Today's State of Play

STATE OF PLAY: Ziemkiewicz Calls for President to Seize Control of the Right! CBOS: Carnage for KO's Coalition Partners, Głowacki in OKO.press: We Need to Talk About Donald, Kraskowski Remains Detained

Łukasz Mężyk

-- THE CIRCUMSTANCES SURROUNDING THE ARREST OF JOURNALIST LESZEK KRASKOWSKI ARE RAISING INCREASING DOUBTS. AS PORTAL NIEZALEZNA.PL HAS ESTABLISHED, POLICE OFFICERS FROM PIASECZNO DID NOT REGISTER THE OPERATION: “Surveillance in a shopping mall, an arrest far from cameras, and a house search in the owner's absence – the details surrounding the arrest of journalist Leszek Kraskowski are raising growing doubts. As portal Niezalezna.pl has established, police officers from Piaseczno did not register the operation because the station... did not have a single body camera. The estranged wife of the journalist, who is a party to the proceedings, played a key role in the search.”
https://niezalezna.pl/polska/zatrzymanie-i-przeszukanie-bez-kamer-kulisy-akcji-policji-ws-kraskowskiego/572808#goog_rewarded

-- SZEFERNAKER ON REPORTING NAWROCKI'S VISIT TO THE USA: IT'S CLEAR WHO IS WHO - 300LIVEhttps://300polityka.pl/pl/live/2026-06-16/

-- VICTIM FROM BIAŁA PODLASKA IS A CRITIC OF PUTIN. THE MURDER RESEMBLED AN EXECUTION: “The tragic event occurred on Monday, June 15, 2026, just before 10:00 AM. On Królowa Jadwiga Street, near the intersection with Terebelska Street, an unknown assailant fired several shots at a passerby. Despite immediate assistance from emergency services, the victim died at the scene. As RMF FM journalist Dominik Smaga established, the murder resembled an execution. The perpetrator reportedly fired several shots at close range, then shot the man who was already lying on the ground. In the afternoon, the police confirmed the identity of the murdered man. The victim turned out to be 44-year-old Russian citizen Siemion Skrepetski, who had been living in Biała Podlaska for some time. Skrepetski was an artist, known for his open criticism of Vladimir Putin's policies.”
https://www.rmf24.pl/regiony/lublin/news-ofiara-z-bialej-podlaskiej-to-krytyk-putina-zabojstwo-przypo,nId,8090456

-- PUTIN'S PAID ASSASSINS WITH FIREARMS HAVE NOT YET ROAMED POLAND MURDERING REFUGEES AND DISSIDENTS - AGNIESZKA ROMASZEWSKA: “So far, Putin's paid assassins with firearms have not roamed Poland murdering those seeking refuge and the defiant. And dear colleagues, journalists: there was no 'shootout' in Biała Podlaska, because a shootout is an exchange of fire, and this was a contract killing.”
https://x.com/ARomasze/status/2066595441731657888?s=20

-- FOR VOTERS AND ACTIVISTS OF THE CONVENTIONAL RIGHT-WING PARTY, NAWROCKI IS TODAY A FAR MORE SIGNIFICANT LEADER THAN THE LEADERS OF SPECIFIC FACTIONS - RAFAŁ ZIEMKIEWICZ IN DO RZECZY: “Should the president establish his own party? The answer is: he no longer needs to. The course of events following the presidential election has made it so that for voters and activists of the conventional right-wing party, Nawrocki is today a far more significant leader than the leaders of specific factions.”

-- AS LONG AS THE LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY REMAINS THE SAME LAW AND JUSTICE PARTY THAT RULED FOR EIGHT YEARS AND INSISTS IT DID SO PERFECTLY, DONALD TUSK AND HIS COALITION WILL REMAIN FOR VOTERS THE SECOND WIFE, WHOM THEY MIGHT WILLINGLY ABANDON, BUT NOT TO RETURN TO THE FIRST – ZIEMKIEWICZ CONTINUES.

