state of play: 04/17/2025

THE STATE OF PLAY: OPINIA24 for Radio Zet: Record Result for the Razem Party, Błaszczak Doesn't Rule Out Kosiniak-Kamysz as Prime Minister, 1.2 Million Views for Stanowski's Interview with Nawrocki

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— AFTER NAWROCKI'S VICTORY, WILL PIS OFFER KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ THE PREMIERSHIP? BŁASZCZAK: WE DON'T RULE IT OUT – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/04/17

— POLAND "ON THE PODIUM". AND THERE'S NO REASON TO CELEBRATE. WE HAVE ONE OF THE HIGHEST INFLATIONS IN EUROPE – ERYK KIELAK IN GAZETA.PL: “Poland remains among the countries with the fastest rising prices of goods and services for consumers. According to the latest data from Eurostat, inflation in Poland stood at 4.4 percent in March. Only Hungary (4.8 percent) and Romania (5.1 percent) had higher rates. Rather unexpectedly, the Hungarians lost first place to a new leader – Romania”.
https://next.gazeta.pl/next/7,151003,31863547,polska-na-pudle-i-nie-ma-co-sie-cieszyc-mamy-jedna-z-najwyzszych.html

— ONLY TWO PERCENTAGE POINTS SEPARATE THE CIVIC COALITION AND PIS IN AN OPINIA24 POLL FOR RADIO ZET:
Civic Coalition 32 (-2 from January)
PIS 28 (-1)
Confederation 17
3D 8 (+1)
The Left 7 (+1)
Razem 4 (+3)
https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art42138431-jest-nowy-sondaz-partyjny-w-sejmie-piec-partii-a-szosta-tuz-pod-progiem
— IPSOS FOR TVP:
TRZASKOWSKI 28 (-8)
NAWROCKI 22 (+1)
MENTZEN 15 (-2)
HOŁOWNIA 7 (+1)
ZANDBERG 6 (+3)
BRAUN 4 (+2)
BIEJAT 4 (+2)
STANOWSKI 3

— SECOND ROUND 50-43-7 I DON'T KNOW
https://www.tvp.info/86206905/sondaz-prezydencki-ipsos-dla-1930-i-tvp-info-kto-wejdzie-do-drugiej-tury-wyborow-walka-o-palac-prezydencki
— 1.2 MILLION VIEWS FOR STANOWSKI'S 3-HOUR CONVERSATION WITH NAWROCKI ON KANAŁ ZERO:
https://www.youtube.com/live/JVPOJlNq0MU?si=9EOlz_NB2oI-nZnh
— I WENT TOO FAR, I MIGHT AS WELL START PACKING TO MOVE – STANOWSKI RESPONDS TO NAWROCKI'S STATEMENT THAT THE RULING PARTY WILL SEEK REVENGE ON HIM:
https://x.com/Marcin85C/status/1912589573739192595

— A TURNING POINT IN SZYMON HOŁOWNIA'S CAMPAIGN. HE WILL RECEIVE A CASH INJECTION – KAMIL DZIUBKA IN ONE.NET: “The presidential campaign of the Sejm Marshal has gained momentum after successful televised debates for him. According to Onet's information, the farmers supporting Szymon Hołownia will most likely inject a substantial sum into his electoral committee's account. PSL politicians believe that a good result for the leader of Poland 2050 can save the Third Way project.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/przelom-w-kampanii-szymona-holowni-dostanie-zastrzyk-gotowki/n5fdysy,79cfc278
— CAMPAIGN OFF-TOPIC, OR WHAT POLISH POLITICIANS DEBATE ABOUT – WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “Election campaign teams treat voters like dimwitted children to whom they can make unrealistic promises, ignoring real problems and challenges. (...) I don't blame the presidential candidates for preferring to recite learned formulas rather than address difficult topics. I blame their political marketing specialists, as well as journalists who question politicians daily in many media outlets and set the agenda”.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31852091,kampania-nie-na-temat-czyli-o-czym-debatuja-polscy-politycy.html
— IT IS HARD TO BELIEVE THAT THE CAUSE OF THE ENTIRE COMMOTION WAS RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI, WHO ALL POLLS GAVE AN ADVANTAGE OVER KAROL NAWROCKI – ANNA SIEWIERSKA IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “It is hard to believe that the cause of the entire commotion was Rafał Trzaskowski, whom all polls gave an advantage over Karol Nawrocki. Being in such a comfortable situation, he decided, however, that emotions needed to be stirred up, and not only did he invite his opponent to a debate, but he also became its main organizer. Why? Instead of doing his job and preparing for the official presidential debate scheduled for May, Trzaskowski decided to prove that he is not a boring 'drone,' but quite the opposite – Sarmatian blood flows in him, and it wouldn't be complete without a brawl. However, a one-on-one duel turned into the last stand in Lithuania, as the rest of the candidates also believed that 'elections are won in Końskie'.
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2296785,1,jak-tlit-doprowadzil-do-najdziwniejszej-debaty-prezydenckiej-w-historii-polski.read
— THE BRONISŁAW KOMOROWSKI-IZATION OF RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI'S CAMPAIGN. WHY IS THE FAVORITE HARMING HIMSELF? – IN THE PODCAST "RZECZ W TYM" BY MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI AND JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ: “A series of image blunders, an ill-considered debate in Końskie, the book "Rafał," which became fodder for memes, and Szymon Hołownia showing in a debate on TV Republika that he can be a better Rafał Trzaskowski – the KO candidate's campaign is losing momentum. Is Trzaskowski repeating the mistakes of Bronisław Komorowski from a decade ago?”
https://www.rp.pl/wybory/art42133551-podcast-rzecz-w-tym-bronkizacja-kampanii-rafala-trzaskowskiego-dlaczego-faworyt-sam-sobie-szkodzi
— BIRTHDAYS: Marcin Święcicki, Adam Gierek, Michał Wójcik.


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