state of play: 02/22/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Sroczyński: Tusk counts on the memory of a mayfly, given that it was the "pro-Russian PiS" that sent weapons to Ukraine from the start, Zaremba: Among Polish politicians, only Duda has contact with Trump

Łukasz Mężyk

— TOMORROW, A BIG TEST TO SEE IF AFD GETS WITHIN 10 PP OF THE PREDICTED RESULT IN GERMAN ELECTIONS. The outcome of the German elections will help verify if current polls are capturing the true anti-establishment sentiment.

— PRESIDENT ANDRZEJ DUDA ON HIS WAY TO A MEETING WITH DONALD TRUMP: https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/721983-dzis-prezydent-andrzej-duda-spotka-sie-z-donaldem-trumpem

— IN POLAND: Saturday's political plan: Mentzen's convention, other candidates on the road
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/22/

— CONTRARY TO THE MEDIA'S TEMPERATURE, A POLL SHOWS THAT POLES, ALBEIT WITH RESERVATION, ASSESS TRUMP'S TALKS FAIRLY POSITIVELY: We asked SW Research poll participants for rp.pl how they assess the start of talks with Russia by Donald Trump's administration. To this question, 17.4% of respondents answered "positively". 43.6% of respondents chose the answer "positively, although Ukraine and Europe should participate in them". 21.9% of respondents assess Donald Trump's talks with Russia negatively.
https://www.rp.pl/spoleczenstwo/art41837081-sondaz-ponad-polowa-polakow-pozytywnie-o-rozmowach-z-rosja-choc-z-zastrzezeniem

— THREE YEARS AFTER RUSSIA'S INVASION OF UKRAINE, AS MANY AS 2500 GERMAN COMPANIES ARE STILL OPERATING IN RUSSIA. THEY ARE PAYING BILLIONS IN TAXES TO THE KREMLIN'S COFFERS – WRITES "HANDELSBLATT". These include companies such as the cosmetics concern Beiersdorf (manufacturer of Nivea cosmetics, among others), the pharmaceutical and chemical concern Bayer, and the yogurt producer Ehrmann. Their operations in Russia have been criticized for years due to the taxes they pay to the Kremlin's coffers, despite the ongoing war with Ukraine.
https://next.gazeta.pl/next/7,168930,31712979,tysiace-niemieckich-firm-w-rosji-placa-miliardy-do-kasy-kremla.html

— PERHAPS THE PRIME MINISTER BELIEVES WE ALL HAVE THE MEMORY OF A MAYFLY, BUT IT'S WORTH REMEMBERING: THIS "PRO-RUSSIAN TEAM" SENT WEAPONS FROM THE START IN 2022, DESPITE GERMANY'S RELUCTANCE – GRZEGORZ SROCZYŃSKI IN GAZETA.PL: "Perhaps the Prime Minister believes we all have the memory of a mayfly (or directs his entire message to 'Silni Razem'), but it's worth remembering: this 'pro-Russian team' sent weapons from the start in 2022, despite Germany's reluctance (and with the full support of the Civic Platform opposition at the time). Kyiv received more tanks from Poland than from all other countries combined, the PiS 'pro-Kremlin government' gave Ukrainians 500 plus (which Tusk is now taking away as part of his campaign for Trzaskowski). I recall these facts, although at the same time I know they are not important, because both camps, in a state of extreme polarization, do not want facts, they just want to be right."

— THIS IS PURE PARTY RHUBARB PRACTICED BY POLITICIANS AND MEDIA SATELLITES, EVEN IF SOME OF THEM ARE FULLY QUALIFIED TO UNDERSTAND SOMETHING ABOUT THE CURRENT SITUATION – SROCZYŃSKI FURTHER IN GAZETA.PL: "Do they understand anything about the geopolitical upheaval that is happening above our heads at the same time? Nothing. This is pure party rhubarb practiced by politicians and media satellites, even if some of them are fully qualified to understand something about the current situation, they will drown everything in the sauce of their political dislikes. 80 percent of what you read in the Polish media about the ongoing global upheaval is stuff steeped in the PO-PiS conflict. In this logic, Trump is part of PiS, so everything he does is bad; on the other side, it's the same: because Trump is part of PiS, everything he does is right, and if it's not right, it still has to be defended and justified."

— IT IS DIFFICULT TO EXTRACT ANYTHING SENSICAL FROM THIS CACOPHONY OF POLISH COMMENTARIES, ALSO DUE TO OUR MANDATORY EXCESSIVE DOSE OF HYSTERIA; AS SOON AS TRUMP SNEEZES, THE END OF THE WORLD IS ANNOUNCED IN POLAND – SROCZYŃSKI STILL IN GAZETA.PL: "It is difficult to extract anything sensible from this cacophony of Polish commentaries, also due to our mandatory excessive dose of hysteria. We are constantly pushed against the wall; as soon as Trump sneezes, the end of the world is announced in Poland. Hysteria is the meaning of life for our intelligentsia, as Robert Krasowski best diagnosed, which is why – dear reader – prepare yourself, because in Trump's times, the end of the world will be force-fed to you seven times a day, because not analysis and moderation, but honor and dignity rule the Polish public sphere, and above all, the constant need to prove that you were right a year, two, and five years ago, regardless of what has happened in the meantime."
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31708863,trump-i-koniec-swiata-jak-przetrwac-histerie-w-mediach-komentarz.html

— SUCCESS OF DEREGULATION, POLES WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE AFFORDABLE HOUSING, FROM TODAY THEY CAN FURNISH THEIR HOMES IN PACKOMATS – IN DZIENNIK NARODOWY KANAŁ ZERO.

