state of play: 07/19/2025
POLITICAL SCENE: Morawiecki, Brudziński, Bielan, and Szefernaker Together in Białogard, Saturday Anti-Immigration Demonstrations, Stanowski: Braun Undermines Pilecki, but Not Putin
-- MORAWIECKI, BRUDZIŃSKI, SZEFERNAKER, AND BIELAN TOGETHER TODAY ON THE EU BUDGET IN BIAŁOGARD:
https://x.com/jbrudzinski/status/1946478157273436421
-- JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI TOMORROW IN LUBLIN AND RZESZÓW:
https://x.com/pisorgpl/status/1946489112736714856
-- QUITE NUMEROUS ANTI-IMMIGRATION DEMONSTRATIONS IN 80 CITIES ACROSS POLAND:
-- KATOWICE: https://x.com/Zbyszko666/status/1946505391824605657
-- GDAŃSK:
https://x.com/MaciejBk1/status/1946513606075433107
-- TORUŃ:
https://x.com/SlawomirMentzen/status/1946520192965558763
-- PŁOCK:
https://x.com/tucholski_marek/status/1946514413927735589
-- 130 THOUSAND VIEWS OF ROBERT MAZUREK'S EVENING CONVERSATION WITH BĄKIEWICZ YESTERDAY:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3RXvVCLwyY
-- KRZYSZTOF BOSAK: A very strong interview with an experienced officer serving on the border with Belarus. He exposes the government's lies about the improving situation and reveals dramatic staff, legal, procedural, and technical deficiencies.
https://x.com/krzysztofbosak/status/1946489901152620674
-- THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE HAS ALMOST FINISHED COUNTING THE VOTES. UNOFFICIALLY: SOCIOLOGISTS' ESTIMATES ARE NOT BEING CONFIRMED - WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “The National Prosecutor's Office does not want to disclose the vote counting results. Our interlocutor says – unofficially – that the sociologists' estimates are 'not being confirmed.' – This is on a micro-scale compared to what was in the expert analyses. We expected thousands of cases, and there are far fewer.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32114341,prokuratura-prawie-skonczyla-liczyc-glosy-nieoficjalnie-szacunki.html
-- THE PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE, BUSY COUNTING VOTES, DISMISSES THE CASE OF A DRIVER WHO WAS SPEEDING The prosecutor's office has discontinued proceedings against a driver who was driving at nearly 400 km/h on the S79 route in Warsaw while holding a phone and recording his drive. Investigators concluded that the situation did not pose a 'direct' threat to others.
https://x.com/Sluzby_w_akcji/status/1946216020114338162
-- TUSK'S GOVERNMENT HAS REALLOCATED FUNDS FROM BUILDING DRUG PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO SUBSIDIZING THE PURCHASE OF ELECTRIC CARS - MARCELINA ZAWISZA:
https://x.com/mmzawisza/status/1946437970224980209
-- THE MIGRANT SCANDAL FROM GERMANY. HOWEVER, THEY WERE ACCEPTED - TOMASZ MOLGA IN WP: “German services, when handing over detained migrants to Poland, refer to intergovernmental agreements and protocols from 30 years ago – Wirtualna Polska has established. The Border Guard from the Lubuskie Voivodeship admitted that on this basis, they accepted over 800 foreigners this year. This is an example of ambiguities, thanks to which the Border Defense Movement could have arisen.”
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/afera-o-migrantow-z-niemiec-jednak-ich-przyjmowano-mamy-dane-7179301047450208a
-- GRZEGORZ BRAUN CANNOT DENY EVERYONE AND EVERYTHING. GRZEGORZ BRAUN CAN UNDERRMINE WITOLD PILECKI, BUT HE DOES NOT UNDERRMINE VLADIMIR PUTIN - KRZYSZTOF STANOWSKI:
https://x.com/K_Stanowski/status/1946102828113510560
-- OTHERWISE, YOU WILL SOON LOSE POWER, SO IT'S HIGH TIME YOU STARTED SHOWING SOME ACTIVITY INSTEAD OF SITTING IN FRONT OF THE TV, BECAUSE I SAW A PATHETIC SCENE THIS WEEK WHERE THE PRIME MINISTER WAS SITTING IN FRONT OF THE TV - ANTONI DUDEK:
https://x.com/PawelSokala/status/1946423721667031432
-- AFTER TAKING POWER, THE GOVERNMENT HAS SYSTEMATICALLY FAILED ITS VOTERS - JAKUB BODZIONY IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “In 2023, Tusk promised to rebuild the state after PiS and restore normalcy. However, after taking power, the government has systematically failed its voters. The friction within the coalition turned out to be so serious that the progressive postulates from the campaign, as usual, were postponed 'for a better time.' This time is unlikely to come, as it is difficult to imagine President Karol Nawrocki being more willing to cooperate with Tusk than Andrzej Duda.”
