state of play: 09/14/2024
THE STATE OF PLAY: Szydło Back in the Presidential Race? Harris's Victory as a Condition. Zaremba: Constant Campaigning May Awaken the Spirit of Defiance in Poles
-- "THE SITUATION LOOKS VERY BAD." MINISTER OF INTERIOR AND ADMINISTRATION AT THE CRISIS STAFF MEETING IN NYSA
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-sytuacja-wyglada-bardzo-zle-szef-mswia-na-sztabie-kryzysowym,nId,7780837
-- RECORD RAINFALL IN POLAND. MORE RAIN HAS FALLEN THAN IN 1997.
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/tak-mocno-nie-padalo-jeszcze-nigdy-spadlo-wiecej-deszczu-niz-w-1997-r/m992lcs,79cfc278
-- 46% CONSIDER PIS RETURN TO POWER PROBABLE, 47% IMPROBABLE - RZ POLL: 13.3% of respondents considered a return of PiS to power very probable. Another 33% of those surveyed considered a return of PiS to power probable. According to 26.6% of respondents, a return of PiS to power is unlikely. 19.1% of respondents consider a return of PiS to power very unlikely.
https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41128621-sondaz-czy-zdaniem-polakow-pis-moze-wrocic-do-wladzy-po-wyborach
-- SZYDŁO BACK IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE? HARRIS'S VICTORY AS A CONDITION - PIOTR ŚMIŁOWICZ IN GAZETA.PL: “Also on Thursday, a meeting of the Presidium of the PiS Political Committee took place, during which presidential candidates were discussed. According to our information, experienced PiS politicians have returned as potential candidates. Chairman Jarosław Kaczyński reportedly seriously considered Mariusz Błaszczak as a candidate, and candidacies of Mateusz Morawiecki, and even former Prime Minister Beata Szydło are also current. The party might bet on the latter if Kamala Harris wins the US elections.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31303059,pis-wraca-do-starych-kandydatow-szydlo-znow-w-grze-o-prezydenture.html
-- ACCORDING TO "NEWSWEEK" INFORMATION, THERE IS STILL HOPE IN PIS THAT BAŃKA WILL AGREE - JACEK GĄDEK: “Witold Bańka was supposed to be Jarosław Kaczyński's 'wunderwaffe' in the presidential elections as the Law and Justice candidate. According to 'Newsweek' information, there is still hope in PiS that he will agree.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/tajemnica-a-potem-mialo-byc-wielkie-bum-to-on-byl-wunderwaffe-kaczynskiego/ncc1t6p
-- IT WAS MARIUSZ KAMIŃSKI, PIS MEP, FORMER MINISTER OF INTERIOR AND ADMINISTRATION, AND FORMER COORDINATOR FOR THE SERVICES, WHO CONVINCED JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI TO SUSPEND RYSZARD CZARNECKI IN THE PARTY - "WYBORCZA" UNOFFICIALLY DETERMINED - AGATA KONDZIŃSKA: “He told the chairman not to insist on his defense,” party sources confirm to me.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31303059,wiemy-kto-namowil-prezesa-pis-do-zawieszenia-czarneckiego.html
-- IF "RECTIFYING THE MISTAKES OF PREDECESSORS" STARTS TO REPLACE OWN PROJECTS AND ACTIONS, IF THIS SLOGAN STARTS TO BE USED AS AN ALIBI FOR ONE'S OWN "CLUMSINESS," POWER BECOMES MEANINGLESS - CEZARY MICHALSKI IN INTERIA: “Does this mean that 'restoring the rule of law,' rectifying the pathologies of the last eight years, is not an important goal? It is, given the scale of the pathologies. However, if 'rectifying the mistakes of predecessors' begins to replace one's own projects and actions, if this slogan begins to be used as an alibi for one's own 'clumsiness,' power becomes meaningless.”
