state of play: 04/13/2026

STATE OF PLAY: Russia Loses Oligarchic Foothold in Europe, Cenckiewicz on Orbán: He Was an Ally Only in Confrontations with EU Centralists

Łukasz Mężyk

-- TUSK: I AM GLAD THAT THIS PART OF EUROPE IS SHOWING THAT WE ARE NOT DOOMED TO CORRUPT AND AUTHORITARIAN GOVERNMENTS - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/pl/live

-- HE WAS AN ALLY OF POLAND ONLY IN CONFRONTATIONS WITH COSMOPOLITANS AND CENTRALISTS IN THE EU AND ON THE ISSUE OF MIGRATION; RECORDINGS OF CONVERSATIONS BETWEEN THE HUNGARIAN PRIME MINISTER AND FOREIGN MINISTER WITH PUTIN AND LAVROV ARE EXEMPLIFICATION OF ALL THIS - SŁAWOMIR CENCKIEWICZ: “He was an ally of Poland only in confrontations with cosmopolitans and centralists in the EU and on the issue of migration. This was important, but not enough. Furthermore, he only deepened contradictions – a different perception of Russian threats, differences in the perception of the North Atlantic alliance (studies will one day be written about the role of Hungarians in intelligence cooperation), energy policy completely inconsistent with our interests (Mól’s recent escapades and trip to the Serbian market in consultation with Russia), burying the Three Seas Initiative idea… The recently revealed recordings of conversations between the Hungarian Prime Minister and Foreign Minister with Putin and Lavrov (perhaps obtained by one of the intelligence agencies) are exemplification of all this. Relativizing this on the Polish anti-Russian right was a mistake (to put it mildly).”
https://x.com/Cenckiewicz/status/2043420071737938202?s=20

-- I ASSESS ORBÁN AS A DAMAGING FIGURE FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF POLISH INTERESTS, WHO OPTED FOR A TOTAL COLLISION COURSE WITH OURS, AND TO SOME EXTENT, HUNGARY'S AS WELL, GIVEN BUDAPEST'S LEVEL OF ENERGY DEPENDENCE ON ONE DIRECTION - MOSCOW - ROBERT WINNICKI: “I assess him as a damaging figure from the perspective of Polish interests, who opted for a total collision course with ours (and to some extent, Hungary's as well, considering Budapest's level of energy dependence on one direction - Moscow), with the interests of the Polish state, while having a mouth full of misleading phrases about saber-rattling and empty promises. Orbán pursued a vision of a German-Russian Central Europe and deluded himself that he would get something out of it. Zero sentiment, only Polish raison d'état, with which Orbán has been in sharp conflict for years.”
https://x.com/RobertWinnicki/status/2043411412525957392?s=20

-- JANUSZ KORWIN MIKKE PUBLISHED A PHOTOMONTAGE IN WHICH THE FACES OF THE WAJDAS FROM THE KOMOROWSKI ELECTION NIGHT WERE REPLACED WITH THE FACES OF ZIOBRO AND ROMANOWSKI:
https://x.com/JkmMikke/status/2043413379578986606?s=20

-- BYE BYE PAL - JAKUB SZYMCZUK ON ORBÁN IN A PHOTO WITH PUTIN:
https://x.com/jakub_szymczuk/status/2043430547620245730?s=20

-- HE WILL LEAVE OFFICE AS A FOREIGN CLIENT. HE WILL LEAVE COMPROMISED AS A POCKET AUTOCRAT BEGGING FOR SUPPORT. VIKTOR ORBÁN IS TO GIVE UP POWER AFTER 16 YEARS, THIS IS THE BANKRUPTCY OF SOVEREIGNTY - ZBIGNIEW PARAFIANOWICZ IN WP: “The great Viktor Orbán, after these 16 years, is more reminiscent of Moldovan oligarchs who, in exchange for reduced tariffs from Russia or a few suitcases of dollars, offered to change the country's course towards pro-Moscow. The hope of the European right and a model conservative has become someone like the Moldovan oligarch Vlad Plahotniuc, a man without qualities or views, who, like Orbán, specialized in privatizing the state. Both proved too weak to complete their projects. Even with the support of major players.”
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/calkowite-bankructwo-suwerenizmu-orbana-opinia-7274592154753280a

-- THE HUNGARIAN PRIME MINISTER DEMORALIZES THE POLISH RIGHT. THE POLISH NATIONAL INTEREST IS CERTAINLY NOT IDENTICAL TO THE HUNGARIAN ONE - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: “Moreover, there is something even more dangerous than these actions by Hungary at the international level. These recitations that here we have a politician who pursues the national interest of his country, instead of getting involved in international brawls, degenerate a part of the Polish right.”

