state of play: 02/24/2025

POLITICAL GAMEPLAY: Zalewski on Polityka portal: Even routine gestures matter in a dramatic situation; Dziubka: Optimism in Trzaskowski's campaign team; Migalski: No reason to worry

Łukasz Mężyk

— MASTALEREK: THE AMERICAN PRESIDENT HAS NEVER SPOKEN ABOUT THE POLISH PRESIDENCY AS HE SPEAKS ABOUT DUDA – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/24

— THE PRESIDENT OF THE EUROPEAN COUNCIL WRITES ABOUT A DECISIVE MOMENT, WHICH IS WHY HE IS CONVENING A EUROPEAN COUNCIL MEETING WITHIN AN EXPRESS TWO WEEKS: https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/specjalne-spotkanie-europejskich-przywodcow-chodzi-o-bezpieczenstwo-europy/j2p7w34,79cfc278

— PRESIDENT MACRON CALLED YESTERDAY: ANTONIO COSTA, VON DER LEYEN, ORBAN, SCHOLZ, STARMER, AND ERDOGAN: Based on discussions held over the past few days with European colleagues and allies, we are determined to ensure that peace returns to Ukraine in a just, robust, and lasting way and that Europeans' security will be strengthened through all upcoming negotiations.
https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1893738866395267520

— COSTA AND VON DER LEYEN IN KYIV: https://x.com/vonderleyen/status/1893892943712301259

— THE ROLE OF THE POLISH PRESIDENCY OF THE EU IN ORGANIZING THE EXPRESS SUMMIT IN 2 WEEKS, MACRON'S CONVERSATIONS, OR THE VISIT OF VON DER LEYEN AND COSTA TO KYIV IS NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR.

— THE WINNER OF THE GERMAN ELECTIONS IS ON A COLLISION COURSE WITH AMERICA, SPEAKING OF EUROPE'S INDEPENDENCE FROM THE USA: Merz: "I have absolutely no illusions" about Trump. The goal must be pursued step by step – independence from the United States, which "fundamentally no longer cares about the fate of the EU." "It is unclear whether by the June summit we will still be talking about NATO in its current form," or if we need to present the EU with an alternative.
https://x.com/dwnews/status/1893814610072920189

— PUTIN'S "USEFUL IDIOTS" HAVE BEEN PRESENT IN MANY EUROPEAN COUNTRIES FOR YEARS, NOW THEY HAVE TAKEN OVER THE AMERICAN ADMINISTRATION. WILL THEY BECOME THE MAIN DRIVING FORCE OF THE POLISH RIGHT-WING? – LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN INTERIA:
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czy-trump-przeciagnie-polska-prawice-w-strone-rosji,nId,7918320

— DUDA MEETS TRUMP. EVEN SUCH ROUTINE GESTURES MATTER IN A DRAMATIC SITUATION – TOMASZ ZALEWSKI ON THE WEEKLY POLITYKA PORTAL: "The meeting between Andrzej Duda and Donald Trump on the last day of the conservative conference (CPAC) near Washington lasted just under ten minutes instead of the announced hour. However, the White House announced that the President of the Republic of Poland managed to obtain confirmation from Trump of the closeness of the Polish-American alliance and praise for "Poland's commitment to increasing defense spending."

— THERE WILL BE NO OTHER US PRESIDENT – TOMASZ ZALEWSKI'S CONCLUSION: "Prime Minister Donald Tusk rightly said, however, that there is nothing to laugh about, because 'the situation is serious.' America, unfortunately, has only one president. It will not have another, at least until 2028.'
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/swiat/2290301,1,duda-u-trumpa-w-dramatycznej-sytuacji-nawet-takie-rutynowe-gesty-maja-znaczenie.read

— THE BUTTER WAS ALREADY USED, NOW WE NEED TO FIND MONEY FOR CANNONS – WITOLD GADOMSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: "We cannot afford both military expenditures, increasingly generous social benefits, and large public investments simultaneously. The threat of war should prompt politicians and voters to reform the state."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31714572,maslo-juz-bylo-teraz-trzeba-znalezc-pieniadze-na-armaty.html

— BUTTER WILL BE EVEN MORE EXPENSIVE FOR EASTER – PIOTR MAZURKIEWICZ IN RZECZPOSPOLITA: "Despite government intervention, butter continues to rise in price. In January, its price was almost 30% higher than a year earlier. In addition, the number of promotions decreased by almost 12%. And this is not the end."
https://www.rp.pl/przemysl-spozywczy/art41836651-maslo-na-wielkanoc-bedzie-jeszcze-drozsze-nawet-12-zlotych

— OPTIMISM IN RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI'S CAMPAIGN TEAM – KAMIL DZIUBKA IN ONET: "Sławomir Mentzen, on the other hand, has gained momentum. Although the Konfederacja camp insists that the candidate is gaining primarily at Szymon Hołownia's expense, alarm bells are already ringing in the PiS headquarters due to the freezing of support for their candidate. There is even talk of a swift reset of the IPN president's campaign. This, of course, does not worry Rafał Trzaskowski's campaign staff, who has recently focused on security matters while trying to showcase his international contacts. He attended the Munich Security Conference and also flew to Finland, where he met with President Alexander Stubb. Nawrocki cannot count on such campaign visuals."
https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/tylko-w-onecie/optymizm-w-sztabie-rafala-trzaskowskiego-kandydat-ko-wydaje-ksiazke/yx8mdqe

— THE OPPOSITION VOTERS ARE MORE MOBILIZED AND DETERMINED – SIMILARLY, AS THEY WERE ON OCTOBER 15, 2023 – MAREK MIGALSKI IN WP: "Currently, it seems that opposition voters are more mobilized and determined – similarly, as they were on October 15, 2023. They stood until three in the morning in front of polling stations to express their anger at the government. In three months, it could be the same – only that someone else is in opposition and someone else is in power. If one can imagine an electorate that would stand until night to cast a vote, it would rather be the supporters of Nawrocki and Mentzen. This is very bad news for Trzaskowski. And another harbinger that he might lose elections that today seem already decided in his favor."
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/trzaskowski-przegra-opinia-7128378433407808a

— GAZETA WYBORCZA RETURNS TO THE TOPIC OF NAWROCKI AND WIELKI BU – AS WRITES PIOTR GŁUCHOWSKI: "In another recording, Wielki Bu explained what he and Nawrocki discussed on August 7, 2024, while sipping coffee in Warsaw. – Our meeting was intended to plan a rehabilitation cycle after juvenile detention centers and reform schools, because Karol, as a historian, wanted to introduce [inmates] to the figure of Sergiusz Piasecki. And I, as an athlete, and certainly a recognizable person, could talk about the significant role sport played in my life and how it helped me turn my life around from a shameful past, because I won't whitewash myself either: I have a past."
https://wyborcza.pl/duzyformat/7,127290,31707941,wielki-bu-bokser-karola-nawrockiego-nasz-kolega-chce-zostac.html

— BIRTHDAYS: Janusz Zemke, Krzysztof Garbaczewski.


Łukasz Mężyk