-- DEFICIT WITHOUT LIMITS. STATE BUDGET LIKE A BOTTOMLESS BAG - WP: “Poland’s budget deficit is growing like yeast dough in the July heat. In 2025, it is expected to reach over 6% of GDP, and public debt will dangerously approach the 60% GDP threshold, the crossing of which causes concern not only in Brussels but also in financial markets.” https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/deficyt-bez-granic-budzet-panstwa-jak-worek-bez-dna-7173627075881888a -- BUDGET FOR 2025 ALREADY HAS ALMOST PLN 300 BILLION DEFICIT, NEXT YEAR PUBLIC DEBT SERVICE COSTS ALONE WILL RISE TO ALMOST PLN 100 BILLION - JERZY BACZYŃSKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “On the other hand, there is also a general expectation that the government, after the reconstruction, will present its own ambitious social and investment program. There will be a beautiful bidding war. Meanwhile, the budget for 2025 already has a deficit of almost PLN 300 billion, next year the costs of servicing public debt alone will increase to almost PLN 100 billion; and we should also spend PLN 200 billion on defense. None of this holds water. Well, Polish politics has long since flown into a state of weightlessness and is not coming back.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2306097,1,stan-niewazkosci.read -- VERY NEGATIVE SURPRISE IN INDUSTRY - PKO BP BANK ANALYSTS: In June, the PMI index plummeted to 44.8 points from 47.1 points in May, despite expectations for growth. This is the second month of declines, reaching the lowest level since October 2023. Companies are losing optimism – which is at its lowest since November 2024. Only 24% of manufacturers expect an improvement, while as many as 19% fear a further decline in production. This could mean difficult times for the industry. https://x.com/PKO_Research/status/1939946934527012944 -- MACIEJ SAMCIK: THIS IS NOT THE FIRST SIGNAL THAT SOMETHING VERY BAD IS HAPPENING IN THE LABOR MARKET https://x.com/MaciejSamcik/status/1940303308679520505 -- CBOS: THE ELECTION RESULTS ANNOUNCED BY THE NATIONAL ELECTION COMMISSION DO NOT RAISE SERIOUS DOUBTS AMONG 75% OF POLES. 15% of respondents consider them unreliable. https://x.com/CBOS_Info/status/1940043676086087886 -- MICHAŁ DANIELEWSKI ON RYSZARD KALISZ’S WORDS: The guy is literally a member of the National Election Commission and suggests on the radio that votes were falsified en masse before his eyes and with his inaction. Comedy. https://x.com/synczeslawa/status/1940313674822164863 -- FILIP CHAJZER ON NAWROCKI: I know I will be showered with hate. So be it. I think our new president is great. Congratulations and best wishes! https://www.onet.pl/styl-zycia/plejada/filip-chajzer-wpisem-o-karolu-nawrockim-wywolal-burze-prosze-mi-wytlumaczyc/gwqjhnd,0898b825 -- THIS IS HOW THOSE WHO CLAIM THE PRESIDENT-ELECT SHOULD BE SWORN IN END UP ON TVP - PROF. STANISŁAW ŻERKO ON TVP'S INTERVIEW WITH PEŁCZYŃSKA-NAŁĘCZ ABOUT HER DAUGHTER EMPLOYED IN PL20250 STRUCTURES: https://x.com/StZerko/status/1940175952354419032 -- SŁAWOMIR CENCKIEWICZ ON THE INTERVIEW WITH PEŁCZYŃSKA-NAŁĘCZ: I never thought I would side with Minister Pełczyńska – what those two women from TVP did in that interview is truly unbelievable! https://x.com/Cenckiewicz/status/1940297948816167321 -- SECURITY GUARDS OF A UKRAINIAN CLUB IN WOLA, WARSAW, ARE LIKE A STATE WITHIN A STATE - RAFAŁ GÓRSKI IN GW: “Guests, to get inside, must first pay them – and quite a bit – and only then at the venue’s cash desk. – When I complained loudly that the security took a bribe from us, they pushed us out of the club, sprayed us with gas, and beat us – says Oleg.” -- VENUE WITHOUT A LICENSE TO SELL ALCOHOL - GÓRSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “As it turns out, not only the security is problematic, but also the sale of