state of play: 02/07/2024

THE STATE OF PLAY: Sawczuk: Taking on Big Projects Drains PiS of Oxygen, Smiłowicz: Tusk Focuses on Strengthening His Hegemony, Haszczyński: Do Not Rashly Abandon the EU Veto

Łukasz Mężyk

-- HOŁOWNIA: I WANT TO TELL THE STATE APPARATUS FROM PiS ONCE AGAIN – END THIS TELENOVELA. IT WAS AN ACT OF POLITICAL HOOLIGANISM - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/02/07/ -- GOVERNMENT'S DIPLOMATIC OFFENSIVE. TUSK AND SIKORSKI GO TO PARIS AND BERLIN ON MONDAY - BARTOSZ T. WIELIŃSKI IN GW: “Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski are rebuilding ties with Germany and France within the Weimar Triangle. In the background, cooperation between the three countries on arming Ukraine. On Monday, Tusk and Sikorski will fly to Paris. Tusk will meet there with President Emmanuel Macron, while Sikorski will participate in a meeting of the Weimar Triangle foreign ministers with his French counterpart Stéphane Séjourné and his German counterpart Annalena Baerbock. In the afternoon, after talks in Paris, Tusk will fly to Berlin to meet with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz”. https://wyborcza.pl/7,75399,30672085,dyplomatyczna-ofensywa-rzadu-w-poniedzialek-tusk-pojedzie-do.html -- THE GOVERNMENT IS RELYING MORE STRONGLY ON FRANCE AND GERMANY AT THE EXPENSE OF THE USA - JĘDRZEJ BIELECKI ON RZ'S FRONT PAGE: “Jarosław Kaczyński believed that only a close alliance with America could save Poland's sovereignty. According to information from 'Rz', a completely different assessment dominates the highest levels of power today. This is the conviction that Washington is preparing for a final showdown with China for global hegemony, and even if Donald Trump loses the election, US interest in Europe will wane. Added to this is the populist madness in which America is increasingly sinking: Congress has been blocking support for Ukraine for months”. https://www.rp.pl/dyplomacja/art39794971-rzad-donalda-tuska-stawia-mocniej-na-francje-i-niemcy-kosztem-usa -- CAUTION WITH THIS DIPLOMATIC REVOLUTION. DO WE KNOW THE PRICE OF GIVING UP THE VETO? - JERZY HASZCZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Particular caution should be exercised regarding the German government's push to abandon the EU's veto in foreign and security policy. It clearly doesn't fear problems building majorities serving German interests. For weaker, less favorably positioned countries with different histories, this is a sensitive issue tied to sovereignty. On this matter, Polish authorities must present a detailed plan: what is our price for something we will lose forever? Us and others, smaller ones, from our region. The payout in security matters should also be forever, but can we be sure?” -- PAYING GERMANY AND FRANCE IN OTHER AREAS FOR SECURITY MUST BE HANDLED WITH GREAT CARE - HASZCZYŃSKI FURTHER IN RZ: “Trump doesn't have to win. And until it becomes clear who the next President of the United States will be, we won't get guarantees that EU powers will be able to replace the Americans, or even worse, that they will want to at all. Therefore, paying Germany and France in other areas for security must be handled with great care”. https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art39791491-jerzy-haszczynski-ostroznie-z-ta-dyplomatyczna-rewolucja-czy-znamy-cene-rezygnacji-z-weta -- A LIST OF POLITICIANS FROM PiS WHO WERE ALLEGEDLY SPYED ON BY SPECIAL SERVICES WHILE MARIUSZ KAMIŃSKI AND MACIEJ WĄSIK WERE OVERSEEING THEM IS CIRCULATING WITHIN PiS - GAZETA.PL HAS DETERMINED - JACEK GĄDEK: “A list of PiS politicians who were allegedly surveilled by special services while Mariusz Kamiński and Maciej Wąsik were overseeing them is circulating within PiS, Gazeta.pl has determined. It includes, among others, Ryszard Terlecki, Marek Suski, Adam Bielan, Marek Kuchciński. We do not have the tools to definitively verify whether the Central Anticorruption Bureau bugged politicians from the PiS camp and hacked their phones with the Pegasus system. However, we are certain that this list and the fear that it might be authentic are causing confusion within the United Right