„Goodness and Truth Require Our Daily Care and Courage.” — Christmas Wishes from Morawiecki
state of play: 11/28/2024
STATE OF PLAY: Morawiecki: Trump Won Thanks to This 'Mythical Center,' Flis: A Plebiscite – Do You Prefer This Government or the Previous One?, Majmurek: Presidential Elections Most Unpredictable in Poland
-- NEWSWEEK VS. HOŁOWNIA.
-- HOŁOWNIA: IF THE SERVICES ENTERED THE GAME, THERE WILL BE A VERY SERIOUS CRISIS OF TRUST IN OUR COALITION:
https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/28/holownia-jezeli-do-gry-wkroczyly-sluzby-dojdzie-do-bardzo-powaznego-kryzysu-zaufania-w-naszej-koalicji/
-- SZYMON HOŁOWNIA "STUDIED" AT COLLEGIUM HUMANUM. THE RECTOR ENTERED THE GRADES – WRITES RENATA KIM IN NEWSWEEK: “Paweł Cz. liked to say: I have Hołownia on my list. According to my sources, all of Szymon Hołownia's grades, files, and documents were entered into Sokrates, the university's IT system for managing teaching. The Sokrates system ensures full automation of the recruitment process, student registration, examination session management, and data control. Many people had access to it: university administration staff, faculty offices, the foreign language department, as well as academic teachers.”
-- FORMER RECTOR PAWEŁ CZ. ENTERED GRADES AND CREDITS AT HIS OWN RESPONSIBILITY – STILL KIM: “He was simply supposed to receive a master's degree diploma. The basis for this was to be the credits and grades previously received during his studies at SWPS. And also the benevolence of the former rector, Paweł Cz., who entered grades and credits at his own responsibility. – He said he was doing it based on the student's life and professional experience – says one of my interviewees.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/szymon-holownia-studiowal-na-collegium-humanum-rektor-uczelni-lubil-sie-nim-chwalic/w22rqdd
-- POLSKA 2050 DENIES NEWSWEEK'S REPORTS: “Szymon Hołownia does not study and has never studied at Collegium Humanum. He has also never met with its authorities in any official or unofficial capacity. Anyone who claims otherwise is lying. The only thing connecting him to this university is an application he sent a few years ago when he was considering studying psychology. However, he did not pursue it due to information he obtained in the meantime about the university's dubious reputation and a change in his life plans.”
-- BUT THESE REPORTS WERE FIRST AMPLIFIED BY PIOTR KRYSIAK ON HIS YOUTUBE CHANNEL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o2nXvVZCZgM
-- TVP INFO SILENCES WOŚ'S WORDS ABOUT ASKING QUESTIONS, PIS REACTS, "NO BREAKTHROUGH HAS OCCURRED. A STATEMENT SIGNED BY A POLISH MINISTER CONFIRMS THE FALSEHOOD." BOSAK ON UKRAINE'S AGREEMENT TO EXHUMATIONS - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/11/28/
-- THE MAY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS COULD BE LARGELY A PLEBISCITE – DO YOU PREFER THIS GOVERNMENT OR THE PREVIOUS ONE? - PROF. JAROSŁAW FLIS IN CONVERSATION WITH MAREK KĘSKRAWIEC IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Since July, opponents of Donald Tusk's cabinet have outnumbered his supporters. Currently, it has worse ratings than the PiS government in July 2020, when Andrzej Duda narrowly won his second term. Although it must be remembered that Tusk's government still enjoys greater public support today than Morawiecki's cabinet before the October 2023 election. Generally, the May presidential elections could be largely a plebiscite – do you prefer this government or the previous one?”
-- SOMEONE WHO THINKS THE ELECTIONS ARE ALREADY DECIDED MAY BE VERY SURPRISED - PROF. FLIS CONTINUES WITH KĘSKRAWIEC: “It doesn't all add up, but let's remember 2015. Someone who thinks the elections are already decided may be very surprised. The world around us is very unstable, which could also matter.”
-- BOSAK MAY ALSO BLACKMAIL PIS: YOU WANTED TO PAY KOSINIAK WITH THE PRIME MINISTERSHIP FOR AN ALLIANCE, SO PAY ME TOO - STILL FLIS: “It could also be about a different arrangement: your president, our prime minister. In the event of victory in these or future presidential elections for a PiS candidate, Krzysztof Bosak himself could become prime minister, provided that Konfederacja continues to grow. Bosak may also blackmail PiS: you wanted to pay Kosiniak with the prime ministership for an alliance, so pay me too, or you'll be left alone in opposition. But these are already too far-fetched speculations.”
https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/wybory-2025-trzaskowski-kontra-nawrocki-jak-kandydaci-poprowadza-swoje-kampanie-prezydenckie-189052
-- PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS ARE AMONG THE MOST UNPREDICTABLE IN POLAND - JAKUB MAJMUREK IN NEWSWEEK: “Rafał Trzaskowski's biggest mistake would be to underestimate the opponent supported by PiS. Presidential elections are among the most unpredictable in Poland; in all democracies, we see how volatile voter sentiment is today and how easily preferences change – so anything can happen.”
