state of play: 01/02/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Janicki: It's Possible to Conclude that Contracts of Some Media Outlets with Ziobro's Justice Fund are Still Being 'Paid Off'; Muś/Tatała: The EU Needs a Javier Milei

Łukasz Mężyk

— ALCO-TUBES, BEAVERS, AND OTHER DISTRACTIONS. RISING PRICES IN STORES. FOCUSING ON NONSENSE INSTEAD OF THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUES (LIKE A SHOCKING REPORT ON POVERTY). "TUSK IS FURIOUS"? HOLD MY BEER. I AM PISSED OFF, AND THIS IS MY YEAR IN REVIEW – WRITES GRZEGORZ WYSOCKI FOR GAZETA.PL.
https://weekend.gazeta.pl/weekend/7,177344,31567352,alkotubki-sztabki-masla-i-psiecko-alfabet-wscieklego-symetrysty.html

— DID A PRO-RUSSIAN CANDIDATE IN ROMANIA WIN THE ELECTION THANKS TO THE RULING PARTY'S INTRIGUE? A SHOCKING THESIS BY INVESTIGATIVE JOURNALISTS – BARTOSZ HLEBOWICZ IN GW: “In light of the latest findings, it cannot be ruled out that the special services (and PNL) used the threat of Georgescu to confirm their role in the Western alliance. It can be stated with certainty that the bait in the form of a pro-Russian candidate allowed PNL to change its political destiny – writes De Benedetti. He emphasizes that the links between PNL and the special services are an open secret in Romania: the head of the services allegedly participated in talks that led to the formation of the previous coalition between PNL and PSD – in 2023, when Ciolacu first became prime minister. President Iohannis (from PNL) presided over the talks.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,31584406,czy-prorosyjski-kandydat-w-rumunii-wygral-wybory-dzieki-intrydze.html

— "ANYONE BUT TRZASKOWSKI." BOSAK ON THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WINNER – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/01/02/

— PLANNING IS NOT THE PRIME MINISTER'S STRONG SUIT; HE IS NOT THE OWNER OF "CLOSETS FULL OF LAWS," BUT RATHER A MASTER OF IMPROVISATION, ADAPTING HIS ACTIONS TO SOCIAL MOODS – MAREK KĘSKRAWIEC IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY.
https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/slalom-tuska-czy-w-2025-roku-lider-koalicji-zdola-poprowadzic-ja-po-raz-kolejny-do-zwyciestwa

— THE RESIGNATION OF TUSK'S GOVERNMENT WOULD NOT BE DECIDED, BUT VERY PROBABLE, BECAUSE THE ANTI-PIS REVOLUTION WOULD LOSE MOMENTUM – MARIUSZ JANICKI ON THE SCENARIO OF NAWROCKI'S VICTORY – WRITES IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “If Karol Nawrocki becomes president, not only will the legend of the October 15th breakthrough collapse, but it will completely upend the political situation. The pressure for early parliamentary elections will be so great that Donald Tusk may have no other choice and decide on these elections, which is quietly discussed in Civic Platform – of course, as a last resort. Moreover, renewing the mandate to govern would be somewhat natural in such a situation. On the other hand, political self-preservation instinct might suggest holding back such sudden impulses, so that PiS, riding the wave of a presidential success, doesn't get an absolute majority in the Sejm on a platter again, as in 2015. The resignation of Tusk's government would therefore not be decided, but very probable, as the anti-PiS revolution would lose momentum. A new political legend would have to be created for further existence, new goals would have to be set, and what happened would have to be redefined.”

— IT IS POSSIBLE TO CONCLUDE THAT THE CONTRACTS CONCLUDED BY SOME MEDIA OUTLETS WITH THE JUSTICE FUND FROM ZIOBRO'S TIME ARE STILL BEING "PAID OFF" – CONTINUES THE FIRST DEPUTY EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Hence, Nawrocki is treated as a new political element, although he is integrally linked to the eight years of PiS – if only because he is to ensure Kaczyński's return to that style of governance, ideology, and vision of the state. But we see admiration for him carrying a refrigerator, doing push-ups, and posing with a hamster. Reading many posts on X and on some portals, one can conclude that contracts concluded by some media outlets with the Justice Fund from Ziobro's time are still being 'paid off'.”

— TRZASKOWSKI'S CAMPAIGN TEAM FEARS THE "THIRD FORCE" NOT WITHOUT REASON. THEY CORRECTLY ASSUME THAT THE EMERGENCE OF SOMEONE KUKIZ-LIKE WILL FAVOR PIS – FURTHERMORE, MARIUSZ JANICKI IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Trzaskowski's campaign team fears the 'third force' not without reason. They correctly assume that the entry of someone Kukiz-like will favor PiS, as in 2015, when the rock singer's voters supported Duda, and – to a lesser extent – in 2020, when only some of Hołownia's voters, who did not clearly express himself on this issue, supported Trzaskowski in the second round. If someone were to repeat Kukiz's result – even partly – it would completely change the presidential campaign.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2283559,1,prezydencki-dreszczowiec-2025-szanse-chwyty-i-wielka-zagadka-a-co-jesli-wygra-nawrocki.read

— TUSK'S PLAN TO RESTORE THE RULE OF LAW MAY BE ANOTHER LAWLESS CHAPTER IN THE HISTORY OF THE THIRD REPUBLIC. THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TEST, BUT ALSO A TURNING POINT – TOMASZ PIETRYGA IN RZ: “Donald Tusk and Jarosław Kaczyński are politically similar to each other. Both, despite diametrically different views, come from the same political generation; both were mentally shaped by the PRL. Both, in their actions, prioritize politics over law. Politics comes first, creating the law. The law cannot, however, be an obstacle to achieving political goals if one has democratic legitimacy for it. If we look to the past, Jarosław Kaczyński began the conquest of the judiciary, which resulted in the ongoing systemic crisis, without regard for any political, image, or legal costs.”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-prawne/art41636371-tomasz-pietryga-jencow-w-tym-roku-nikt-nie-bedzie-bral

