state of play: 02/06/2025
— THE GOVERNMENT NEEDS VISION MORE THAN RECONSTRUCTION – MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Donald Tusk loves pure, day-to-day politics too much to focus for long on those long-term goals, without achieving which Poland will find itself on the periphery of development. During his first term, he reportedly threatened ministers that if they had a vision, they should go to the doctor. But today, the times demand great visions from those responsible for the state. The future standing of Poland in the global artificial intelligence and other technologies based on cutting-edge chips – a topic that is currently generating great public emotion – will depend on these visions.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art41771751-michal-szuldrzynski-donald-tusk-zapowiada-rekonstrukcje-rzad-bardziej-niz-rekonstrukcji-potrzebuje-wizji
— DZIEMIANOWICZ-BĄK: WE WILL CERTAINLY NOT SUPPORT THE 0% CREDIT – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/06
— TRZASKOWSKI REMAINS IN FIRST PLACE. 32 PERCENT OF SURVEY PARTICIPANTS (-3) WHO DECLARED THEIR INTENTION TO PARTICIPATE IN THE MAY ELECTIONS VOTED FOR HIM. CLOSE BEHIND HIM IS NAWROCKI WITH 24 PERCENT (+2), AND MENTZEN WAS CHOSEN BY 15 PERCENT (+3) OF THOSE SURVEYED – ACCORDING TO A SURVEY CONDUCTED BY OPINIA24 AT THE REQUEST OF RADIO ZET.
— STANOWSKI HAS OUTPACED BIEJAT – FURTHER FROM THE SURVEY FOR RADIO ZET: Szymon Hołownia took fourth place and received 7 percent of the votes. In turn, 4 percent of respondents declared their willingness to vote for Krzysztof Stanowski. Thus, the journalist has overtaken, among others, the Deputy Marshal of the Senate, Magdalena Biejat, and MEP Grzegorz Braun, who both received 3 percent. Adrian Zandberg (2 percent) and Marek Jakubiak (1 percent) took the last places. Marek Woch, Piotr Szumlewicz, and Joanna Senyszyn received 0 percent of the votes. 1 percent of respondents indicated they wanted to vote for another candidate, and 7 percent chose the answer “I don’t know, it’s hard to say.” The study was conducted by Opinia24 for Radio ZET using CATI (Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing) and CAWI (Computer-Assisted Web Interviewing) methods on a sample of 1000 Poles aged 18 and older between January 23-29, 2025.
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31671565,trzaskowski-wciaz-liderem-zaskoczenie-na-nbsp-dalszych-miejscach.html
— PREVIOUS OPINIA24 SURVEY FROM JANUARY 27: https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41735581-sondaz-prezydencki-kandydat-ko-wygrywa-w-pierwszej-i-drugiej-turze
— REFUSALS HAVE ALWAYS EXISTED, THOUGH NOT AS FREQUENT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE WHICH GROUPS ARE REFUSING TO PARTICIPATE IN THE SURVEY – URSZULA KRASSOWSKA, HEAD OF THE SOCIAL RESEARCH TEAM AT OPINIA24, IN AN INTERVIEW WITH AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “Around fifteen percent, sometimes 20 percent, refuse. But refusals have always existed, though not as frequently. It is difficult to estimate which groups are refusing to participate in the survey. Because if they refuse, they don't talk to us at all.”
— ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN. NO ONE CAN SLEEP PEACEFULLY – KRASSOWSKA FROM OPINIA24 CONTINUES TO KUBLIK: “A poll is a snapshot of reality at the moment the survey is conducted. There is still a lot of time until the elections, and practically anything can happen. No one can sleep peacefully.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31668957,jak-czytac-sondaze-prezydenckie-nbsp-do-wyborow-wszystko-moze.html
— DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA ON FOUR SERIOUS OFFERS FOR TVN: “The capital of those who have submitted offers to purchase the station does not raise doubts for now. According to my information, four offers have been received. The first was submitted by the richest Pole, billionaire Michał Sołowow, a magnate in the interior design, as well as chemical and energy industries. The second – by a consortium of over a dozen Polish investors, fronted by Wirtualna Polska. The third – by Pier Silvio Berlusconi and his media concern MFE-MediaForEurope. Berlusconi invests in television and radio across Europe, including Germany. The fourth bidder is the Greek media concern Antenna Group (television, radio, digital, educational, and telecommunications services), owned by Theodore M. Kyriakou.”
— THERE HAVE EVEN BEEN SPECULATIONS THAT THE STATE-OWNED PFR COULD ENTER WITH A MINORITY STAKE IN THE INVESTMENT – WIELOWIEYSKA CONTINUES IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “There have even been speculations that the state-owned Polish Development Fund (PFR) could enter with a minority stake in the investment to support Polish capital in taking over the station. State-owned banks could also assist in financing this venture. For now, there is no information that such a decision has been made.”