-- IF THIS GOVERNMENT IS ON THE VERGE OF COLLAPSE AFTER SIXTEEN YEARS IN POWER, THERE ARE REASONS FOR THIS THAT GO BEYOND THE LOGIC OF AN IDEOLOGICAL MATCH - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “On a related note, another piece of advice. Don't pretend to be wiser than the Hungarians themselves. If this government is on the verge of collapse after sixteen years in power, there are reasons for this that go beyond the logic of an ideological match. It is worth finding out calmly what they are. One doesn't die from having too much knowledge.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-nie-kibicuje-orbanowi-powody-sa-dwa,nId,23326343

-- THE SATISFACTION OF THE LIBERAL-PRO-EUROPEAN CAMP WITH THE ELECTION RESULTS IN HUNGARY CANNOT MAKE IT BLIND TO THE PROBLEMS, BECAUSE IF THE UNION DOES NOT START SOLVING THEM, THE SMILE WILL QUICKLY DISAPPEAR FROM THE LIPS OF LIBERAL DEMOCRACY SYMPATHIZERS - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “It is worth asking why Orbán enjoyed such strong support in his country for years? What mistakes by the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats caused the far-right to gain strength in France and Germany. One may dislike the National Rally and Alternative for Germany, but they address significant problems that governments in Paris and Berlin have failed to resolve. Sooner or later, they will have to be solved. Without this, the European Union will collapse. And not because of Kaczyński, Orbán, Fico, or Babiš, but because of the mistakes of Merkel, Scholz, Merz, and Macron. And the satisfaction of the liberal-pro-European camp with the election results in Hungary cannot make it blind to these problems, because if the Union does not start solving them, the smile will quickly disappear from the lips of liberal democracy sympathizers.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44141051-michal-szuldrzynski-viktor-orban-przegral-ale-warto-zadac-pytanie-dlaczego-tak-dlugo-wygrywal

-- RUSSIA IS WEAKER - ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The victory of the Magyars should please us, because with Orbán's departure, Moscow loses an important foothold in Europe. And everything that weakens Russia is in Poland's interest. We naturally wish the Hungarians a better life under the new government, but from our perspective, the situation has already improved. I don't know if, with the passage of time, Hungarians will assess that they made a good choice for themselves, or if they will be disappointed with Magyar and Tisza. But for us, it is important that they chose Europe against Russia.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art44140471-artur-bartkiewicz-wegrzy-wybrali-polacy-maja-powod-do-radosci-rosja-jest-slabsza

-- OVER 82 PERCENT OF POLES NEGATIVELY ASSESS THE IMPACT OF THE CURRENT RULING COALITION ON THE SITUATION IN POLISH HEALTHCARE. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST UNITED SURVEYS POLL FOR WIRTUALNA POLSKA: “The survey results leave no room for doubt: as many as 47.9% of respondents clearly see no positive effects of the current team's actions in this area. Another 34.2% assess these actions as rather negative. In total, this is almost 82.1% of critical votes. Only one in ten Poles (10.9%) believes that healthcare is improving under the current coalition.”
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/polacy-bezlitosni-dla-rzadu-fatalne-oceny-ochrony-zdrowia-sondaz-7272698308262080a

-- THERE HAS BEEN NO TOILET PAPER IN CLOSED PSYCHIATRIC WARDS SINCE JANUARY. SOME PATIENTS THERE ARE NOT VISITED BY ANYONE, SO THEY HAVE NOTHING TO WIPE THEMSELVES WITH - SAYS A THERAPIST FROM THE INSTITUTE OF PSYCHIATRY TO ME - MAGDA ROSZKOWSKA IN GW: “– This is an unprecedented situation. I have been working here for 20 years, and there have never been such savings at the expense of patient dignity. The management led to this situation – says a psychiatrist from the Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology (IPiN). She wishes to remain anonymous due to fear of retaliatory actions by the management. In the article, she appears as Psychiatrist A. From another informant, I learn that since January 2025, i.e., since Director Piotr Nowicki began implementing the deep restructuring plan for the facility, created by him and approved by the Ministry of Health, over a dozen psychiatrists have resigned. - Recently, the head of psychogeriatrics, Dr. Agnieszka Borzym, and the head of the Emergency Department, Dr. Anna Chrostek, submitted their resignations. This is a huge loss for the Institute – says Psychiatrist A when I ask about the doctors' departures.”
https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,32715561,z-instytutu-psychiatrii-i-neurologii-odeszlo-w-ostatnim-czasie.html

-- BIRTHDAYS: Róża Thun, Jacek Świderski, Jarosław Gugała, Maciej Knapik, Robert Biedroń, Wojciech Solarz.
 


Łukasz Mężyk