-- IT IS HARD TO IMAGINE THAT WITHOUT PREPARATION AND IMPROVEMENT OF MEDIA SKILLS NAWROCKI WILL BE ABLE TO "WITHSTAND" AN INTERVIEW IN NON-PIS MEDIA - MAJMUREK CONTINUES IN NEWSWEEK: “In none of these interviews did the President of the IPN perform particularly brilliantly. He fared particularly poorly in the conversation with Danuta Holecka on Republika, who asked him some difficult questions. It is hard to imagine that without preparation and improvement of media skills, Nawrocki would be able to "withstand" an interview in non-PiS media.”
-- THE MORE POLES GET FED UP WITH TUSK'S GOVERNMENT, THE LESS WILLING THEY WILL BE TO SUPPORT THE CAPITAL'S PRESIDENT IN THE SECOND ROUND - MAJMUREK AGAIN IN NEWSWEEK: “The more Poles get fed up with Tusk's government, the less willing they will be to support the capital's president in the second round. Therefore, all internal conflicts within the coalition, the inability to develop a common stance on areas such as women's reproductive rights or housing policy, will work against Trzaskowski. Similarly, the wallet criterion: how people perceive their situation in May and the prospects of it changing for the better or worse.”
-- IF TRZASKOWSKI COMBINES THIS STILL VIVID ANTI-PIS EMOTION IN SOCIETY WITH AN ATTRACTIVE NARRATIVE ABOUT THE FUTURE, HE WILL MOST LIKELY WIN - MAJMUREK'S CONCLUSION.
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/te-dwa-czynniki-moga-zagrozic-trzaskowskiemu-nie-ma-na-nie-wplywu/c6befr9
-- HE COULDN'T HANDLE THE PRESSURE. HE DIDN'T SHOW SUFFICIENT MATURITY, BUT THAT'S HIS PROBLEM - MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI ON CZARNEK'S WORDS IN A CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ NAWACKI AND RAFAŁ MROWICKI ON THE XYZ PORTAL.
-- THANKS TO THIS "MYTHICAL CENTER," MEANING THE THIRD WAY, DONALD TUSK HAS POWER TODAY, AND IN THE UNITED STATES, DONALD TRUMP WON THE ELECTIONS - MORAWIECKI CONTINUES WITH NAWACKI AND MROWICKI ON XYZ: “It seems he was talking about the mythical center. Thanks to this 'mythical center,' meaning the Third Way, Donald Tusk has power today, and in the United States, Donald Trump won the elections.”
-- WE KNOW THAT THIS IS AN AGENDA OF HUMAN AFFAIRS – POCKETBOOK, EXISTENTIAL, INVESTMENT, AND ECONOMIC - MORAWIECKI CONTINUES ON XYZ: “We know that it is an agenda of human affairs – pocketbook, existential, investment, and economic – that led to such a result, which most commentators did not expect just a few months ago.”
-- MORAWIECKI WARMLY ABOUT SZYDŁO: “Prime Minister Beata Szydło was considered. She has a huge social intuition, a very good understanding of international relations, the ability to reach different social groups, and in my opinion, she would be an excellent candidate. However, various vectors are at play, and the Prime Minister is excellently implementing our agenda on the international stage. She will certainly be a strengthening force for Karol Nawrocki's campaign.”
-- ONE CANNOT BE OFFENDED BY DONALD TRUMP – MOREOVER, IT IS DIFFICULT TO UNDERSTAND WHY LIBERAL ELITES MORE OFTEN CRITICIZE HIS POLICIES THAN CHINA'S ACTIONS, WHILE THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT, INSTEAD OF ACTING PROACTIVELY, DRIFTS AIMLESSLY IN THE MAINSTREAM OF EUROPEAN POLITICS - MORAWIECKI CONTINUES: “One cannot be offended by Donald Trump – moreover, it is difficult to understand why liberal elites more often criticize his policies than China's actions, which for three decades have been using hidden mechanisms of subsidizing their companies and price and environmental dumping. Europe, and especially Poland, needs a responsible and well-thought-out policy that will meet these challenges. Meanwhile, the current government, instead of acting proactively, drifts aimlessly in the mainstream of European politics. It is precisely this lack of decisiveness and vision that causes information about further mass layoffs to reach us regularly.”
-- CALL ANY LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND ASK ABOUT THE BENEFITS OF THE KPO. OUTSIDE OF WARSAW AND LARGE CITIES, YOU WILL HEAR GROANS OF DISAPPOINTMENT - MORAWIECKI CONTINUES ON XYZ: “And where is this mythical KPO? Have you seen any signs in any of the 2,477 municipalities? Because I haven't. I don't see it significantly influencing economic development or development mechanisms. I remember how the current government, when it was still in opposition, claimed that local governments would receive more money thanks to the KPO. Please call any local government and ask about the benefits of the KPO. Outside of Warsaw and large cities, you will hear groans of disappointment. The KPO is being used belatedly and ineptly. Please remember that the first tranches of the KPO were disbursed during my government.”
