state of play: 07/03/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Poof! It's 2013 Again, and We're Younger! The Last Time Tusk Had Such Dire Approval Ratings Was 12 Years Ago
-- BOSAK: WE ARE READY TO ATTRACT VOTERS FROM POLAND 2050, PSL, AND DISILLUSIONED CIVIC PLATFORM VOTERS - 300LIVE:
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/07/03/
-- THE TREND OF THE PRIME MINISTER'S RATINGS DETERIORATING HAS CONTINUED FOR THE THIRD MONTH - CBOS ANALYSTS WRITE: “The current level of satisfaction with Donald Tusk leading the government stands at 32% (a decrease of 3 percentage points compared to May). Simultaneously, the percentage of people declaring dissatisfaction with this fact has increased by 5 points, to 58%. Over the past few months, the satisfaction index fluctuated within a narrow range, but it has been falling quite consistently since March. In June, satisfaction reached its lowest level, and dissatisfaction its highest since the inception of this government”.
https://cbos.pl/PL/publikacje/raporty_tekst.php?id=7049
-- DISSATISFACTION WITH DONALD TUSK LEADING THE GOVERNMENT 2025:
52 January
51 February
50 March
51 April
53 May
58 June
-- DISSATISFACTION WITH DONALD TUSK LEADING THE GOVERNMENT 2013:
57 March 2013
59 April 2013
60 May 2013
59 June 2013
59 July 2013
62 August 2013
-- BEATA SZYDŁO, UPON LEAVING THE OFFICE OF PRIME MINISTER IN DECEMBER 2017, HAD:
49% satisfied that she held the position
39% dissatisfied
-- MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI, UPON LEAVING THE OFFICE OF PRIME MINISTER AFTER THE 2023 ELECTIONS, HAD:
-- 36% satisfied that Morawiecki was leading the government
-- 53% dissatisfied.
-- DISSATISFACTION WITH MORAWIECKI LEADING THE GOVERNMENT - 2023:
55 January 2023
49 February 2023
49 March 2023
52 April 2023
56 May 2023
55 June 2023
57 July 2023
48 August 2023
52 September 2023
53 October 2023
53 November 2023
***
-- IT COULD HAPPEN, FOR EXAMPLE, THAT THE NEED ARISES TO FIND A PRIME MINISTER UNITING A NEW COALITION AGREEMENT. IF SUCH A PROPOSAL WERE MADE TO ME, I WOULD NOT HESITATE - PRESIDENT ANDRZEJ DUDA IN AN INTERVIEW WITH NIEDZIELA GOŚĆ: “However, if there were other challenges. It could happen, for example, that the need arises to find a prime minister uniting a new coalition agreement. If such a proposal were made to me, I would not hesitate – he said”.
https://www.polsatnews.pl/wiadomosc/2025-07-03/prezydent-wprost-o-stanowisku-premiera-nie-wahalbym-sie/
-- IN THE 2027 ELECTIONS, LIBERTARIANS NEED THEIR OWN PARTY - WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GW: “The economy must be managed by those who know how to do it and take material responsibility for their decisions, i.e., private entrepreneurs. The liberal electorate needs a party implementing precisely such a program”.
-- NEPOTISM AND FAVORITISM HAVE NOT YET REACHED THE SAME PROPORTIONS UNDER THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT AS UNDER THE PiS GOVERNMENT, BUT THEY ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY COMMON - GADOMSKI CONTINUES: “Civic Platform has become a party of power. Nepotism and favoritism have not yet reached the same proportions under the current government as under the PiS government, but they are becoming increasingly common. For this reason, the parties forming the current government are perceived by an ever-larger segment of voters as primarily pursuing their own interests”.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,32073345,okiem-liberala-w-wyborach-2027-r-liberalowie-potrzebuja-wlasnej.html
-- KRZYSZTOF BOSAK: THE INTENSIFICATION OF PROTESTS HAS CAUSED A DECREASE IN GERMAN SERVICES' ACTIVITY in transferring migrants to Poland. And Poles are massively showing solidarity with the protesters.
https://x.com/krzysztofbosak/status/1940674648699818399
-- DONALD TUSK, ENTERING INTO A CONFRONTATION OVER THE BORDER IN A RESTRICTIVE MANNER, IS FIGHTING TO CONFIRM THE GOVERNMENT'S EFFECTIVENESS. BUT BY DOING SO, HE IS ENTERING A ARENA WHERE JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI USUALLY WINS - BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ.
