state of play: 04/16/2026

Gruszczyński: Tusk has targeted Giertych and issued his first ban; Kalukin: Morawiecki must be credited with playing this hand quite skillfully

Łukasz Mężyk

-- ANDRZEJ POCZOBUT TURNS 53 TODAY.

-- POCZOBUT'S LAST TWEET FROM 2021: Polish parties should have a common long-term policy to support Polishness, which is threatened by repression in Belarus. This is a matter beyond divisions!

-- HOW WILL THE PSL VOTE ON THE VOTE OF NO CONFIDENCE FOR HENNIG-KLOSKA? ZGORZELSKI: THE CLUB'S LEADERSHIP WILL INVITE THE MINISTER TO A MEETING, AND THEN A DECISION WILL BE MADE - 300LIVE:
https://300polityka.pl/pl/live

-- WE ARE ALL AFRAID OF GIERTYCH. HE EXUDES AN AURA OF SOMEONE UNTOUCHABLE - I HEAR FROM A KO DEPUTY - ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: “It's no wonder that Jadczak and Wysota's findings are being hotly debated in the Sejm. - This matter will not politically harm Roman, because, firstly, no one from our party will publicly criticize him. And secondly: we are all afraid of Giertych. He exudes an aura of someone untouchable - I hear from a KO deputy. - The majority of the parliamentary club would be happy about Giertych's downfall, as he has become the face of the conservative, male, old party - one of the young female deputies tells me bluntly.”

-- TUSK HAS TARGETED GIERTYCH AND ISSUED HIS FIRST BAN - ARKADIUSZ GRUSZCZYŃSKI IN GW: “At one of the recent government meetings, the Prime Minister - in the presence of all ministers - told the leftist Minister of Education, Barbara Nowacka, that Giertych would cease to be the face of the bill banning the use of phones in schools. The deputy head of the KO club championed this idea, which is well-received by the majority of the democratic electorate, along with deputies Monika Rosa and Dorota Łoboda. - The 'manager' said directly that Roman is harming this matter and ordered him to be hidden - I hear from the government.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,32726834,giertycha-nikt-nie-ruszy-wszyscy-sie-go-boja-tusk-zajal.html

-- WE REVEAL WHAT THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE OVERLOOKED BEFORE DISMISSING CHARGES AGAINST A KO POLITICIAN, IT CONTAINS THREE ASSERTIONS. EACH OF THEM CONTRADICTS DOCUMENTS HELD BY THE EDITORS OF WIRTUALNA POLSKA - SZYMON JADCZAK AND KAROLINA WYSOTA: “Let's recall: the prosecutor's office does not know who the ultimate beneficiary of Utriusque Iuris Anstalt was. It did not ask about this in Liechtenstein, where the company was registered. It did not request international legal assistance from that country - and only that would allow it to establish who actually funded the company's account and who issued transfer instructions. The prosecutor's office did not even interrogate the Pole listed on the company's management board. So how can investigators know if the money going to Giertych and the Liechtenstein entity have nothing to do with the case?”
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/czego-nie-wie-prokuratura-ale-wie-ze-to-niewazne-7275201133189408a.html

-- THE RIGHT-WING FRONT IS SHAKING - JERZY BACZYŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The example of the Hungarian campaign is also a clear indication for the politicians of today's ruling coalition that in the face of a wavering right-wing front, it is even more necessary to maintain basic unity, even in the version that Tusk appealed for at the KO congress, i.e., 'not to attack each other'. The Hungarian elections are bad news for Donald Trump, the European and our radical right - very good news for Poland, Ukraine, the European Union, and Hungary itself, which in six months will celebrate the 70th anniversary of the anti-Soviet, brutally suppressed revolution. At that time – in defense of the Hungarian dream of joining the West, regaining 'respect and freedom'. Well done, Brothers!”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2339097,1,brawo-bratanki-chwieje-sie-prawicowy-front-jest-w-tym-wazna-lekcja-dla-nas.read