— WIELOWIEYSKA QUOTES GOVERNMENT CIRCLES ON SOŁOWOW AS THE NEW SOLORZ: “– This is how we interpret Sołowow’s entry into the race for TVN. A new Solorz is emerging. Sołowow has interests with Orlen, he wants to have his bargaining chip – we hear from government circles. At the beginning of the 15th of October Coalition’s term, Sołowow’s prospects did not look good. This is because in 2021, he co-founded a company with the then CEO of Orlen, Daniel Obajtek, which was intended to build small modular reactors (SMRs).”
— HOWEVER, EVEN IF COMPARISONS TO SOLORZ ARE APPEARING IN GOVERNMENT CIRCLES, THERE IS NO QUESTION OF ANYONE REFORMATTING TVN ON A DIFFERENT COURSE – WIELOWIEYSKA STATES: “However, even if comparisons to Solorz appear in government circles, there is no question of anyone reformatting TVN on a different course. Even a slight change could mean an outflow of viewers and enormous losses for the station. None of the three bidders appear to be someone who would simply want to sink a billion dollars just to harness TVN to defend their interests.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31669822,wielowieyska-podchody-pod-tvn-wszyscy-pytaja-czy-pojawi-sie.html
— WHEN WAS THE LAST TIME WE SAW A DEEP REFORM OF DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS? – PROF. JAN ZIELONKA IN KRYTYKA POLITYCZNA: “The current success of populists stems from the distortions of liberal democracy, through which voters turn to illiberal, undemocratic alternatives. Therefore, it is urgent to answer the question: how to win back these embittered voters? (…) The clock hands cannot be turned back; the digital and artificial intelligence revolutions will march forward. Democracy must therefore adapt to a world where people think, desire, and relate to each other differently than in its golden age decades ago. There is no ready-made model for democratic transformation, but we must have the courage to experiment. Can anyone name any significant reforms to the democratic system introduced since the World Wide Web was created over 30 years ago?”
— A LIBERAL WHO ADOPTS THE RHETORIC AND TACTICS OF A POPULIST STOPS BEING A LIBERAL – PERIOD – PROF. ZIELONKA CONTINUES IN KRYTYKA: “Fighting populism with populism is an even worse strategy because, in the process, it legitimizes lawlessness, demagoguery, and racism. The concept of 'liberal populism' is fundamentally flawed, as populism represents everything that the intellectual founders of liberalism opposed. A liberal who adopts the rhetoric and tactics of a populist stops being a liberal – period.”
https://krytykapolityczna.pl/swiat/zlamana-obietnica-demokracji-liberalnej-zielonka/
— WILL ADAM BODNAR WRITE ABOUT A COUP D'ETAT IN THE FUTURE, AND JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI POST A VIDEO WITH A CAT ON X? – ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: “The worst thing about all of this, however, is that there is no end in sight to this schizophrenic situation. Polls indicate that the main actors are entrenched in their positions, which means that a large part of Poles have accepted this 'new normal.' And this portends further descent into the abyss of legal and institutional madness, because the state of play today is such that whatever reforms the current ruling coalition implements, an alternative government, which PiS would have to form today, would immediately reverse them. And then Adam Bodnar will probably file reports of a coup d'état, and Jarosław Kaczyński will then post a video on X of himself feeding a cat.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41774461-artur-bartkiewicz-ping-pong-i-zamach-stanu-czyli-niebezpieczna-gra-w-dwie-polski
— INCREASING NUMBERS OF FOREIGNERS WORKING ILLEGALLY IN POLAND – GAZETA PRAWNA: “Last year, for the umpteenth time, an increase in the number of illegally employed foreigners was recorded. The lack of documents legalizing work is becoming an increasing problem, influenced by burdensome and lengthy procedures and complex legal requirements. This is according to statistics from the Chief Labour Inspectorate regarding last year, made available to Gazeta Prawna (see infographic). Inspections conducted by the National Labour Inspectorate (PIP) in 2024 showed that nearly 7.2 thousand immigrants worked illegally, which is almost 20 percent of the foreigners covered by the inspection. Meanwhile, in 2023, this percentage was 17 percent, and in 2022, it was 12.8 percent.”
https://www.gazetaprawna.pl/praca/artykuly/9727429,coraz-wiecej-cudzoziemcow-pracuje-w-polsce-na-czarno-zbyt-skomplikowa.html
— BIRTHDAYS: Paweł Orłowski, Agnieszka Grzybek.
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