state of play: 03/03/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Flieger: Referendum Strategy Against the Government Uncomfortable for Civic Coalition, Gądek: Nawrocki Proved He's Developed. PiS Breathed a Sigh of Relief, Pisarski from FOR: Nawrocki's Tax Program... Isn't Bad

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— MASTALEREK: PRESIDENT DUDA HAS THE BEST RELATIONS WITH THE AMERICAN PRESIDENT EVER, NAWROCKI: IF WE DIDN'T HAVE PRESIDENT DUDA TODAY, WE WOULD BE IN A DIFFICULT SITUATION – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/03/03/

— THE “ALL-WESTERN” MODEL OF REALITY NO LONGER EXISTS AND WE NEED TO ADAPT TO THE NEW SITUATION. PERHAPS IT EVEN REQUIRES CHANGING OUR DRESS STYLE AND, MORE BROADLY, OUR COMMUNICATION – EDWIN BENDYK IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Friday’s events in the White House definitively confirmed what has been discussed since the beginning of Donald Trump’s new term. He uses, I repeat Klimkin, his own model of reality, incompatible with models considered legitimate in Europe and Ukraine. And there is no indication that the American leader will be convinced to change his model to an 'all-western' one. It no longer exists, and we need to adapt to the new situation. Perhaps it even requires a change in dress style (and more broadly, communication). If Paris was worth a mass, Washington may be worth a suit”.
https://antymatrix.blog.polityka.pl/2025/03/01/niezbyt-piekna-katastrofa/

— MELONI IS TRYING, GIVEN TRUMP'S VERBAL PRAISE FOR POLAND, PERHAPS OUR COUNTRY'S POLITICIANS SHOULD ALSO ENGAGE IN SUCH ACTIONS? – JERZY HASZCZYŃSKI IN RZ: “There are also ideas for jointly persuading Trump to save the West as a whole – also in relation to aid for Ukraine. The most active is Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who, as a leader of European conservatives, has good contacts with the American president. She wants to convene an urgent summit of European and US leaders. Meloni clearly has the support of British Prime Minister Starmer in this rescue mission. Given Trump’s verbal praise for Poland, perhaps our country’s politicians should also engage in such actions?”
https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art41866151-jerzy-haszczynski-czy-po-awanturze-trump-zelenski-polska-jest-bezpieczna

— HIS TAX PROGRAM… ISN’T BAD – MIKOŁAJ PISARSKI, DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR AT FOR: “It is absolutely fantastic news that PiS strategists see that to win, they must liberalize their message. I don’t understand the 'outrage' of non-partisan commentators that even the 'social' PiS must bow to liberalism”.

— A TYPICAL MANNERISM OF POLITICIANS IS TO FORGET ABOUT THE EXPENDITURE SIDE; ANYONE WHO WANTS TO PROTECT POLES FROM TAX INCREASES MUST TALK ABOUT REDUCING PUBLIC SPENDING AND LIMITING DEBT – PISARSKI FROM FOR CONTINUES: “Unfortunately, the timing for its announcement is bad, with the typical politician’s manner of forgetting about the expenditure side. I remind you: the public sector deficit this year will be around 5.5%. Today, any candidate who seriously wants to protect Poles from tax increases MUST talk about reducing public spending and limiting debt”.

— AMONG THE GOOD THINGS, PERHAPS THE MOST PLEASING IS THE FIRM OPPOSITION TO CADASTRAL TAX, THIS TAX WOULD BECOME A POTENTIAL “EVICTION TAX” CONSTANTLY TEMPTING ALL LOBBYISTS WITH THE VISION OF IMPOSING IT ON PENSIONERS – PISARSKI AGAIN: “Among the good things, perhaps the most pleasing is the firm opposition to the cadastral tax. Candidate Nawrocki knows who votes for him and seems to understand that in Poland, this tax would become a potential 'eviction tax', constantly tempting all lobbyists with the vision of imposing it on pensioners and aging families who own large apartments in city centers.”
https://x.com/MikolajPisarski/status/1896237095074558391