-- TUSK VALIDATES THE PiS NARRATIVE - CHRABOTA CONTINUES IN RZ: “Two important points: tactically, Tusk is right to engage in a confrontation over the border in a restrictive manner. Strategically – he might be making a mistake that Kaczyński is just waiting for. He is, after all, validating the PiS narrative and opening the field for electoral confrontation around a topic dictated by the right. This could have dire consequences not in 2027, but much earlier”.
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42643081-boguslaw-chrabota-donald-tusk-brnie-w-granice-to-bardzo-ryzykowne
-- HOŁOWNIA HAS NO POLITICAL INTEREST IN ENDORSING THE CIVIC COALITION'S NARRATIVE ABOUT ELECTION FRAUD - MICHAŁ KOLANKO IN RZ: “Szymon Hołownia has no political interest in endorsing the Civic Coalition's narrative about election fraud. Nor in supporting the whispers to not convene the National Assembly and not accept the oath from the new president, Karol Nawrocki”.
-- CIVIC PLATFORM? IS LEFT WITH THE MESS IT MADE FOR ITSELF - KOLANKO CONTINUES IN RZ: “This is another layer that is important to the Marshal of the Sejm. Hołownia has repeatedly said that many predicted his quick political death. Now this is being repeated. But he emphasizes that he wants to stay in politics for longer. He thinks in terms of a longer perspective than current polls. Rafał Trzaskowski, who has not spoken a single word on the matter of alleged election fraud so far, also thinks similarly. And Civic Platform? Is left with the mess it made for itself”.
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art42643181-michal-kolanko-dlaczego-szymon-holownia-nie-gra-w-wyborczy-scenariusz-po
-- PRIME MINISTER JERZY BUZEK TURNS 85. LESZEK MILLER IS 79.
-- 15 YEARS AGO, Bronisław Komorowski defeated Jarosław Kaczyński in the second round of the presidential election after the tragic death of President Lech Kaczyński.
-- 36 YEARS AGO, the inaugural sessions of the 10th term Sejm and the 1st term Senate took place.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Jerzy Buzek, Leszek Miller, Czesław Ryszka, Barbara Bartuś, Dorota Masłowska, Krzysztof Pacewicz, Małgorzata Naukowicz.
live
4 hours
11 min
Müller: I Don't Share the Opinion on the Right That We Have a Guarantee of Winning the Next Election
24 min
Müller Denies Morawiecki as Prime Minister Could Have Known About CPK Land Plot
30 min
„Receipts on the table. So far, I haven’t seen a document signed by Telus.” — Müller to the Prime Minister and Government Spokesperson
3 hours
Nawrocki Meets with Fico
3 hours
„The Conclusions Will Be Used in the President’s Chancellery’s Work.” — Szefernaker on Today’s Expert Meeting
4 hours
„There Was a Betrayal.” — Sasin on ETS2
7 hours
„He Wasn't in the Document Workflow.” — Śliwka on Telus and the Results of Parliamentary Oversight
7 hours
"Putin-esque Mannerisms": Błaszczak on Tusk's Behavior
8 hours
President Proposed Poland Serve as a Hub for US Gas Supplies to Slovakia
state of play
STATE OF PLAY: PiS Suffers Spectacular Setback, Baranowska: PiS Lacks a Plan to Exit Defensive Stance, Janicki: Has Tusk's Camp's Depression Passed? The Game is Back On
state of play
today
State of Play: GW and RMF on Cancelled Surgeries, Helsinki Foundation on Żurek's Project: Little in Common with Rule of Law, Szułdrzyński: Konfederacja Benefits from "PiS-PO One Evil"
state of play
yesterday
STATE OF PLAY: Prof. Flis on Gruszczyński: The Beneficiaries of Reckonings Aren't the Government, but Braun and Konfederacja. Duma: Campaign Themes No Longer Resonate, Res Futura: 58% Online Support Rymanowski
state of play
11/03/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Zaremba: What if Braun's party gets 20% in the 2027 elections? Szczęśniak/Sitnicka: Have the ghosts of the past caught up with PiS? Skrzydłowska: Ziobro like Le Pen?
state of play
10/31/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Politico on the New Wave of Ukrainian Refugees in Poland and Germany, Machowski: Many Coalition Lists Will Hand Power to the Right
state of play
10/30/2025
STATE OF PLAY: Danielewski: Speculation about a potential prime ministerial change can be put down to fairy tales, Majmurek: The Platform showed its worst side… and PiS wasn’t any better
state of play
10/29/2025