-- AN OFFER TO START TOGETHER WITH THE CIVIC COALITION COULD DIVERT THE NEW LEFT FROM THE IDEA OF A JOINT LIST WITH RAZEM AND PREVENT A REPEAT OF THE DEMOCRATIC CAMP BEING WEAKENED BY RAZEM IN THE PREVIOUS ELECTIONS - JANUSZ MAJCHEREK IN GW: “A joint list of KO/NL would have a good chance of winning an independent majority, especially given the probable fragmentation of the populist and radical right's lists and votes.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32728639,dylematy-tuska-i-czarzastego-przed-wyborami-czy-zdecyduja-sie.html

-- IT MAY HAPPEN THAT AFTER THE ANNIHILATION OF SZYMON HOŁOWNIA'S BROKEN MILIEU, THE SYSTEMATICALLY GROWING KO WILL EXPAND ITS REACH TO INCLUDE THE CENTRO-RIGHT FIELD OF PSL - ZUZANNA DĄBROWSKA IN RZ: “The PSL knows well that entering the KO lists can mean death for any grouping that sooner or later will be absorbed by the powerful protector. The peasant party is also not keen on the risk of independently breaking through the election threshold. They are programmatically so far from Włodzimierz Czarzasty's left that they struggle to function in the same ruling coalition. It may therefore happen that after the annihilation of Szymon Hołownia's broken milieu, the systematically growing KO will expand its reach to include the centro-right field of PSL.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art44159671-zuzanna-dabrowska-psl-poszukuje-wehikulu-wyborczego

-- NEARLY FIFTY PARLIAMENTARIANS, OVER FORTY LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS - PRESIDENTS, MAYORS, VILLAGE HEADS, COUNCILLORS - HAVE EXPRESSED THEIR DECLARATION TO JOIN THE ASSOCIATION, LISTS MEP MICHAŁ DWORCZYK OF PIS IN AN INTERVIEW WITH WIRTUALNA POLSKA:
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/nie-zrezygnujemy-michal-dworczyk-dla-wp-o-nowym-stowarzyszeniu-morawieckiego-7275791427320096a

-- JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI IS CONVENING ALL PIS DEPUTIES FOR A PRESS CONFERENCE AT THE PARTY HEADQUARTERS ON NOWOGRODZKA STREET AT 1 PM ON THURSDAY - WIRTUALNA POLSKA LEARNS:
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/nagla-decyzja-prezesa-pis-kaczynski-zwoluje-wszystkich-poslow-7275783683254560a

-- MEMBERSHIP IN PIS NO LONGER MEANS BEING A BARON OR COUNT IN THE GREAT KINGDOM OF THE RIGHT, BUT RATHER A CASTELLAN IN ONE OF THREE RIGHT-WING PRINCIPALITIES. AND IF SO – ISN'T IT BETTER TO BECOME THE FOURTH PRINCE? - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “As a result, PiS is no longer a party representing the entire right-wing camp, but rather a part of it. And if so, it is natural that within PiS, unity ceases to be an absolute value for its ambitious members, because membership in PiS no longer means being a baron or count in the great kingdom of the right, but rather a castellan in one of three right-wing principalities. And if so – isn't it better to become the fourth prince?”

-- PRZEMYSŁAW CZARNEK WILL NEVER BE GRZEGORZ BRAUN MORE THAN GRZEGORZ BRAUN HIMSELF - BARTKIEWICZ'S CONCLUSION: “Czarnek as a candidate for prime minister is an attempt to address this problem, but where Czarnek can afford to say 'a' (e.g., OZE-sroze), Braun will recite the entire alphabet (i.e., call for leaving the EU). Czarnek as a substitute for Braun will never match the original. And the voter who finds this message appealing, given the choice between the original and the copy, will likely opt for the former.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44168281-artur-bartkiewicz-stowarzyszenie-mateusza-morawieckiego-pis-u-z-2015-roku-juz-nie-ma

-- MORAWIECKI MUST BE CREDITED WITH PLAYING THIS HAND QUITE SKILLFULLY, HE IS ACTIVE AND EAGERLY STEPS OUTSIDE THE PIS BUBBLE - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Moreover, Morawiecki must be credited with playing this hand quite skillfully. Despite murmurs of dissatisfaction emanating from Nowogrodzka, and even the suspension of one of the former prime minister's associates recently, he does not allow himself to be intimidated. He is active and eagerly steps outside the PiS bubble, renewing his image as a political expert in debates with politicians such as Adrian Zandberg, Krzysztof Bosak, Katarzyna Pełczyńska-Nałęcz, or recently Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz. While not forgetting to consolidate his own circle, the next stage of which is to be the establishment of an association. This is, of course, a way to take stock, and if Kaczyński, who is reluctant to see the former favorite emancipate himself, receives confirmation of his real strength in the party, he will likely be forced to accept his independence. And even if it were otherwise and a turning point occurred, having a functioning structure, it would be easier to find a new formula for remaining in politics.”