-- ANOTHER POLITICAL RUMOR IS THE RETURN OF LESZEK MILLER, WHO HAS BEEN VERY ACTIVE IN THE MEDIA LATELY AND PRESENTS A SURPRISINGLY “RIGHT-WING” MESSAGE – ONCE AGAIN: “Many believe that Rafał Brzoska was to be this new Palikot or Hołownia, who, incidentally, is being encouraged to engage in active politics by business circles who feel betrayed by both the state-centric, Sanation-style PiS and Tusk's Brussels-style state-centric 'liberals'. Another political rumor is the return of Leszek Miller, who has been very active in the media lately and presents a surprisingly 'right-wing' message. Malicious tongues claim that Miller is driven by a desire for revenge on Czarzasty. But is it realistic to snatch the niche post-communist electorate from the 'pro-EU' camp? And can the old trick of a 'new force' work once more?”

-- POLES ARE LIVING IN A KIND OF STUPOR THAT PREVENTS THEM FROM PROPERLY RECOGNIZING THEIR POTENTIAL. WHAT POLAND NEEDS MOST IS A LEADER WHO WILL MAKE THEM AWARE OF THESE POSSIBILITIES, TELL THEM THE DREAM OF A GREAT POLAND - ZIEMKIEWICZ CONTINUES IN DO RZECZY: “Poles are living in a kind of stupor that prevents them from properly recognizing their potential. What Poland needs most is a leader who will make them aware of these possibilities, tell them the dream of a Great Poland, prosperous and secure, a leader who will convince citizens that he knows how to lead them out of the disaster the European Union is sliding into, and has a different path for Poland than 'listening either to Germany or America’.”

-- POLITICAL PARTIES HAVE CLEARLY NOT WORKED OUT FOR US, SO ONLY THE PRESIDENT IS AN OPTION. ESPECIALLY SINCE THE PRESIDENT IS THE ONLY POLITICIAN IN POLAND RIGHT NOW WHO COMBINES POPULARITY AND TRUST WITH YOUTH AND FRESHNESS - RAFAŁ ZIEMKIEWICZ WRITES FURTHER: “In short, Poles, always distrustful of authority, seem to be maturing towards accepting the idea that someone must be given real power. Whom? Political parties have clearly not worked out for us, so only the president is an option. Especially since the president is the only politician in Poland right now who combines popularity and trust with youth and freshness. The point is that this politician, as president, does not have power. Parties do. Therefore, it is obvious that to change the constitution and achieve a reset, he needs his own party. A large one, capable of conducting and decisively winning the battle for a grand reset of the Polish state. At one time, I imagined that Karol Nawrocki could play the role of patron of a 'right-wing' party alliance, which would also include a potential pro-Polish left, an alliance in which party leaders would play a leading role. This would have been the case if these leaders had seized Nawrocki's victory and led to Tusk's swift downfall. Instead, they quarreled among themselves, allowing Tusk to emerge from the crisis. The shortsightedness and weakness of the parties shown then thus impose another solution: their gradual dominance by the 'Nawrocki team,' which, if he hasn't already, the president should build immediately, utilizing the resources he has gathered around him.”

-- THE TREND IS ALREADY CLEAR: PARTY POLITICIANS WILL EITHER SUBORDINATE THEMSELVES TO THE PRESIDENT AND HIS NOMINATIONS, CONTENT WITH A PLACE IN HIS ENTOURAGE, OR THEY WILL LOSE THE SUPPORT OF THE "RIGHT-WING POPULACE" - ZIEMKIEWICZ'S CONCLUSION: “The trend is already clearly emerging: party politicians will either subordinate themselves to the president and his nominations, contenting themselves with a place in his entourage, or they will lose the support of the 'right-wing populace' and depart. Shortly after the elections, I recorded a video – paraphrasing the slogan of the Prague Spring – Karol to Hrad! Some took it as a joke. No, it is not a joke. Nothing new will grow on the depleted party scene, and history is accelerating, and for a 'cardboard state,' there is no place at this point on the map.”
https://dorzeczy.pl/opinie/900241/ziemkiewicz-partia-prezydencka-czy-jest-na-nia-miejsce.html

