state of play: 11/16/2024
The State of Play: Tusk as Trump on X, Kwaśniewski: What Kamala Said Lost, a Crucial Lesson for Our Elections
-- SCHOLZ TO "OPEN PANDORA'S BOX" - ZELENSKY OUTRAGED AFTER CHANCELLOR'S CALL WITH PUTIN: The President of Ukraine stated that "holding talks that lead nowhere" is a strategy Putin has used for decades. - This allowed Russia to avoid making any changes in its policy, effectively doing nothing, which ultimately led to this war - he declared.
-- THIS IS A CRUCIAL LESSON FOR OUR PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS - ALEKSANDER KWAŚNIEWSKI IN CONVERSATION WITH ADAM MICHNIK AND AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “In the final phase of the campaign, he focused on inflation and the worsening situation of families – not on America as such, which is doing well – and on migration. Kamala Harris emphasized women's rights and the fight for democracy, but as it turns out, neither of these ideas built a majority. This is a crucial lesson for our presidential elections”.
-- THAT HE WILL CARVE UP UKRAINE, NOT BECAUSE HE'S FOLLOWING RUSSIA'S LEAD, BUT DUE TO EGO - KWAŚNIEWSKI ON TRUMP, FURTHER IN GW: “That Trump will carve up Ukraine. Just like that. But not because he's following the lead of Russian services, as some claim. He cares more about his ego than about peace”.
-- OBVIOUSLY, A HASTILY MADE PEACE WILL SIMPLY BE A SURRENDER BY THE WEST AND A SALE OF UKRAINE, BECAUSE NOTHING HAS CHANGED WITH PUTIN; HE STILL WANTS TO HAVE ALL OF UKRAINE - KWAŚNIEWSKI TELLS KUBLIK AND MICHNIK: “Obviously, a hastily made peace will simply be a surrender by the West and a sale of Ukraine, because nothing has changed with Putin; he still wants to have all of Ukraine in his hands, he will wait and move on. If not by force – because the Trumpists promise Zelensky a deal of “peace and concessions for weapons deliveries, so you can defend yourselves” – then by winning over the disappointment and bitterness of Ukrainians, by raising the heads of former Russian sympathizers in business and power structures in such a situation, by pressing in many other ways. Thus, by concluding such a pseudo-peace, Trump will be playing Putin's game. Which, incidentally, means another wave of refugees”.
-- A PRESIDENT WHO HAS AMBITIONS BUT LACKS THE MATURITY PROPER TO THE OFFICE - KWAŚNIEWSKI CONTINUES: “It is difficult for a president who has ambitions but lacks the maturity proper to the office to admit that in several matters, the head of state is merely a notary, because he is not the decision-maker regarding awarding academic titles. A professor receives a nomination in the Presidential Palace from the head of state, but it is not he who awards the title. The president would thus have to admit to himself in the mirror in the morning that he is a notary”.
-- KWAŚNIEWSKI RECALLS MEETING WITH PRESIDENT KACZYŃSKI BEFORE OFFICE TRANSFER: “At the end, Lech said: 'Listen, you were a very lucky president, you had three great things to implement – the constitution, NATO, the European Union. What advice would you give me: what should I do?' – 'That's a good question,' I replied, 'and a difficult one, because indeed, things as big as those three are hard to achieve. Listen, if I were to give you the simplest advice, it would be this: don't mess it up. And I left that conversation with the conviction that it couldn't really be messed up. It turns out that everything can be messed up”.
-- MICHNIK ON PRESIDENT KACZYŃSKI: But he didn't mess it up.
-- THE LEFT – THAT IS MY HUGE FAILURE - KWAŚNIEWSKI SAYS IN GW: “I failed to leave the left consolidated and important enough to have a significant role in Polish politics. From today's perspective, this is an even more serious mistake than I thought when I finished my term. We have entered a duopoly for many years, which is not good. Such a third force, not based on solidarity, could play a significant stabilizing and toning-down role”.
-- THE PROBLEM I HAVE WITH PRESIDENT DUDA IS THAT I DISAGREE WITH MANY DECISIONS HE HAS MADE, AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, WITH THE STYLE OF HIS PRESIDENCY, WHICH IS NOT INDEPENDENT ENOUGH - KWAŚNIEWSKI TELLS MICHNIK AND KUBLIK: “I also met with Andrzej Duda, very rarely, but in Davos, during the World Economic Forum, he invited me to dinner twice. In a larger group, but we sat, we talked, so it's not as if there were no contacts. However, the problem I have with President Duda is that I disagree with many of the decisions he has made, and most importantly, with the style of his presidency, which is not independent enough”.