-- IF PARTIES FIGHTING FOR POWER CROSS A CERTAIN LINE, THE STATE WILL CEASE TO EXIST, THE COMMUNITY WILL CEASE TO EXIST - CEZARY MICHALSKI FURTHER IN INTERIA: “If parties fighting for power cross a certain line, the state will cease to exist, the community will cease to exist. There will be 'charismatic leaders,' in reality weak and trading privileges with anyone, in any way. And there will be lobbies and pressure groups that, in exchange for privileges and small or large gifts for 'themselves' or for 'their group,' will support some politicians one time, and support others another time. Never looking beyond the end of their own – group, environmental, private – nose.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-polska-polityka-wypadla-z-kolein,nId,7780248
-- HOW DID IT HAPPEN THAT THE CONSCIENTIOUS OMBUDSMAN ADAM BODNAR BECAME A DEFENDER OF METHODS REMINISCENT OF A POLICE STATE? AND THE MAIN ARCHITECT OF THE "FIGHTING DEMOCRACY" ANNOUNCED BY THE PRIME MINISTER - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN INTERIA: “However, it is hard to resist the impression that every system employing tough methods, brutally fighting opponents (I still have trouble calling it 'police-like'), needs Bodnars. People who speak quietly, colorless in their expression, never getting agitated, bespectacled individuals, methodical in operating the machinery of breaking resistance. Operating it so that "OURS" take the state in its entirety, and "THEIRS," the "enemies of freedom," never get anything again.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-cicho-mowiacy-metodyczny-bodnar-idealny-consigliere-tuska,nId,7780395
-- BUILDING A SYSTEM WHERE THE OPPOSITION, PORTRAYED AS A GANG OF FELONS, WILL HAVE LESS AND LESS ROOM IS TEMPTING FOR THE RULING PARTY, BUT IT IS RISKY. BECAUSE THE SPIRIT OF DEFIANCE MAY AWAKEN IN POLES - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “Of course, choosing such a direction carries risks. A constant campaign can disorganize, but also integrate the opponent, and awaken the spirit of defiance in other Poles. The answer will come in the coming months. The presidency will be at stake. Its takeover by the current coalition will mean granting them almost absolute power.”
-- UNDOUBTEDLY, THE NECESSITY TO ENDORSE SUCH SITUATIONS SOLIDIFIES COALITION PARTNERS AROUND HIM. IF ONCE OR TWICE THEY ARE FORCED TO DEFEND SIMILAR PRACTICES, THEY WILL NOT BACK DOWN LATER - ZAREMBA FURTHER IN RZ: “Tusk is achieving his goal. That is, one of his goals. Undoubtedly, the necessity to endorse such situations also solidifies coalition partners around him. If once or twice they are forced to defend similar practices, they will not back down later, and certainly will not leave anywhere. Their path to a coalition with the right is closed.”
-- EXCITED VOTERS BY THE IMPRISONMENT OF A PUBLIC FIGURE, OR AT LEAST THEIR ACCUSATION, MAY FORGET ABOUT THE DELAYED RAISING OF THE TAX-FREE AMOUNT - ZAREMBA FURTHER WRITES IN RZ: “Another achievement of the prime minister is focusing the debate on these spectacles. Voters excited by the imprisonment of a public figure, or at least their accusation, may forget about the tax-free amount being delayed indefinitely, or even about the health insurance contribution not being lowered, despite months of effort. Sometimes these methods are also used against other circles – see the spectacular scolding of sports activists after the Olympics in Paris.”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41118221-piotr-zaremba-opozycja-winni-i-wrabiani
-- WE DO NOT NEED FIGHTING DEMOCRACY - TOMASZ P. TERLIKOWSKI IN RZ: “What the predecessors did, and for what they were criticized, their successors will certainly do as well, only more so. And this is what is happening. We see how much the supposed opposites are becoming similar, and it is frightening to think what will happen when another change of power occurs.”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41118101-tomasz-p-terlikowski-nie-potrzebujemy-demokracji-walczacej
-- DUDA COMES TO MANOWSKA PRIMARILY FOR TUTORING - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “The new government knows that Duda comes to Manowska primarily for tutoring – she dictates to him what to do regarding the courts. The apolitical Manowska was a deputy minister under Zbigniew Ziobro during the first PiS government, where she also met Andrzej Duda, who was also Ziobro's deputy.”
-- THE TRIAL OF MANOWSKA IS TO BE A SYMBOL OF CHANGES. THE PROJECT TO VERIFY NEO-JUDGES HAS MANY GAPS AND PITFALLS, BUT THE GOVERNMENT KNOWS THAT SYMBOLS ARE WHAT MATTER - STANKIEWICZ FURTHER: “The trial of Manowska is to be a symbol of changes. The project to verify neo-judges has many gaps and pitfalls, but the government knows that symbols are what matter. Manowska, the social discovery of Chairman Julia Przyłębska, the leader of ministerial haters Łukasz Piebiak, Dagmara Pawełczyk-Woicka, Ziobro's crony, head of the KRS whose actions evoke embarrassment due to their stupidity, or disciplinary 'butchers' Schab, Radzik, and Lasota – this is the forefront of reckoning. The forefront of those whom the new government will not forgive, because it cannot forgive. Jagodno would never forgive this.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/andrzej-duda-przyjezdza-do-niej-na-korepetycje-dyktuje-mu-co-robic/f62wdhe
-- BIRTHDAYS: Jerzy Zelnik, Małgorzata Hajewska-Krzysztofik, Joanna Mihułka. SUNDAY: Marcin Mastalerek, Grzegorz Osiecki, Tomasz Jastrun, Magda Żakowska, Adam Giersz, Janusz Krasoń, and the author of Stanu gry.
live
3 days
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„A Key Stage of the Great Turnaround Orchestrated by Kaczyński, Which Led President Nawrocki by the Hand.” — Tusk on the Veto
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