-- RADNY KACPRZYK'S PORSCHE IS THE NEW "OCTOPUS SCANDAL." THIS IS HOW YOU LOSE ELECTIONS - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN NEWSWEEK: “The case of councilor Dawid Kacprzyk is the new 'octopus scandal' for Platforma. These are the kinds of stories that cause you to lose elections. It's astonishing that the prime minister hasn't yet come out to express his outrage. He should have done so on Friday, because councilor Kacprzyk just cost him a whole weekend of a precisely planned, quite decent political narrative. This is absolutely fatal for a political party – not because of its scale, but because of its symbolism. The 'octopus scandal' wasn't about tens of thousands of zlotys, but about an image of power detached from reality. Today, the councilor and his Porsche Panamera become such a symbol. Especially since, as head of the youth wing, he was very active in campaign actions. For example, in the one where young politicians set up a 'PiS Millionaires' Alley' with cardboard figures. Kacprzyk also participated in that – that image has aged terribly.”

-- KO HAS ONCE AGAIN FAILED TO NOTICE THE SPILT MILK. EVENTUALLY, THEY WILL PAY DEARLY FOR THIS LACK OF REACTION - DŁUGOSZ AGAIN: “Tusk, who has repeatedly said that some doctors earn far too much, did not use the situation to say, 'Look how sick this system is, this is our councilor, our man, but he took advantage of the fact that the system doesn't work, and that is immoral, but it is also an example that it requires deep changes.' KO has once again failed to notice the spilt milk. Eventually, they will pay dearly for this lack of reaction.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/porsche-radnego-dawida-kacprzyka-to-nowe-osmiorniczki-ko-za-to-zaplaci/bg0qy79,452ad802

-- HE DIDN'T LOOK LIKE MINISTER SZUMOWSKI DURING THE PANDEMIC - TOMASZ WALCZAK IN INTERIA: “Dawid Kacprzyk's colleagues from the Ursus District Council, in an interview with Interia, are shocked by his earnings and are surprised that he could spend over a dozen hours on duty and fulfill his duties as a local official. We asked council members if Dawid Kacprzyk showed signs of fatigue from long hospital shifts at council meetings. – I'll put it this way: he didn't look like Minister Szumowski during COVID – one councilor smiles, referring to the former health minister's appearance, which in the initial period of the pandemic was marked by clear fatigue. – There was no indication of extreme overwork – adds another person.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-koledzy-z-rady-dzielnicy-o-lekarzu-milionerze-nie-wygladal-n,nId,23496671

-- KO HAS LOST 3.5 P.P. SINCE APRIL, PIS HAS GAINED 4, KONFEDERACJA HAS LOST 2.5, SEJM WITHOUT KO COALITION PARTIES - SENSATIONAL CBOS: “Koalicja Obywatelska (Civic Coalition) remains the leader, with 28.5% of declared participants in a hypothetical vote wanting to cast their ballot for it in June. Compared to May, support for the largest party of the ruling coalition has decreased by 2.3 percentage points, and if we take April as a reference point, KO's result has worsened by 3.5 points over the last two months. In second place is Law and Justice (PiS), with 22.1% of supporters among those intending to vote, 2.5 percentage points more than a month ago and 3.9 percentage points more than in April. Third place is occupied by Konfederacja Wolność i Niepodległość (Confederation Liberty and Independence), supported by 12.8% of voters. After an increase in May, the ratings of Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak's grouping decreased by 2.5 percentage points in June. In fourth place is Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (Confederation of the Polish Crown), for which 9.4% of voters intend to vote, slightly more than in April and May. If parliamentary elections were held now, only these groupings would manage to get their representatives into the Sejm. The ratings of the others were below the electoral threshold.”
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/flashe_tekst.php?nr=22/2026

-- WE NEED TO TALK ABOUT DONALD - WITOLD GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: “Prime Minister Donald Tusk warns during the day about the brown wave hanging over Poland, while at night he himself tries, with little success, to surf on it. With just over a year until the elections and in the face of a real threat, it is high time to end this duality. It is also time to talk about Donald Tusk and his at least ambivalent role in the process of radicalizing anti-Ukrainian sentiments in Polish society. And also about his, let's call it by its name, although it will sound very unpleasant, political opportunism, for which we may pay a very high price in the near future.”

