-- PIS HAS SQUEEZED AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE FREQUENCY-WISE FROM FAVORABLE REGIONS AS WELL – GRZEGORZ KOWALCZYK IN BUSINESS INSIDER POLSKA: “Rafał Trzaskowski improved his result in most of the largest Polish cities – he only lost slightly in Gdańsk, but there was no more 'room to grow' – his support reaching as high as 70 percent. PiS, on the other hand, has long become a party of villages and smaller towns. It was similar this time – Karol Nawrocki won among cities of around 200,000 inhabitants only in Radom and Rzeszów. This time, he squeezed as much as possible frequency-wise from favorable regions. It is the massive mobilization of 'our people' that decides presidential elections.” -- IT CLEARLY WORKS IN FAVOR OF PIS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS THAT IT IS A MUCH MORE ACCEPTABLE 'SECOND CHOICE' PARTY FOR CONSERVATIVE VOTERS – KOWALCZYK FURTHER IN BUSINESS INSIDER: “It clearly works in favor of PiS in the presidential elections that it is a much more acceptable 'second choice' party for conservative voters who do not vote for it on a daily basis. This also explains why Kaczyński's party has such a weak coalition capacity in all other elections – due to its ease in 'absorbing' the electorate of related parties. For liberal and left-wing voters who are distant from this grouping, Civic Coalition is not as 'digestible.'” -- THE MOBILIZATION OF THE WESTERN BELT COULD NOT KEEP UP WITH THIS PACE. THE DECLINE IN ELECTION INTEREST WAS MUCH MORE ACUTE THERE – KOWALCZYK STILL IN BUSINESS INSIDER: “The mobilization of the western belt could not keep up with this pace. The decline in election interest was much more acute there. In the voivodeships: Wielkopolskie, Pomorskie, and Dolnośląskie, voter turnout compared to 2023 fell by 4.5, 3.7, and 3.4 percentage points respectively. Such a large regression compared to the parliamentary election is an exception in the history of the Third Republic. Until now, presidential elections, due to their plebiscitary nature, enjoyed greater interest.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/businessinsider/wybory-2025-oto-tajemnica-frekwencji-wygranej-nawrockiego-i-pis-analiza/c0hewr9,211f4564 -- WILL THE POLL TREND IN FAVOR OF PO HOLD? I SINCERELY DOUBT IT – BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: “The next elections are in two and a half years. Even if today liberal voters, terrified by the results, are still on adrenaline, the surge will quickly end and harsh reality will set in. Very unfavorable for Platform and the coalition. Because while the main accusation against the ruling party was a lack of agency, after the inauguration of President Karol Nawrocki, the impression of a lack of agency will increase exponentially. And it will truly be difficult for the coalition partners to prove that they are capable of governing Poland effectively.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art42495601-boguslaw-chrabota-czy-sondazowy-trend-na-rzecz-po-sie-utrzyma-szczerze-watpie -- LOOK, BOŻENKA, A FEW MORE POLLS WITH PIS AND CONFEDERATION NECK-AND-NECK, TWO GOVERNMENT NEW BEGINNINGS, ALL SAINTS' DAY, INDEPENDENCE MARCH, AND CHRISTMAS IS JUST AROUND THE CORNER AGAIN: https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art42495371-pierwszy-sondaz-po-wyborach-prezydenckich-kto-traci-a-kto-zyskuje -- THE POLL FOR RZ DID NOT INCLUDE GRZEGORZ BRAUN'S CROWN. -- THE POLLSTER POLL INCLUDED BRAUN'S CROWN: PiS 33.3 KO 30.5 KONF 13.5 KORONA 6.9 RAZEM 5.5 3D 5.1 LEWICA 5.1 https://nczas.info/2025/06/10/sensacyjny-sondaz-pollster-dla-nczas-rewolucja-w-sejmie-korona-brauna-zjada-trzecia-droge/ -- AS WE HEAR, THE PRIME MINISTER IS TO PRESENT EXAMPLES ON WEDNESDAY OF WHAT THE GOVERNMENT HAS ACHIEVED SINCE DECEMBER 2023 – IWONA SZPALA IN GW: “As we hear, the prime minister is to present examples on Wednesday of what the government has achieved since December 2023. – He wants to counter PiS's narrative of a government that does nothing. Before the exposé, the prime minister asked for five matters that each ministry had managed to implement and three key topics for the coalition partners. This is intended to show with examples that we are approaching the 'hundred' that KO proposed in its own version before the elections – explains our interlocutor.