor.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31998949,po-spotkaniu-tuska-z-parlamentarzystami-ko-nieoficjalnie-bedzie.html -- LUDWIK DORN WOULD HAVE TURNED 71 TODAY. -- BIRTHDAYS: Jacek Protasiewicz, Czesław Sobierajski, Leszek Dobrzyński, Artur Zasada.

Łukasz Mężyk