— 750 THOUSAND NEW HOUSES AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE. PACKOMATS DEREGULATED FOR HOUSING. MR. WALDEK IS MOVING INTO A PACKOMAT DUE TO THE PRICE AND EXCELLENT LOCATION IN THE CITY CENTER.

— HOW DO YOU LIKE THAT? – Donald Tusk's recording.

— REPORTER ASKS MR. WALDEK WHY HE DIDN'T FIND HIM IN HIS NEW APARTMENT: – WELL, I WAS STILL SENT TO WODZISŁAW ŚLĄSKI.

— KRZYSZTOF JAKUB STANOWSKI'S SECURITY COUNCIL HOSTED AN EXPERT ON EQUALITY ON THE BATTLEFIELD.

— WITHOUT SECURITY, THERE IS NO SECURITY, LACK OF SECURITY IS DANGER, AND DANGER IS THE OPPOSITE OF SECURITY – said one of Stanowski's experts.

— IN STANOWSKI'S POLLS, HOŁOWNIA'S RATINGS HAVE DROPPED TO MINUS 18%. 18% WANT A PEACEFUL INTERVENTION IN POLAND TO AVOID HOŁOWNIA'S PRESIDENCY – claims an expert from Dziennik Narodowy.
https://youtu.be/XV_W1JZoSGs?si=RkA3s9Cl3i-we_TO

— AFTER THEIR PAST MISTAKES, TUSK AND SIKORSKI NO LONGER DARE TO ATTACK TRUMP. THEY ARE TAKING THEIR FRUSTRATION OUT ON PiS AND KONFEDERACJA – PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: "It's funny, but after their past blunders, Tusk and Radosław Sikorski no longer dare to attack Trump. They are taking it out on PiS and Konfederacja; they are to be blamed for Ukraine being abandoned. This is an absurdity again. These parties do not have the courage to take a stand, but they do not advise America on anything, that is obvious."

— WE HAVE A COMEDY OF EVASION ONLINE – ZAREMBA FURTHER: "Online, we have a comedy of evasion. Some say: let's hold Trump accountable, but they don't see or pretend not to see Europe's weaknesses, especially Berlin's and Paris's long-standing deceits. To this, others rush to perpetually judge Western Europe. These, in turn, lack the courage to have an opinion when asked whether Trump is right."

— DUDA IS THE ONLY POLISH POLITICIAN WHO HAS HAD THE CHANCE TO BE HEARD BY THE BIG BROTHER – ZAREMBA STILL: "He is the only Polish politician who has had the chance to be heard by Big Brother. Doesn't he see that his path is diverging radically from Trump's America? Or perhaps he does see it and is trying to change something – secretly, behind the scenes. But eventually, he will have to acknowledge it officially and out loud. What will he say then?"
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-pis-w-pozycji-strusia-z-glowa-w-piasku-polskie-reakcje-na-am,nId,7917824

— HOW MANY CONTEMPORARY POLITICIANS ARE OR WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUCH AFFECTION IN THE FUTURE? AND HOW MANY CAN TALK ACROSS DIVIDES? – PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ REMEMBERS ANDRZEJ POTOCKI: "How many contemporary politicians are or will be capable of such affection in the future? And how many can talk across divides? In this regard, people from the left and liberal side are even more arrogant and incompetent than those from the right. He had no arrogance; he had a sharp mind and curiosity about the world. We disagreed on almost everything, and I hoped we would have a disinterested conversation again someday. Against the logic of modernity. It didn't happen."

— IT WAS A TIME OF FREER CROSSING OF ENVIRONMENTAL BUBBLES THAN TODAY, BUT ALSO OF THE IRON DOMINANCE OF THE LIBERAL MAINSTREAM, WHEN CERTAIN BOUNDARIES, EVEN THEMATIC ONES, WERE NOT CROSSED – PIOTR ZAREMBA FURTHER IN RZ: "I noticed after his death on social media that some journalists, expressing understandable regret, sighed not only for Andrzej himself but for the times when, and I quote: 'Asia Lichocka [formerly a Polsat journalist – PZ's note] and Monika Olejnik had fun together.' Potocki, as a guide and guardian of journalists, was part of that world. As was I, but I no longer long for that world. It was a time of freer crossing of environmental bubbles than today, but also of the iron dominance of the liberal mainstream, when certain boundaries, even thematic ones, were not crossed. Colleagues from the then niche, mainstream-isolated 'Gazeta Polska' do not recall this time as an era of champagne fun."

— THE POLITICAL CONTACTS, COMMON SENSE, AND TACT OF THIS ANTI-COMMUNIST OPPOSITION VETERAN WERE A GUARANTEE OF SUCCESS – ZAREMBA ON EWA MILEWICZ: "In this sense, 'Wyborcza' at that time subordinated the mission of acquiring facts to its political line to the greatest extent. This was somewhat mitigated by the prudence and life experience of Ewa Milewicz, who led that team and is now retired. At that time, the political contacts, common sense, and tact of this anti-communist opposition veteran were a guarantee of success. She managed bravely despite her physical disability: always on duty, leaning on the railing at the top of the Sejm stairs."
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41830211-piotr-zaremba-polityk-z-lepszej-gliny

— BIRTHDAYS: Ryszard Bugaj, Jacek Kurski, Edward Czesak, Andrzej Raczko. SUNDAY: Paweł Graś (61), Anna Bogucka-Skowrońska (turns 83), Radosław Sikorski (62).


Łukasz Mężyk