state of play: 05/05/2025
— EXIT POLLS IN ROMANIA GAVE SIMON 30-33% https://x.com/kamilcaus/status/1919104719911330106?s=46&t=K_brXCL7Ambpzi_jCOU9JA
— AND HE RECEIVED 40.96% IN THE ELECTIONS
https://prezenta.roaep.ro/prezidentiale04052025/pv/romania/results/
— PRESIDENT OF THE INSTITUTE OF NATIONAL REMEMBRANCE AND PIS PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE CONCEALED UNCOMFORTABLE AND COMPROMISING FACTS IN THE BIOGRAPHY OF PIS DEPUTY LEONARD KRASULSKI – WRITES WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND KRZYSZTOF KATKA IN GW: “Similarly, Nawrocki selectively treated the biography of Leonard Krasulski, the subject of as many as three book publications by the President of the IPN. As in the case of Duffek, Nawrocki omitted compromising facts from his life. (...) 'Loniek' was one of the protagonists of as many as three book publications by Karol Nawrocki. He was also his guide through the world of the opposition in the 1980s. Nawrocki did not present the compromising facts from the current deputy's life.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31905231,wybielona-biografia-leonarda-krasulskiego-czego-nie-napisal.html
— PIS PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE CLAIMS HE COULD NOT CARE FOR MR. JERZY BECAUSE HE HASN'T BEEN ABLE TO FIND HIM SINCE DECEMBER. WE FOUND HIM WITHIN HOURS – JACEK HARŁUKOWICZ AND ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN ONET: “The elderly man whose apartment was taken over by Karol Nawrocki has been placed in a state-run Social Welfare Home – Onet has established. Nawrocki was supposed to care for him in exchange for the property previously acquired. The PiS presidential candidate claims he couldn't care for Mr. Jerzy because he hasn't been able to find him since December. We found him within hours.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onettrojmiasto/to-jego-mieszkanie-przejal-karol-nawrocki-znalezlismy-80-letniego-pana-jerzego/1d7jmh0,79cfc278
— THE ENTIRE STATE IS TRYING TO DESTROY THIS MAN” – MASTALEREK ON NAWROCKI, „CONNECTIONS OF GANGSTERISM WITH PROPERTY ACQUISITION”. NOWACKA EXPECTS EXPLANATIONS FROM NAWROCKI REGARDING HIS COLLEAGUES – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/05/05/
— WE CAN ONLY IMAGINE WHERE WE WOULD BE IF WE COULD CALL OUR POLITICAL ELITES ELITES WITHOUT IRONY – PROF. RADOSŁAW MARKOWSKI IN AN INTERVIEW WITH ANNA KALITA IN GAZETA.PL: “At the same time – somewhat by chance – it has happened that we are a country of civilizational and economic success. This is the biggest sore point, that part of the political class and citizens of this country do not understand how invaluable joining the European Union was for us. In the 1990s, Ukraine, Macedonia, and a few other countries had the same GDP as Poland, or higher. Today, there is no comparison. None! We have reached 80 percent of the European Union average. This gigantic success was achieved despite the fact that our political class does not look qualitatively good. We can only imagine where we would be if we could call our political elites elites without irony.”
— IN 20-30 YEARS, WE WILL ONLY DISCUSS WHETHER DEMOCRATIC OR AUTHORITARIAN SYSTEMS WILL BE ABLE TO STOP THE PROCESSES THREATENING LIFE ON EARTH – MARKOWSKI CONTINUES TO KALITA IN GAZETA.PL: “There are universities in the world where subjects are taught that include learning new ways of calculating production costs so as not to treat the planet as a bottomless well. However, in our country, many excellent things have happened in the last 30 years, but if you look at maps showing the 50 most polluted European cities, more than half are Polish cities. So where are the ecological threads? All divisions into right-wingers, who love AfD and Trump, and left-wingers, and discussions about which version of the abortion compromise is better – yes, that is important – but it will soon cease to matter. In 20-30 years, we will only discuss whether democratic or authoritarian systems will be able to stop the processes threatening life on Earth. How is it possible that our poor young people, who chain themselves to bridges, are not heard? Point me to one candidate who says anything about the dying planet?! No one. Nothing.”
https://weekend.gazeta.pl/weekend/7,177333,31898368,kandydaci-czekaja-kiedy-babunia-z-niska-emerytura-kupi-kapuste.html
— IF PIS AND KONFEDERACJA REACH THE PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS IN A RELATIVELY UNCHANGED CONFIGURATION, THEN THEY WILL HAVE EVERY CHANCE TO TAKE POWER IN 2027 – LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN INTERIA: “Even when preparing for defeat, the right-wing can still count on victory. Although the fragmentation of support for right-wing candidates in the first round may not lead to a win in the second, if PiS and Konfederacja reach the parliamentary elections in a relatively unchanged configuration (read: if they don't devour each other and split up), then they will have every chance to take power in 2027.”
— IT IS QUITE UNUSUAL, EVEN FOR THE POST-POLITICAL ERA WE LIVE IN, THAT ALTHOUGH PO CAME TO POWER BY MOBILIZING AGAINST PIS, TODAY ITS POLICY CONSISTS OF ADOPTING MORE AND MORE POSTULATES FROM PIS – JAŻDŻEWSKI CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “What's more, the current coalition practices mimicry, trying to convince Poles that on issues of migration, nationalization, social spending, the European Union, the Green Deal, Ukraine, tradition [delete as unnecessary], Tusk and Trzaskowski are more right-wing than PiS and more Papal than the Pope. It is quite unusual, even for the post-political era we live in, that although PO came to power by mobilizing against PiS, today its policy, with rhetorical fanfare of attacks from which little results, consists of adopting more and more postulates from PiS.”