-- THE PRIME MINISTER'S POSITION AFTER THE ELECTION IS WEAK - BODZIONY CONTINUES IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “And the prime minister's position after the election is weak. The coalition partners have no intention of backing down, and the much-heralded reconstruction is increasingly resembling a rearrangement on the Titanic. Tusk offered only a return to what was – but even this task has proven too much for the current ruling team.”
https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2025/07/15/cyfrowa-demokracja-juz-tu-jest-czas-sie-jej-nauczyc/
-- IT IS ALREADY EVIDENT THAT THE ANNOUNCED AND PROLONGED GOVERNMENT RECONSTRUCTION, WHICH WAS MEANT TO STREAMLINE AND CONSOLIDATE POWER, HAS ONLY EXHAUSTED AND WEAKENED IT - JERZY BACZYŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “If the coalition still intends to compete in the 2027 elections, it must again show how it differs from the potential alliance of Kaczyński, Mentzen, Braun, and Nawrocki. It is already clear that the announced and prolonged government reconstruction, which was intended to streamline and consolidate power, has only exhausted and weakened it. Self-preservation instinct would dictate not suicidal overtures to PiS, but firmness in defending one's own values, views, and programs. Remembering one's own coalition agreement, and especially the agreement with voters. The boundaries, the red lines between the right and the far-right on one side and the 'democratic alliance' on the other – must be visible from afar. Otherwise, there will be nothing to go to the next elections for or about.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2307665,1,czerwone-linie.read
-- THE PROBLEM IS – AS RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI PAINFULLY DISCOVERED – THAT YOU CANNOT REMOVE THE PIS FROM POWER TWICE – ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The presidential elections showed that voters can no longer be mobilized by the slogan of stopping PiS – that has already happened; now voters expect an answer to the question: what next? What kind of state do the rulers want to build? Donald Tusk, a dozen or so years ago, in calmer times, could tempt Poles with non-ideological warm water from the tap, because then it seemed to everyone that history had already ended and politicians were mainly expected to leave us in peace. Today, when the world is shaking, people expect leadership that will lead them in a clearly indicated direction, giving hope for safe survival through the raging storms and tempests of the world.”
-- THE GOVERNMENT IN ITS CURRENT CONFIGURATION WILL NOT BE EFFECTIVE – AND NEITHER A SPOKESPERSON NOR A RECONSTRUCTION WILL HELP IT – BARTKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “In reality – although no one from the ruling camp will say it out loud today – the formula of the coalition of October 15 has already exhausted itself. The government in its current configuration will not be effective – and neither a spokesperson nor a reconstruction will help it. This does not necessarily mean that PiS must return to power after 2027, but recreating a right-left 'cordon' coalition after the next elections will make no sense. Today, the question is whether Civic Platform will be able to define which direction it intends to turn. And whether it will be able to convince voters that it is credible in this.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42726511-artur-bartkiewicz-dlaczego-koalicja-15-pazdziernika-nie-ma-przyszlosci
-- TUSK HIMSELF HAS CEASED TO BE A GUARANTOR OF PREVENTING PIS FOR THE LIBERAL ELECTORATE. IN THIS SITUATION, THE ONLY BRIGHT SPOT ON THE PARTY FIRMAMENT REMAINS SIKORSKI - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “In Platforma, depleted by Tusk of personalities over the years, the presidential defeat has caused ultimate demolition. Rafał Trzaskowski's brilliant career has ended, and Tusk himself has ceased to be a guarantor of preventing PiS for the liberal electorate. In this situation, Sikorski remains the only bright spot on the party firmament – and that is why voters, terrified by the prospect of Kaczyński's rule with Konfederacja in two years, are positioning themselves around him.”