— NAWROCKI PROVED HE'S DEVELOPED. PiS BREATHED A SIGH OF RELIEF – JACEK GĄDEK IN NEWSWEEK: “Karol Nawrocki’s speech at the programmatic convention was his make-or-break moment in this campaign. He handled this speech. Without reading from notes and with a lot of promises prepared by PiS strategists. (…) The impressions after the convention are good in PiS. Only Karol Nawrocki should shout less often, but they explain him, saying that’s just how he is. — If it costs a million, it will turn out cheap – says one of the PiS MPs. Why did you lie earlier that it was supposed to be very modest? – I ask. – For Poland – laughs my interlocutor from PiS”.
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/karol-nawrocki-sie-wyrobil-w-pis-odetchneli-z-ulga-kulisy/v2gvn6b

— ALTHOUGH KAROL NAWROCKI’S PROMISES ARE CONTRADICTORY AND UNATTAINABLE, ON SUNDAY HE REVEALED A STRATEGY THAT COULD BE DANGEROUS FOR RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI: HE SETS MAY 18 AS THE DAY OF THE REFERENDUM AGAINST DONALD TUSK’S GOVERNMENT – ESTERA FLIEGER IN RZ: “But besides the unattainable – because contradictory – promises, there was something in the speech that Rafał Trzaskowski cannot ignore. Although the strategy revealed by the candidate supported by PiS is not surprising, it is truly dangerous: he sets May 18 as the day of a referendum in which Poles will vote for or against Donald Tusk’s government. And frankly speaking, no meme, nor whether the promises add up, can help Civic Coalition if they don't take this seriously”.
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41868021-estera-flieger-chlopski-rozum-karola-nawrockiego-co-jest-grozne-dla-rafala-trzaskowskiego

— Onet's PRESIDENTIAL FORECAST – MICHAŁ ROGALSKI: “According to the latest forecast of the presidential election first-round results, Rafał Trzaskowski has the greatest chance of winning. The Civic Coalition candidate could count on 37.6% support today. This means a minimal increase in support of 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous forecast, two weeks ago. Karol Nawrocki remains in second place, qualifying for the second round, with a result of 25.4%. His projected support has decreased by 2 percentage points. Sławomir Mentzen is in third place with record support. According to our model, the Confederation candidate can now count on 17% support and has strengthened by 3.3 percentage points in the last two weeks”.

— ACCORDING TO ONET'S CALCULATIONS, RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI REMAINS THE FAVORITE TO WIN THE SECOND ROUND: “The Mayor of Warsaw could count on 53.8% support in it, and Karol Nawrocki on 46.2%. However, Trzaskowski’s lead has decreased by 2 percentage points.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/prognoza-prezydencka-onetu-strategia-kaczynskiego-nie-dziala/qn8qmpg,79cfc278

— GW ON IPN APPOINTMENTS – AS WRITTEN BY DOROTA KARAŚ AND PAWEŁ WOJCIECHOWSKI: “At the PiS convention in Krakow in November 2024, during which Nawrocki was announced as the 'civic candidate for president,' Marczak also appeared. He walked stride for stride behind his boss as he pushed through the crowd in the 'Sokół' hall and shook hands. The Deputy Director of the Institute of National Remembrance in Wrocław is also noticeable during other campaign events. In Lublin, he did push-ups in a park with Nawrocki, and in Gdańsk, he worked out in a gym where journalists were invited. He also participated in Nawrocki’s campaign meetings in Tomaszów Mazowiecki and Lądek Zdrój”.
https://trojmiasto.wyborcza.pl/trojmiasto/7,35612,31711324,instytut-przyjaciol-nawrockiego-koledzy-z-ringu-boiska-i-silowni.html

— 91ST ANNIVERSARY OF JACKA KURON'S BIRTH.
— ANNA BIKONT AND HELENA ŁUCZYWO’S BOOK ABOUT JACKA KURON AS AN EBOOK: http://www.publio.pl/jacek-helena-luczywo,p182828.html

— BIRTHDAYS: Kazimierz Janiak.



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