ranks”. https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,30671300,lista-pegasusa-krazy-po-pis-moze-zaczac-rozsadzac-partie-od.html -- THE DECISION BY PO NOT TO FORM A JOINT COMMITTEE WITH THE LEFT IN THE LOCAL ELECTIONS MEANS THAT DONALD TUSK HAS OPTED TO STRENGTHEN HIS OWN HEGEMONY IN THE COALITION - PIOTR ŚMIŁOWICZ IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “The breakdown of talks with the Left regarding joint lists for local elections is the first signal that within the ruling coalition, despite the appearance of unity, a fierce struggle is underway. The expected weak result in the local elections could significantly reduce Włodzimierz Czarzasty's negotiating position. This is precisely what Tusk wants, with some even suspecting him of wanting to subsume the Left, currently the weakest entity in the coalition”. -- IT IS NOT IMPOSSIBLE THAT THE LEFT'S INDEPENDENT START, GIVEN LOW POLL RATINGS, WILL FORCE ITS ACTIVISTS INTO ACTIVITY DETRIMENTAL TO THE COALITION - ŚMIŁOWICZ FURTHER IN TYGODNIK: “It is not impossible that the Left's independent start, given low poll ratings, will force its activists into activity detrimental to the October 15 Coalition. Czarzasty and Biedroń's New Left has so far been a loyal ally of Civic Platform in controversial matters, such as the actions of Ministers Sienkiewicz and Bodnar. The Together party was more skeptical, so it will be interesting to observe how the narrative of the entire group, seeking to distinguish itself in the campaign, will change”. https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/zrobieni-na-zielono-czyli-jak-nikna-male-partie-w-wielkiej-koalicji-186087 -- INTERIA'S INFORMATION INDICATES THAT NONE OF THE THREE PROJECTS CONCERNING THIS ISSUE WILL LIKELY SECURE A MAJORITY IN THE SEJM CHAMBER - ŁUKASZ ROGOJSZ IN INTERIA: “Everything indicates, therefore, that the October 15 Coalition will spectacularly collapse over the issue of abortion, if it is put on the Sejm agenda. This is an issue of great importance for women, who were one of the voter groups that brought the current government to power. Our interlocutors from KO and New Left agree on one thing: they would rather bring abortion bills for debate and lose the vote than bury their heads in the sand and pretend the problem doesn't exist”. https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/kraj/news-kobiety-beda-musialy-poczekac-koalicja-rzadzaca-rozbija-sie-,nId,7315519 -- IS THE PRESIDENT FLYING WITH US? - PRZEMYSŁAW SZUBARTOWICZ IN INTERIA: “Thanks to the unpredictability of the head of state, we are dealing with political dissociation, instability on the part of the Presidential Palace, vindictiveness, an alternative version of the law, and above all, uncertainty that will last until the presidential elections. If anyone can draw satisfaction from this, it is certainly not Poland's national interest”. https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czy-leci-z-nami-prezydent,nId,7312947 -- IT IS STRIKING THAT IN 2024, A POLITICIAN FROM THE LAW AND JUSTICE ENVIRONMENT GAVE VOICE TO THIS POSITION - JAROSŁAW KUISZ IN INTERIA: “And here we are witnessing a clear change. At least some of us – to whom President Duda spontaneously gave voice – have settled on the comfortable side of History and prosperity. After two years, the war seems distant to some. (...) One can only hope that these voices of 'soberness' do not represent the majority of Poles. Besides, it's hard to talk about soberness when in Central and Eastern Europe it's like getting drunk on intellectual poison that at first gives the illusion of access to some Great Powers Club. In practice, this would mean complete historical amnesia, a misunderstanding of the sources of our individual and collective freedom, and the loss of that part of our experience that was encapsulated in the slogan: 'for your freedom and ours.' This would mean 'becoming the West' – but only in the worst sense of that phrase. And it is striking that in 2024, a politician originating from the Law and Justice environment gave voice to this position”. https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-dlaczego-andrzej-duda-w-ogole-oddawal-krym-rosjanom,nId,7315272 -- ZBIGNIEW ZIOBRO "HAS SUCH EXTREMELY LOW IMMUNITY THAT NO ONE VISITS HIM EXCEPT FAMILY" - JACEK GĄDEK IN GAZETA.PL: “- He has such extremely low immunity that virtually no one visits him except family. His contact with the outside world is marginal – a person from his circle tells us. The drop in immunity is due to cancer treatment”. https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,30672207,zbigniew-ziobro-ma-tak-skrajnie-niska-odpornosc-ze-poza-rodzina.html -- THE NEW GOVERNMENT SHOULD ADOPT THE IDEA OF GRAND MODERNIZATION PROJECTS FROM PiS, JUST AS IT ADOPTED THE 800 PLUS BENEFIT - TOMASZ SAWCZUK IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “It seems, however, that the new government should adopt the idea of Grand Modernization Projects from PiS, just as it adopted the 800 plus benefit. There are serious and prevailing arguments for a liberal government to take on big projects. (...) The fact that PiS exhibited elements of gigantomania – that it chose a political language that was ideologically and aesthetically repulsive to many – is not an argument against micromanagement, nor does it mean that all big projects are bad ideas. As stated, some of them are necessary – and therefore they will be implemented anyway, in one form or another; so why not benefit from it politically”. -- TAKING ON BIG PROJECTS SIMPLY DRAINS JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI'S PARTY OF OXYGEN - SAWCZUK FURTHER IN KL: “Finally, there is also a purely political argument. Taking on big projects simply drains Jarosław Kaczyński's party of oxygen. If you take away 800 plus and the modernization agenda from PiS, all that's left is shouting about Germans and traitors, which won't be electorally attractive. If, on the other hand, you leave room for doubt whether the new government is indeed sufficiently concerned about the country's security and progress in strategically important areas, or perhaps is even abandoning some projects in the interest of foreign powers, this will provide political fuel for PiS”. https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2024/02/05/sawczuk-wielkie-projekty-to-koniecznosc-a-nie-gigantomania/ -- THE POISONED LANGUAGE OF PiS: A SET OF THE KACZYŃSKI PARTY'S NEW TRICKS. THIS TOXIN IS STILL DANGEROUS - MALWINA DZIEDZIC IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “The PiS camp, as is its custom, thus creates an image of an alternative reality in which our freedom and security are threatened (Donald Tusk recently pointed this out in the Sejm: 'As few people in Poland as I, I remember them from the first days of their activity in Poland, they always accused their opponents of what they themselves do. This is always exactly the same method'). It also creates its own language, which is the basis of the dichotomous worldview presented by the leader and his praetorians. And this toxin slowly seeps in and poisons public debate”. -- WE ARE TO BE TIRED OF THE NEW POLITICAL SITUATION, AND TO SEE IN THE RULERS EITHER ZIOBRO'S "FOOLS" OR A CRUEL "DICTATORSHIP" - DZIEDZIC FURTHER IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “We are to be tired of the new political situation, and to see in the rulers either Ziobro's 'fools' or a cruel 'dictatorship' repressing political opponents – depending on who the message is addressed to. Because apart from discrediting the effect of the great civic uprising of October 15 and demotivating voters who then flocked to the polls in droves, hoping for change, PiS must also take care of morale within its own ranks – consolidate activists and the electorate before the spring local and European elections, and also prepare for lean years in opposition”. https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2244335,1,zatruty-jezyk-pis-zestaw-nowych-chwytow-partii-kaczynskiego-ta-toksyna-wciaz-jest-grozna.read -- 5TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE DEATH OF PRIME MINISTER JAN OLSZEWSKI. -- MEMORY OF JAN OLSZEWSKI: https://polskieradio24.pl/39/156/Artykul/2357126,Jan-Olszewski-Polityk-z-pieknym-zyciorysem -- BIRTHDAYS: Aleksander Pociej, Tomasz Kapliński, Krzysztof Żabiński, Iwona Guzowska.

Łukasz Mężyk