-- WHILE TUSK THE COLUMNIST THROWES HIS HANDS UP OVER POLAND'S MARCH FURTHER AND FURTHER TO THE RIGHT, TUSK THE PRIME MINISTER CONSISTENTLY ACTS THE OPPOSITE IN DEEDS, THE DUAL NATURE OF DONALD TUSK – A LIBERAL DEMOCRAT BY DAY, A NEW POPULIST BY NIGHT – FURTHER GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: “Meanwhile, while Tusk the columnist throws his hands up over Poland's march further and further to the right, Tusk the prime minister consistently acts the opposite in deeds. One can speak of the prime minister's Janus-faced nature, one can speak of Tusk-Jekyll and Tusk-Hyde, but the metaphor that suits us best is that of Edward Mordake, a figure from 19th-century London urban legends and quite modern Tom Waits songs. Mordake supposedly had a second, slightly smaller face at the back of his head. Furthermore, this extra face was said to have a habit of mocking and contorting itself into grimaces at moments when Mordake's primary face expressed emotions of a completely opposite, pious, and virtuous nature. This seems to accurately capture the dual nature of Donald Tusk – a liberal democrat by day, a new populist by night.”

-- IT WAS THEN, WITH MICHAŁ KOŁODZIEJCZAK ALMOST AT HIS SIDE, THAT DONALD TUSK FOR THE FIRST TIME DECIDED TO CATCH THE BROWN ANTI-UKRAINIAN WIND IN HIS SNOW-WHITE SAILS – FURTHER GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: “This began earlier than we want to admit. Most likely, it was during the twilight years of the PiS government, already on the eve of the 2023 election campaign, when the great row over Ukrainian grain arriving in Poland by train was ongoing. It was then, with Michał Kołodziejczak almost at his side, that Donald Tusk for the first time decided to catch the brown anti-Ukrainian wind in his snow-white sails. It is difficult to say to what extent Tusk was aware that this wind carried the rotten breath of the Kremlin, but he did it nonetheless.”

-- THE PRIME MINISTER APPARENTLY DID NOT NOTICE HOW MUCH HE HIMSELF CONTRIBUTED TO SHIFTING THE OVERTON WINDOW IN THIS MATTER. HISTORY HAS SHOWN US MANY TIMES THAT IT IS THE LIBERALS AND MODERATE POLITICIANS ALONG WITH THE "NORMALS" FROM THE MIDDLE CLASS WHO TAKE THE FIRST SMALL STEPS ON THE ROAD TO SOCIETY'S RADICALIZATION – FURTHER GŁOWACKI IN OKO.PRESS: “The steps taken by extremist parties are longer and more spectacular, but they usually occur when the initial barriers have already been imperceptibly broken down. Anna Mierzyńska writes in OKO.press precisely about this – about the anti-Ukrainian Overton window, that is, the process of gradual, almost imperceptible widening of social acceptance for controversial views: from those unthinkable, through radical, to permissible.”

-- WILL TUSK'S GOVERNMENT, UNABLE TO OPPOSE ANTI-UKRAINIAN SENTIMENTS IN PEACEFUL CONDITIONS, ONLY FOLLOWING THEM, BE ABLE TO COUNTER A SIMILAR STRATEGY EMPLOYED BY MOSCOW – GŁOWACKI AGAIN: “And here arises the somewhat frightening question: will Donald Tusk's government, which was unable to oppose anti-Ukrainian sentiments in peaceful conditions, only able to follow them, be able to counteract a similar strategy employed by Moscow as part of the ultimate test of NATO members' allied loyalty?”
https://oko.press/musimy-porozmawiac-o-donaldzie-widze-to-tak

-- BIRTHDAYS: Witold Gadomski, Marian Piłka.
 


Łukasz Mężyk