-- This is certainly some hope, but I would advise relying on yourself and finding a plan for life after the presidency. Gratitude in politics is a commodity with the shortest shelf life - Kwaśniewski again in GW.
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31454602,aleksander-kwasniewski-jestem-ateista-ale-licze-na-przychylnosc.html
-- DONALD TUSK ANNOUNCED A PRIMARY POLL ON X: Monday, results of a large poll, Friday, primaries, and Saturday, announcement of results! I wonder how you would vote? Alphabetical order.
https://x.com/donaldtusk/status/1857734376777187375
-- IN THREE HOURS, A QUARTER OF A MILLION VIEWS AND 50 THOUSAND VOTES, AS OF 1:30 PM: 66% SUPPORTED SIKORSKI, 34% TRZASKOWSKI.
-- THE PRESIDENT FOR ALL TIME - WIOLETTA PAPROCKA REVEALED TRZASKOWSKI'S INTERNAL CAMPAIGN SLOGAN:
https://x.com/WiolaPaprocka/status/1857726112068956161
-- TWO PSL POLITICIANS: THE MARSHAL OF MAZOVIA AND THE MAYOR OF CIECHANÓW IN A PHOTO WITH THE SAMORZĄDOWY MOVEMENT, WHOSE SUPPORT RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI ANNOUNCED.
https://x.com/trzaskowski_/status/1857452904690397652
-- RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI IN KRAKOW TODAY AT 3 PM, IN KATOWICE TOMORROW.
-- RADOSŁAW SIKORSKI IN ZIELONA GÓRA AND GORZÓW, then: Rokietnica, Poznań. He shared a photo from a gas station cafe: https://x.com/sikorskiradek/status/1857695618417783289
-- TOMASZ LIS SUPPORTED RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI: After weeks of reflection, I have gained the feeling that on a broader level than politics, the dignity of the office and the majesty of the Republic, Rafał will restore them more easily and quickly.
https://x.com/lis_tomasz/status/1857734491118182489
-- WE ARE IN THIS TOGETHER, LET'S VOTE IN THE PRIMARIES AND HIT THE ROAD ACROSS POLAND - RAFAŁ TRZASKOWSKI IN A SPOT: https://x.com/trzaskowski_/status/1857766736658944069
-- ON THE RIGHT-WING TWITTER, INFORMATION IS BEING CIRCULATED THAT THE WIFE OF A PROBABLE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE, KAROL NAWROCKI, IS A UNIFORMED OFFICER OF THE KAS (CUSTOMS AND TAX SERVICE): https://wbijamszpile.pl/kim-jest-marta-nawrocka-zona-prezesa-ipn
-- A CBOS SURVEY INDICATES THAT VOTING FOR PRZEMYSŁAW CZARNEK EXCLUDES AS MANY AS 63% OF POTENTIAL VOTERS.
-- CBOS ON NAWROCKI'S CANDIDACY: “CBOS emphasizes that Nawrocki, 'as a politician little known to the general public, has, however, among all respondents not only significantly fewer supporters than other potential PiS candidates, but at the same time fewer declared opponents, and consequently, theoretically greater opportunities to gain additional voters'.
-- TRZASKOWSKI IS A MORE POPULAR CANDIDATE AMONG LEFT-WING SUPPORTERS THAN ALL SURVEYED CANDIDATES FROM THAT GROUP - FURTHER IN THE CBOS ANALYSIS.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31466993,cbos-zbadal-szanse-kandydatow-na-kandydatow-w-wyborach-prezydenckich.html
-- PAP BELIEVES PiS WILL ANNOUNCE ITS CANDIDATE CONCURRENTLY WITH THE PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS IN KO: “The results of the latest round of research, intended to help select PiS's presidential candidate, are expected to reach party headquarters by mid-week – according to unofficial information. The candidate's presentation could occur around November 23rd. The date is not coincidental. On the same day, the results of the Koalicja Obywatelska primaries are due to be announced”.
https://businessinsider.com.pl/polityka/kandydat-pis-na-prezydenta-chcemy-byc-wczesniej-niz-po/pqtezv3
-- SE CLAIMS ZBIGNIEW ZIOBRO HAS UNDERGONE ANOTHER OPERATION IN BELGIUM - THIS TIME GASTRIC BYPASS: https://polityka.se.pl/wiadomosci/zbigniew-ziobro-przeszedl-zabieg-poszerzania-zoladka-nowe-informacje-aa-v2V4-yunK-aXsd.html
-- THAT STATEMENT ABOUT APPLEBAUM OFFENDS ME IN TWO WAYS: AS A COALITION OBYWATELSKA VOTER AND AS A POLE - LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN GW: “I wonder why this statement demands a reaction. Why it offends me – on a very personal level. Not Applebaum, not Sikorski, but me, who doesn't know his potential Jewish roots. I think this statement offends me in two ways: as a voter of the Civic Coalition and as a Pole”.