— THIS IS HOW IT WILL BE IN THIS CAMPAIGN – KACZYŃSKI HEALED POLAND, TUSK RUINS IT – AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW ON THE PRESIDENT'S ADDRESS: “It was the speech of a president who decided to participate in the election campaign as a supporter of one of the candidates – Karol Nawrocki. (…) It doesn't matter that Duda positions himself and PiS as defenders of the constitution, lovers of law, and morally pure people. That's the norm now, it's still outrageous (like any repeated unbelievable, brazen lie), but it's no longer surprising. Not anymore.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31584772,duda-wyglosil-oredzie-noworoczne-nie.html

— TUSK IS STEPPING INTO PIS'S SHOES. IT'S A DEAD END – ARTUR BARTKIEWICZ IN RZ: A thought experiment for the defenders of the government's actions: What 'ours' are doing today, PiS can do tomorrow. For defenders of such a position, in the name of 'ours' being in the omnipotent government this time, I recommend a thought experiment involving role reversal. Let's assume that the presidential election is won by the governing coalition's candidate, who reforms the judiciary, after which PiS comes to power, gains a majority in the National Electoral Commission (PKW) thanks to this, and revokes the subsidy to Civic Coalition. Civic Coalition would appeal to the – reformed – Supreme Court, which would rule in its favor, and Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki or Przemysław Czarnek would write: there will be no money, because we have a different vision of the Supreme Court. And unfortunately, we are on the best track for such a scenario to threaten us with every change of government.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41633871-artur-bartkiewicz-donald-tusk-wchodzi-w-buty-pis-to-droga-donikad

— THE NATIONAL ELECTORAL COMMISSION (PKW) CORRECTLY ACCEPTED PIS'S FINANCIAL REPORT – JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “Withdrawing the subsidy from the largest opposition party would align with the worst practices of undemocratic governments. PiS should be punished for its mistakes, but it's good that the subsidy was not completely withdrawn. Now it's time to depoliticize the PKW.”
https://www.rp.pl/publicystyka/art41630741-jacek-nizinkiewicz-slusznie-pkw-przyjelo-sprawozdanie-finansowe-pis-ale-to-nie-koniec

— THE LEADERS OF BOTH CAMPS CONTINUING THE DESTRUCTIVE POLISH-POLISH WAR DO NOT INTEND TO WORRY ABOUT IT AT ALL… – MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: 'It's even a shame to repeat that believing that the hatchets can be buried suddenly after completely polarizing the campaign seems naive. But it's worth repeating that the more divided we are, the easier targets we become for information or disinformation operations from our adversaries. But the leaders of these two camps, continuing the destructive Polish-Polish war, do not intend to worry about it at all…'
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41635671-michal-szuldrzynski-noworoczne-oredzie-i-zyczenia-politykow-jak-wypowiedzenie-wojny-polsko-polskiej

— A TOTAL OF 60.2% OF RESPONDENTS FEEL ANXIETY WHEN THINKING ABOUT 2025 – ACCORDING TO A UNITED SURVEYS BY IBRIS POLL FOR "DZIENNIK GAZETA PRAWNA". Among the most frequently indicated fears were the direct involvement of Poland in the war and the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Europe, indicated by 51.6% of respondents. Another cause for concern is the worsening financial situation, which worries 29% of respondents.

— 17.8% OF RESPONDENTS FEAR THE POTENTIAL VICTORY OF KAROL NAWROCKI IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, AND 16.8% ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE EVENTUAL SUCCESS OF RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI.
https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/polacy-obawiaja-sie-przyszlosci-sondaz-ujawnia-najwieksze-leki-7109843226286816a

— THE EUROPEAN UNION NEEDS DETERMINED AND COURAGEOUS PEOPLE WHO WILL FINALLY WAKE IT UP FROM ITS MARASMUS. POLISH REFORMERS IN 1989 HAD SUCH QUALITIES, INCLUDING LESZEK BALCEROWICZ, AND THIS IS HOW JAVIER MILEI IS ACTING IN ARGENTINA TODAY – ARKADIUSZ MUŚ – ENTREPRENEUR, CHAIRMAN OF THE MANAGEMENT BOARD OF PRESS GLASS HOLDING S.A., MAREK TATAŁA – CHAIRMAN OF THE MANAGEMENT BOARD OF THE FOUNDATION FOR ECONOMIC FREEDOM IN GW.

— THE EUROPEAN UNION CANNOT AFFORD FURTHER SLOW CHANGES AT THE PACE TYPICAL FOR BRUSSELS BUREAUCRACY – MUŚ AND TATAŁA FURTHER WRITE IN GW: “It needs decisive therapy that will stimulate Europeans to action, unleash their still large but untapped potential, and allow companies operating within the Union to develop.”

— THE DIGITAL ECONOMY NEEDS TO BE DEVELOPED, NOT REGULATED – MUŚ AND TATAŁA FURTHER IN GW: “The digital economy and new technologies are further areas where there has been over-regulation in recent years, and this slows down productivity growth and weakens innovation. As noted in the Draghi report, the EU currently has about 100 legal acts concerning the new technologies sector, and in the member states, there are over 270 regulators dealing with digital topics in total.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31583945,unii-grozi-los-gospodarczego-skansenu-niech-impuls-dla-niej.html

— BIRTHDAYS: Piotr Łukasz Juliusz Andrzejewski, Joanna Kopcińska.


Łukasz Mężyk