-- NAWROCKI POSSESSES A STRONG PERSONALITY, AMBITION, EDUCATION, AND AUTHENTIC COMMITMENT TO POLISH AFFAIRS - MORAWIECKI CONTINUES ON XYZ: “Karol Nawrocki has everything to become president – and a very good president at that. He combines a strong personality, ambition, education, and authentic commitment to Polish affairs. In these turbulent times, Poland needs a president who is a sincerely devoted patriot. Someone for whom the concept of sovereignty is not only close but who can fight for that sovereignty. In many cross-sectional studies, Karol Nawrocki performed best. He possesses strength, authenticity, and independence. He has never been a party member, but he has always been a statesman.”
https://xyz.pl/mateusz-morawiecki-wartosci-to-za-malo-prawica-musi-byc-aspiracyjna-wywiad/
-- THE ELECTION WILL BE WON BY A POLITICIAN WHO MANAGES TO REACH FURTHEST BEYOND THEIR HARDCORE ELECTORATE. PIS AND NAWROCKI ARE COUNTING ON KONFEDERACJA VOTERS, WHILE KO AND TRZASKOWSKI ARE FOCUSED ON UNDECIDED VOTERS. A LONG, FIERCE CAMPAIGN IS FORECASTED - IWONA SZPALA AND AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW.
-- PIS HAS A LONGER LIST OF THINGS TO EXPLAIN - A PO POLITICIAN IN A GW ARTICLE: “– Because if the issue of accountability comes up, PiS has a much longer list of what it should explain. They think hiding the logo will be enough, but it won't be. This game will be played at all levels: governmental, parliamentary, in public debate. And we are prepared for it – a key PO politician tells us.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31499779,wybory-prezydenckie-2025.html
-- THE RULING CAMP IS FROZEN PRICES FOR ELECTRICITY WITH THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN MIND. WE ARE PAYING FOR IT WITH OUR MONEY - RADOSŁAW OMACHEL IN NEWSWEEK: “The ruling camp is freezing electricity prices with the presidential elections in mind. We are paying for it with our money, even though energy can already be bought cheaper on the free market than in the 'frozen' offer of state-owned companies. Where's the sense in that?”
-- THE COST OF MINING A TON OF COAL IN POLAND NOW REACHES AN ASTRONOMICAL 824 PLN, WHILE IN DUTCH PORTS THE PRICE PER TON IS AROUND 500 PLN, AND FOREIGN COAL IS MORE CALORIFIC - OMACHEL CONTINUES: “As Forum Energii recently reported, the cost of mining a ton of coal in Poland has now reached an astronomical 824 PLN (data for August). Meanwhile, in Dutch ports, the price per ton is around 500 PLN, and foreign coal is more calorific. State-owned mines, where average salaries reach 12,000 PLN (which is why coal is so expensive), are about to pay their employees 'barbórka,' an extra salary. The catch is that these are mostly bankrupt entities. To continue to squander money, they receive public support.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/biznes/oboz-wladzy-mrozi-ceny-pradu-placi-za-to-naszymi-pieniedzmi/yvznfv1
-- GW CONTINUES THE TOPIC OF THE KGHM FOUNDATION AND THE PIS CAMPAIGN - AS WRITTEN BY MARCIN RYBAK AND ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI: “We were required to organize election meetings under the guise of workshops on preventing pedophilia – Janusz Jabłoński, former president of the company BERM, which received 238,000 PLN last year from the KGHM Foundation, headed by a confidante of Elżbieta Witek, tells 'Wyborcza.'”
https://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,31499802,sledztwo-w-sprawie-fundacji-kghm-i-lewych-pieniedzy-na-kampanie.html
-- OPOLE DEPUTY MARSHAL WITH A COLLEGIUM HUMANUM DIPLOMA - PIOTR ZAPOTOCZNY IN GW: “Under the Freedom of Information Act, we asked four Opole offices how many people have received funding for studies at the Collegium Humanum university from 2019 to the present. We sent our inquiry to the Opole City Hall, the Opole District Office, the Opole Voivodeship Office, and the Opole Marshal's Office. The first three institutions replied that they had not financed studies at this university for any of their employees. The Voivodeship Marshal's Office, on the other hand, informed us that one person received such a subsidy – Deputy Marshal Zbigniew Kubalańca from Civic Coalition. He received a subsidy of 9,500 PLN from the office for his studies.”
https://opole.wyborcza.pl/opole/7,35086,31493963,wicemarszalek-zbigniew-kubalanca-studiowal-na-collegium-humanum.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Agnieszka Holland, Wiesław Walendziak.
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