-- KACZYŃSKI – WHO HAS MANY FAULTS, BUT IS UNDOUBTEDLY NOT AN ANTI-SEMITE – WOULD RESPOND TO THAT POLITICIAN THAT HE IS SPEAKING FROM A PLACE OF OJKOPHOBIA, THAT IS, A DISLIKE OF HIS OWN NATION'S CULTURE - JAŻDŻEWSKI FURTHER: “But here, some important politician from KO believes that for at least 50% of voters in Poland, Jewish origin could be a problem. I must say that I would consider such a statement at least debatable. But how to argue with an anonymous person? I think Jarosław Kaczyński – who has many faults, but is undoubtedly not an anti-Semite – would respond to that politician that he is speaking from a place of ojkophobia, that is, a dislike of his own nation's culture”.
-- MARY OF NAZARETH, THE MOTHER OF JESUS, WAS A JEW AND WAS CROWNED BY THE CATHOLIC CHURCH AS THE QUEEN OF POLAND. SO, CAN A JEWESS BE THE FIRST LADY OF POLAND? - JAŻDŻEWSKI'S CONCLUSION IN GW: “I would like us to present such an approach in public debate today. Anti-Semitism is incompatible with the deepest Polish DNA. And if someone is not convinced by these arguments? Mary of Nazareth, the mother of Jesus, was a Jew and was crowned by the Catholic Church as the Queen of Poland. So, can a Jewess be the first lady of Poland?”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31466995,antysemityzm-czy-zydowka-moze-byc-w-polsce-pierwsza-dama.html
-- THE 47TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES CLEARLY FOCUSES ON PEOPLE OF ACTION - BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: “Somehow, we don't hear that there are intellectuals, professors, academics in his entourage. His choices are a simple message: by surrounding himself with successful people, former military personnel accustomed to the whistle of bullets, he bets on effectiveness, brilliant solutions, and discipline. Military personnel are a symbolic guarantee of perfect execution of orders, so Trump's entourage will not hesitate or split hairs, but will carry out assigned tasks”.
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41450701-boguslaw-chrabota-na-co-stac-elona-muska-i-druzyne-a-donalda-trumpa
-- AFTER THE AMERICAN ELECTIONS, THE LEADERS OF PO ARE SWALLOWING THEIR WORDS, AND PIS – JUST AS THEY ROSE FROM THEIR KNEES, ARE NOW KNEELING – PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “Tusk says: more European solidarity. But a vision of some European defense system outside of NATO is another illusion, a deceptive utopia. It is a kind of safeguard in case Trump starts dismantling NATO. But there will be no bread from this flour, since European capitals want to return to making arrangements with Moscow, not arming themselves to the teeth. On the other hand, Andrzej Duda, even during his last speech on November 11th, recalled that Polish security depends on cooperation with America. This is logical. But what if Trump shifts his attention to the Pacific, and offers Europe a new Munich, woven with Putin?”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41450751-piotr-zaremba-polskie-klopoty-z-donaldem-trumpem
-- THE ABILITY TO PROJECT GLOBAL POWER ENSURES THE PRIMACY OF THE AMERICAN DOLLAR AND GUARANTEES THE PRINCIPLES OF FREE TRADE - JAKUB BODZIONY IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “It guarantees the prosperity of the ordinary American man and woman. They don't need to know this, but Trump and his entourage do. This is what we are left to count on. And to arm ourselves”.
https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2024/11/12/donald-trump-to-ostatni-dzwonek-dla-demokratow-i-dla-europy/
-- BIRTHDAYS: Krystyna Starczewska, Edward Nowak, Mieczysław Janowski, Edmund Wittbrodt, Jakub Kumoch, Julia Przyłębska, Włodzimierz Karpiński, Sebastian Kulczyk, Anna Chałupa, Norbert Kaczmarczyk. SUNDAY: Igor Ostachowicz (56), Roman Ciepiela, Selim Chazbijewicz, Maciej Grzywaczewski.
live
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