alcohol in the club. Marcin Góralski, spokesperson for the Wola District Office in Warsaw, says that the venue does not have a license to sell alcohol. The district also has no information about closed events held there where alcohol could be sold under a ‘temporary license’ – a two-day permit granted for a specific event or party. So how does the club sell alcohol to guests? The owner of the venue is a company engaged in the catering business. – It has permits for the sale of alcoholic beverages within the scope of organizing receptions – says the spokesperson.” https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,32062108,nie-ma-co-o-nich-gadac-bo-uslysza-i-nas-zagazuja-skargi-na.html -- A PICTURE OF A WEAK, DESERTING STATE IN A NUTSHELL - KRZYSZTOF BODAK ON THE GW REPORT: “A good article about the parallel night life fostered by the Ukrainian minority in Warsaw. Violence, intimidation, hermeticism, extorting, ignoring Polish law, the passivity of the tax office and police. A picture of a weak, deserting state in a nutshell.” https://x.com/krzysztofbosak/status/1940138855019258272 -- POLES GET WHAT THEY REWARD, SO THEY HAVE A NEW UKRAINIAN BUSINESS AND REAL ESTATE ARISTOCRACY, INCREASINGLY WITH POLISH CITIZENSHIP - KRZYSZTOF BOSAK AGAIN ON AN AGENCY LEGALIZING STAY IN POLAND: “Poles get what they reward. They have chosen a pro-Ukrainian parliamentary majority and president several times in a row, rewarded such legislation at the ballot box, so they have a new Ukrainian business and real estate aristocracy, increasingly with Polish citizenship. The blame should be placed solely on themselves.” https://x.com/krzysztofbosak/status/1940122447145312440 -- SZŁAPKA: PEOPLE BREAKING THE LAW MUST DISAPPEAR FROM THE BORDER. THE POLICE WILL DEFINITELY ACT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/07/02 -- A NEW POST-JUNE ERA. PIS CREATES THE IMPRESSION THAT IT IS ALREADY “ALMOST GOVERNING”. THE CLOCK IS TICKING, IT’S TIME TO GET ORGANIZED - MARIUSZ JANICKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Kaczyński, Nawrocki, Mentzen, or Braun want to create the impression of a complete and final bankruptcy of the liberal vision, even though real power still remains in the hands of the democratic camp. But the impression is to be created that PiS is already almost in power, as politicians of this party threaten and warn that this is the last chance to avoid their revenge.” -- SHOULD ONE PARTICIPATE IN THIS COLDLY PLANNED ACTION AGAINST THE DEMOCRATIC CAMP, STRENGTHENING MESSAGES OF “LOSERS,” “THE END OF TUSK,” AND THE ENTIRE “COALITION OF DECEMBER 13TH”? - CONTINUES THE FIRST DEPUTY EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Therefore, it is worth recognizing that the disappointment and ‘whining’ of democrats are fervently amplified by the PiS headquarters, in order to induce panic and disarm the opponent before the next campaigns. The question therefore arises for voters of the anti-PiS camp: should one participate in this coldly planned action against the democratic camp, strengthening messages of ‘losers,’ ‘the end of Tusk,’ and the entire ‘Coalition of December 13th’? In the history of battles, it has happened that armies not weaker than the opponent suddenly panicked and fled. PiS wants to create exactly this effect.” -- WEAK GOVERNANCE, FAILURE TO KEEP PROMISES, NEGLECTING COMMUNICATION WITH VOTERS CAN SUDDENLY NULLIFY THE ADVANTAGES OF THE LIBERAL SYSTEM, AS THE RULING COALITION AND ITS CANDIDATES IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS HAVE LEARNED - Marius Janicki again: https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2306125,1,nowa-epoka-poczerwcowa-pis-wywoluje-wrazenie-ze-juz-prawie-rzadzi-zegar-tyka-czas-sie-ogarnac.read -- BIRTHDAYS: Zbigniew Janas, Tomasz Siemoniak, Jadwiga Wiśniewska, Błażej Strzelczyk.