-- IN THE AUTUMN, 'ZRYW' IN THE TATRAS – A MEETING FOR YOUTH ORGANIZED BY A FOUNDATION WHERE THE SON OF MINISTER ALEXANDER SIKORSKI AND COLLABORATORS OF ALEKSANDRA UZNAŃSKA-WIŚNIEWSKA ARE ACTIVE - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “There will be no Trzaskowski Campus in Olsztyn this summer – an annual event for young people that ended in failure because the young people voted for Nawrocki. Instead, in the autumn, there will be 'Zryw' in the Tatras – a meeting for youth organized by a foundation where Minister Alexander Sikorski's son and collaborators of Aleksandra Uznańska-Wiśniewska, the astronaut's wife, who is a supporter of Sikorski, are active. This is supposedly not politics, although not everyone believes it.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/radoslaw-sikorski-buduje-sie-w-po-wyczul-ze-to-moze-byc-ostatnia-szansa/smhgvmt
-- CREATING A CLOSED FORTRESS OUT OF THE EU WOULD BE DESTRUCTIVE FOR THE EU ECONOMY AS IT WOULD LEAD TO INFLATION - MACIEJ PAWŁOWSKI IN RZ: “Ultimately, in terms of migration policy, the EU must renounce two extreme approaches. The first is the naivety characteristic of organizations defending migrants' rights, which demand their mass acceptance, ignoring cultural differences and potential threats. On the other hand, we are dealing with anti-immigrant naivety stemming from fear, sometimes bordering on racism. Many people believe that completely closing the EU's external borders is possible and beneficial. In reality, however, creating a closed fortress out of the EU would be destructive for the EU economy, as it would lead to inflation and the uncompetitiveness of EU exports.”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art42717071-zamknac-dla-migrantow-zewnetrzne-granice-unii-drozyzna-i-destrukcja-gospodarki
-- THE DANGER IS THE SPECTER OF A KIND OF WARMING OF THE IMAGE OF THE ENTIRE WEHRMACHT - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: “This is also, broadly speaking, my position. It was worth raising this topic. Although, naturally, it involves risk, the greater the risk, the further we are from the war, the less people, in Poland and abroad, distinguish historical nuances. One danger is the specter of a kind of warming of the image of the entire Wehrmacht. Independent of museum commentaries on exhibits. Well, because since there were sympathetic young people in nice uniforms…”
-- A COMPLETE RETHINKING OF THE PILECKI INSTITUTE. IT WAS ESTABLISHED, AMONG OTHER THINGS, TO DOCUMENT GERMAN CRIMES - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “Everything else would not have ended in such a violent quarrel if it weren't for the political background. This includes, among other things, the complete rethinking of the Pilecki Institute. It was established, among other things, to document German crimes. Under Tusk and Minister Hanna Wróblewska, it was handed over to the German studies scholar Prof. Krzysztof Ruchniewicz, and he avoids events that might displease the German side like the plague.”
-- THE LOCAL GOVERNMENT OF THE CITY OF GDAŃSK HAS FOR YEARS BEEN CONSIDERED A PROPONENT OF PRO-GERMAN HISTORICAL MEMORY - ZAREMBA CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “In turn, the local government of the city of Gdańsk has for years been considered a proponent of pro-German historical memory. The traditions of the Free City of Gdańsk are cultivated there, which was not only German but also Nazi, earlier than all of Germany. On the other hand, it neglects relics of Polish resistance against Germany, such as the now mythical Polish Post.”
-- I WOULD EXPECT THE PRESIDENT-ELECT TO TAKE A CLEAR STANCE ON THE ISSUE OF BRAUN: “I would expect the president-elect to take a clear stance on this matter. He just thundered about the truth in assessing the Volhynian massacre. He should demand it also when a fundamental Catholic driven by insane anti-Semitism tramples it for his own purposes.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-nasi-chlopcy-czyli-o-jeden-krok-za-daleko-w-przekopywaniu-hi,nId,22165558
-- 94TH BIRTH ANNIVERSARY OF ZOFIA KURATOWSKA (on Sunday). She died in 1999 at the age of only 68.
-- ZOFIA KURATOWSKA: A POLITICIAN AND DOCTOR LIKE NO OTHER – ELŻBIETA CICHOCKA WROTE IN WYSOKIE OBCASY: “Groups of discriminated people turned to her – Roma, disabled people, people with AIDS. She was a pioneer in striving for electoral quotas, rights for LGBT communities, and initiated work on a law abolishing architectural barriers for the disabled. Together with Małgorzata Fuszara and Eleonora Zielińska, she worked on a law establishing equal status for women and men.”
https://www.wysokieobcasy.pl/wysokie-obcasy/7,53662,18036420,zofia-kuratowska-polityczka-i-lekarka-jakich-juz-nie-ma.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Stanisław Piotrowicz, Łukasz Pawełek, Maciek Grabowski, Anna Knysok. SUNDAY: Czesław Mroczek, Jarosław Rusiecki.
live
26 min
41 min
„There Was a Betrayal.” — Sasin on ETS2
4 hours
„He Wasn't in the Document Workflow.” — Śliwka on Telus and the Results of Parliamentary Oversight
4 hours
"Putin-esque Mannerisms": Błaszczak on Tusk's Behavior
4 hours
President Proposed Poland Serve as a Hub for US Gas Supplies to Slovakia
5 hours
„We Will Reclaim the Plot of Land, It Will Be Possible to Buy It Back.” — Krajewski Announces Agreement
6 hours
„His Company Sponsored Campus Polska.” — Horała Responds to Accusations
6 hours
27 Votes on Ziobro: Hołownia Announces
6 hours
Partnership Unions Again Removed from Sejm's Agenda. Hołownia Confirms
6 hours
„My Chances Have Increased.” — Hołownia on Candidacy for UN Commissioner
state of play
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state of play
today
State of Play: GW and RMF on Cancelled Surgeries, Helsinki Foundation on Żurek's Project: Little in Common with Rule of Law, Szułdrzyński: Konfederacja Benefits from "PiS-PO One Evil"
state of play
yesterday
STATE OF PLAY: Prof. Flis on Gruszczyński: The Beneficiaries of Reckonings Aren't the Government, but Braun and Konfederacja. Duma: Campaign Themes No Longer Resonate, Res Futura: 58% Online Support Rymanowski
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11/03/2025
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10/31/2025
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10/30/2025
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10/29/2025