— GIVEN THE CURRENT MOOD, WE SHOULD RATHER EXPECT LOW TURNOUT – JAŻDŻEWSKI FURTHER IN INTERIA: “Instead of imitating Trump's method and playing on emotions that energize and mobilize thousands of citizen activists and micro-influencers, PO is doing everything to stick to the imagined center of the stage like a drunken man clinging to a fence. Only PO is not taking voters away from PiS and Konfederacja, but is ideologically distancing itself from its own base. We can forget about the mobilization of 2023. Given the current mood, we should rather expect low turnout.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/wybory/prezydenckie/news-wytrzymac,nId,21398293
— TAX INCREASES OR SPENDING CUTS. THERE IS NO THIRD WAY – BARTEK GODUSŁAWSKI IN BUSINESS INSIDER: “In a crisis situation, with further global market turbulence, unpredictable moves by the Donald Trump administration, and a total trade war between the USA and China, we could find ourselves in an unpleasant situation with a high deficit and rapidly growing debt. The costs of financing them may be unbearable. The government should show now whether it chooses tax increases or spending cuts, because it seems there is no third way. This is a radical stance, but since politicians cannot even establish spending priorities and honestly communicate this to the public, they may be forced to take unpopular actions under pressure.”
— TO SAY THE STATE'S FINANCIAL SITUATION IS STRAINED IS AN UNDERSTATEMENT; WHILE BRUSSELS MAY ACCOMMODATE US AND UNDERSTAND HIGHER DEFICITS, VOLATILE FINANCIAL MARKETS WILL NOT NECESSARILY DO SO – GODUSŁAWSKI CONTINUES IN BI: “To say the state's financial situation is strained is an understatement. Forecasts for the deficit of the entire finance sector have significantly diverged from reality, and it's expected to be even worse than the Ministry of Finance predicted a year ago. The government faces a difficult dilemma. While Brussels may accommodate us and understand higher deficits, volatile financial markets will not necessarily do so. Even more powerful politicians like US President Donald Trump or former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss have already encountered their force.”
https://businessinsider.com.pl/finanse/donald-trump-i-liz-truss-lekcje-dla-polski-w-zarzadzaniu-finansami-opinia/gqj1yxz
— THE RIGHT-WING OPPOSITION, DISCRIMINATED AGAINST BY THE AUTHORITIES ITSELF, PROCLAIMS THE PRAISE OF DISCRIMINATION – PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: “Grzegorz Braun not only stirs anti-Ukrainian sentiments among his supporters but also steers the entire right-wing towards praising prejudice. Because that's what Karol Nawrocki's idea of pushing foreigners to the end of queues for doctors boils down to, if it were actually implemented. The right-wing opposition, discriminated against by the authorities itself, proclaims the praise of discrimination.”
— IF BRAUN DID NOT EXIST, THE LIBERAL SIDE SHOULD INVENT HIM. WHAT PUSHES SOME RIGHT-WINGERS TO SPIN THEORIES THAT HE IS AN AGENT OF INFLUENCE – ZAREMBA CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “If Braun didn't exist, the liberal side should invent him. What pushes some right-wingers to spin theories that he is an agent of influence for the Trzaskowski camp. I think he is a sick person, which does not change the fact that he acts as a functional useful idiot. I thought so when I watched him in the presidential debates, spewing stereotypical invectives, constantly present on internet forums. But in some matters, Braun unfortunately also acts as an exaggerated prophet of certain social tendencies. For example, when he shouts loudly about the 'Ukrainization' of Poland.”
— KONFEDERACJA WAS, HOWEVER, THE FIRST TO SOW ANTI-UKRAINIAN ANXIETY. BUT LATELY, THIS IS SADLY THE SPECIALTY OF PIS – ZAREMBA FURTHER: “When Nawrocki spoke about this at rallies, he was met with ovations. But when he spoke about the alleged priority of Ukrainians in a conversation with Krzysztof Stanowski on the online channel Zero, he could not provide a single such case. Of course, Mentzen is also for 'fighting Ukrainian privileges', although in the past he had rather balanced statements on these topics. Konfederacja was, however, the first to sow anti-Ukrainian anxiety. But lately, this is sadly the specialty of PiS, which at the beginning of the war competed with other parties in showing kindness to refugees.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-braun-organizuje-antyukrainska-awanture-nawrocki-i-mentzen-u,nId,21398776
— TRZASKOWSKI IS AWARE THAT HE HAS SUDDENLY BECOME THE LAST HOPE OF THE DEMOCRATIC CAMP IN POLAND. IF HE WINS, THE GOVERNMENT WILL HAVE TWO YEARS TO SHOW EFFECTIVENESS AND REPAIR THE STATE – PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “Provided, of course, that it manages in time, because it is already evident today that PiS and Konfederacja are preparing to take power in 2027. Even if Nawrocki does not win the presidential elections, Kaczyński's formation will not give up on trying to complete the 'good change' revolution – as it was called a decade ago. (...) Rafał Trzaskowski, who, although he doesn't have a photo with Trump, also has contacts with his administration, is aware that he has suddenly become the last hope of the democratic camp in Poland. If he wins, the government will have two years to show effectiveness and repair the state. And if he loses, he and his staff will have plenty of time to re-read the finale of Stanisław Wyspiański's 'Wesele' (The Wedding).”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-polityka-obrazkowa,nId,21398963
— BIRTHDAYS: Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska, Witold Waszczykowski, Witold Kołodziejski, Kamil Dziubka, Justyna Kosela.
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