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,32009712,tusk-chce-udowodnic-ze-koalicja-zbliza-sie-do-setki-co-znajdzie.html -- THE PRIME MINISTER TALKS A LOT, FORGETTING THAT IN POLITICS, DEEDS SPEAK, NOT WORDS – JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “Few people want to remember today that PiS won the parliamentary elections in 2023, but lacked the coalition majority to govern. Since then, it has lost only once, the European elections. Today, Jarosław Kaczyński's party has coalition capacity, its own president, significant public support, a favorable political climate, and a will to fight, which is not visible on Donald Tusk's side. And Tusk? The prime minister talks a lot, forgetting that in politics, deeds speak, not words.” https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art42496031-jacek-nizinkiewicz-pis-robi-juz-kampanie-parlamentarna-ko-utknela-na-wyborach-prezydenckich -- BODNAR: FROM THE POINT OF VIEW OF CONSTITUTIONAL VALUES, THE SWEARING-IN OF THE NEW PRESIDENT MUST TAKE PLACE – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/06/10 -- INTERESTINGLY, THERE ARE MORE COMMISSIONS WHERE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PREDICTIONS AND THE RESULT IS IN FAVOR OF TRZASKOWSKI – EXPERTS FOR KONKRET24 TVN24: https://tvn24.pl/polska/wybory-prezydenckie-2025-cuda-przy-urnach-anomalie-co-pokazuja-wyniki-glosowania-st8502676 -- THE SCALE OF ERRORS WOULD NOT AFFECT THE FINAL ELECTION RESULT – ASSESSES JAKUB KUBAJEK, STATISTICAL DATA ANALYST AT WP: “Out of the dozen or so commissions that likely made errors in reporting the result of the second round of the presidential elections, seven erred in favor of Karol Nawrocki, and six in favor of Rafał Trzaskowski – assesses Jakub Kubajek, statistical data analyst. He calculated who benefited from the mistakes in the commissions and emphasizes: the scale of the errors would not affect the final election result.” https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/pomylki-w-liczeniu-glosow-oto-wyliczenie-kto-zyskal-nawrocki-czy-trzaskowski-7165854592170656a -- THIS IS HOW SOVEREIGNTY IS DISMANTLED. FOR SOVEREIGNTY IS SOMETHING MORE THAN JUST INDEPENDENCE; IT IS ITS COMPLEMENT AND NECESSARY FORM – MAREK JUREK IN CHRISTIANITAS: “This is how sovereignty is dismantled. For sovereignty is something more than just independence; it is its complement and necessary form. It does not mean that a state is not governed from the outside, but that it effectively exercises its sovereign power itself. We have already seen the effective undermining of local government power in Poland, through a combination of pressures – external from the EU and internal from the PO camp. Subjected to this pressure, local governments decided to repeal previously adopted anti-gender resolutions. Now we see the undermining of universal suffrage.” -- THE CHALLENGE TO PRESIDENT NAWROCKI'S MANDATE AND, MOST IMPORTANTLY, TO THE SOVEREIGN DECISION OF POLES, WILL CONTINUE AND WILL BE A CONVENIENT INSTRUMENT OF FURTHER FOREIGN PRESSURE ON POLAND – MAREK JUREK FURTHER: “Of course, the elections will not be annulled. Too great a social mobilization accompanied them. In this sense, the value of the pre-election March for Poland on May 25 this year cannot be overestimated. But the challenge to President Nawrocki's mandate (and most importantly – to the sovereign decision of Poles) will continue and will be a convenient instrument of further foreign pressure on Poland. Such is the political function of Roman Giertych's actions.” https://christianitas.org/news/podwazanie-suwerennosci/ -- YOU CAN HAVE THE SUPPORT OF THE LARGEST MEDIA IN POLAND AND STILL LOSE ELECTIONS – MAREK KĘSKRAWIEC IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “Indeed, you can have the support of the largest media in Poland and still lose elections. PiS learned this the hard way in the autumn of 2023, which, despite a flood of propaganda on TVP and convincing Poles that Donald Tusk is a German agent – ultimately had to give up power. It was similar this time. The government of the October 15 coalition had public media at its disposal and used them willingly (although certainly not as primitively as PiS in Jacek Kurski's time), it had the goodwill of the largest private media – and still achieved nothing.” -- ON SOCIAL MEDIA, AUDIENCES WERE ALREADY FED UP WITH THIS NARRATIVE, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE PRIME MINISTER'S COUNTERPRODUCTIVE APPEARANCE ON POLSAT – KĘSKRAWIEC FURTHER: “You can overdo anything. If you repeat an argument about a candidate's pimping past for the five hundredth time, the audience has the right to be tired and irritated – perhaps reminding them 'only' a hundred times is enough. Other analyses also indicate that on social media (where this campaign was largely decided), audiences were already tired of this narrative, especially after the prime minister's counterproductive appearance on Polsat, when he referred to a compromised freak fighter, thereby weakening the impact of the 'flat' and 'fixed match' issues.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/raport-misji-obwe-po-wyborach-prezydenckich-polskie-media-ocenione-190917 -- BIRTHDAYS: Alicja Grześkowiak (84), Jan Łopuszański (70), Michał Boni, Paweł Suski.