-- MORAWIECKI HAS ONCE CROSSED THE LINE OF DIVISION WITH THE GRACE OF A CHAMELEON, WHILE THE PEASANT PARTY WILL GRATEFULLY ACCEPT ALMOST ANY PARTNER WITH A FEW PERCENT OF POTENTIAL - KALUKIN FURTHER IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Morawiecki has already crossed the line of division with the grace of a chameleon, while the peasant party will gratefully accept almost any partner with a few percent of potential, thanks to whom they could cross the election threshold. The problem is that such an arrangement would have to be constructed well in advance to acclimatize voters, who should certainly be given a clear signal as to which side the schema-breaking initiative is on. Because the expert jargon of both leaders alone is not quite enough to gain credibility.”

-- EVEN IF SUCH A PLAN IS MATURING IN THE PRESIDENT'S MIND TODAY, HE WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY IMPLEMENT IT AT THE LAST MOMENT, SCRAPPING THE FORMER PRIME MINISTER'S PEOPLE FROM THE LISTS - RAFAŁ KALUKIN FURTHER: “It is better to be kicked out, but Kaczyński is too experienced a player to make a foolish mistake and eliminate Morawiecki during his term. Even if such a plan is maturing in the president's mind today, he will almost certainly implement it at the last moment, removing the former prime minister's people from the election lists just before they are closed. And then it will probably be too late to look for new partners.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2339113,1,wyscig-do-centrum-odstawiony-do-kata-morawiecki-i-dolujacy-psl-czy-ten-flirt-ma-szanse.read

-- IF THE SMALL DIP IN THE KORONA'S POLLS IS CONFIRMED IN APRIL AND MAY, IT WILL BE A SIGN THAT PIS HAS MOVED FORWARD AT LEAST ON THIS FRONT - MICHAŁ PIEDZIUK AND WOJCIECH SZACKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “A significant part of PiS's recent activity is an attempt to destroy a right-wing competitor, take away his oxygen, and push him below the threshold. This is what Czarnek's nomination served, as he is intended to cater to the needs of the electorate on the border of PiS and Konfederacja. PiS politicians are attacking Braun's image as a Catholic politician, reminding that there are neo-pagans in his circle, showing his pro-Russian stance, attacking him for his lack of seriousness, and accusing him of wanting to privatize healthcare. This war is being fought mainly below the radar of the media, at meetings with PiS deputies, but it is intense and bloody. If minor dips in the Korona's poll numbers are confirmed in April and May, it will be a sign that PiS has moved forward at least on this front.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2339117,1,szesc-wojen-na-prawicy-marzy-im-sie-wladza-ale-patrza-na-siebie-wilkiem-i-sobie-nie-ufaja.read

-- TUSK'S HYPOCRISY HAS AFFECTED SAME-SEX MARRIAGES - PATRYK SŁOWIK ON THE ZERO PORTAL: “As soon as I come to power, I will make your lives easier – Donald Tusk promised same-sex couples in 2023. Now, without regard for the president or the parliamentary majority, he could make things easier. However, he is doing a lot to make them harder. I have more trouble when politicians lie to citizens to extort their support. And then they do not fulfill their promises, because, for example, from the latest public opinion polls, it emerges that it is not profitable to fulfill parts of pre-election declarations. Donald Tusk's situation regarding partnerships and same-sex marriages is exactly this case. Well, not the first and not the last manifestation of hypocrisy. But still sad.”
https://zero.pl/news/tusk-obiecywal-pomoc-dzis-blokuje-zmiany-co-stalo-sie-z-deklaracjami-wobec-par-jednoplciowych

-- BIRTHDAYS: Andrzej Poczobut, Piotr Zientarski, Dawid Dziama, Karina Kostrzewa Dowgielewicz.
 


Łukasz Mężyk