— POLITICAL PLAN OF THE WEEK: AUSCHWITZ LIBERATION COMMEMORATIONS, MORAWIECKI WITH FLOOD VICTIMS, TRZASKOWSKI IN JAROCIN, POSSIBLE ZIOBRO HEARING, FUNDRAISING FOR NAWROCKI'S CAMPAIGN:
https://300polityka.pl/news/2025/01/26/polityczny-plan-tygodnia-obchody-w-auschwitz-morawiecki-z-powodzianami-trzaskowski-w-jarocinie-mozliwe-przesluchanie-ziobry-zbiorka-na-kampanie-nawrockiego/

— MASTALEREK ON HIS CONTACT WITH SUSIE WILES, KO COALITION POLITICIANS' CRITICISM OF TRUMP, RECORD-BAD GOVERNMENT POLLS, AND CANDIDATES FROM THE HARD RIGHT AND HARD LEFT IN THE SECOND ROUND, AND THAT THE PRESIDENT WILL NOT SIGN THE INCIDENTAL LAW – 300LIVE:  https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/01/27

— STANOWSKI WILL PRIMARILY MOBILIZE YOUNG MEN, FOR WHOM KANAŁ ZERO IS LIKE TVN 24 FOR THEIR PARENTS – LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN INTERIA: “Stanowski will primarily mobilize young men, for whom Kanał Zero is like TVN 24 for their parents. He will certainly particularly target Rafał Trzaskowski, who will face a difficult-to-attack reviewer, as he will be acting in a dual role. However, the supply of young right-wingers in Poland is limited by demographics. Even if half of the men under forty choose Konfederacja, they now have five candidates to choose from: Mentzen, Braun, Jakubiak, Nawrocki, and Stanowski.”

— HIS SHOW IS A READY-MADE ANTI-PARTICIPATION CAMPAIGN TARGETING YOUNG RIGHT-WINGERS – JAŻDŻEWSKI CONTINUES: “Stanowski is loudly proclaiming everywhere (primarily to the right) how corrupt and deceitful politics is. That politicians' programs are the real disinformation. His show is a ready-made anti-participation campaign targeting young right-wingers. That's why Stanowski is such a valuable ally to the October 15th Coalition. Prime Minister Donald Tusk should award him some medal (or better yet, send him a case of Królewskie beer).”

— A CYNICAL CLOWN LOBBYING FOR BOOKMAKERS – JAŻDŻEWSKI'S CONCLUSION IN INTERIA: “Disappointment with both the government and the Polish political class has solid grounds. However, if a cynical clown lobbying for bookmakers were to channel it, it would speak very poorly of our democracy. Ultimately, as Jacek Kuroń used to say, 'it is a system of government that guarantees us that we will not be ruled any better than we deserve.'”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czy-polska-zasluguje-na-stanowskiego,nId,7899819

— HE IS NOT SUPPOSED TO WIN, HE IS NOT SUPPOSED TO LOSE. BECAUSE IN THE 2ND ROUND HE WILL HAVE AN ADVANTAGE, AS HIS ELECTORATE AND THE ELECTORATES OF THE LEFT AND THIRD WAY ALWAYS PARTICIPATE IN LARGE NUMBERS IN ELECTIONS – PROF. RAFAŁ CHWEDORUK IN CONVERSATION WITH MAGDA GAŁCZYŃSKA ON ONET: “He is not supposed to gain, he is not supposed to lose. Because in the 2nd round he will have an advantage, as his electorate and the electorates of the Left and Third Way always participate in large numbers in elections. Trzaskowski is condemned to caution; to constantly listen to public opinion, in which direction it is turning; to understatement and pragmatic, ad-hoc reactions to various events. He simply has to go with the flow, because that's what being close to the center entails. PO was constructed as a party that is meant to govern for a long time. And such a party cannot be distinctive. Trzaskowski's case is similar.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/politolog-ostro-o-szansach-karola-nawrockiego-jemu-niewiele-juz-moze-pomoc/46x48fx,79cfc278

— NAWROCKI STUMBLES IN HIS CAMPAIGN, BUT HAS A CLEAR GOAL: TO GARNER THE VOTES OF THE ENTIRE RIGHT. THEREFORE, HE CAN BE DEADLY DANGEROUS FOR TRZASKOWSKI – JACEK GĄDEK IN NEWSWEEK: “According to Nowogrodzka's calculations, the key to a real fight with Rafał Trzaskowski is not at all about courting the moderate, picnic-loving electorate – which is impossible anyway four months before the election. These voters are the most volatile. As the CBOS poll after the 2023 parliamentary elections showed, half of the Third Way voters decided to vote for this formation within a week before the election (of which as many as one in five decided on Saturday or Sunday). For Nawrocki, the most important thing is to win the full quota of extremely right-wing voters – those who vote for Sławomir Mentzen, as well as Grzegorz Braun or Marek Jakubiak. PiS is fighting for Nawrocki's monopoly on the right in the second round of the elections.”

— THE MEDIA ARE NOW DOING EVERYTHING TO STRENGTHEN KAROL NAWROCKI'S POSITION AMONG THE RIGHT-WING ELECTORATE – LAUGHS A POLITICIAN FROM PIS CLOSE TO NOWOGRODZKA – GĄDEK CONTINUES IN NEWSWEEK: “The media are now doing everything to strengthen Karol Nawrocki's position among the right-wing electorate – laughs a politician from PiS close to Nowogrodzka. Because the more Nawrocki is associated with Konfederacja, the better for him. (...) A similar wave of criticism fell on Nawrocki after he issued an ultimatum to Ukraine: either the exhumation of the Volhynia massacre victims, or Ukraine will not be in the EU and NATO. With growing anti-Ukrainian emotions in Poland, such a demand from Nawrocki – Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz also made it before, and Prime Minister Tusk agreed with him – can only bring him supporters among the hard right-wing voters, as well as the PSL.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/wewnetrzne-badania-pis-oto-najslabszy-punkt-trzaskowskiego/vjheng5

— TUSK IS NOT SATISFIED WITH THE CAMPAIGN OF THE PO CANDIDATE. HE HAS ALREADY HAD TO PROTECT HIM FROM HIS OWN CAMPAIGN TEAM AT LEAST ONCE – ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “The problem is that too radical a transformation might be unbelievable to voters. I hear such concerns from Donald Tusk's circle, who himself has undergone numerous transformations in his political biography. But even if we assume that the campaign transformation will help more than harm, Trzaskowski's own campaign team is throwing a spanner in the works.”

— THE TRUTH IS THAT LIBERALS HAVE NEVER HAD A PRESIDENT IN POLAND, BECAUSE ALTHOUGH CANDIDATE KOMOROWSKI ONCE WON THE PRESIDENCY, HE WAS NEVER A CLASSICAL LIBERAL – STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES IN NEWSWEEK: “The truth is that liberals have never had a president in Poland, because although the Civic Platform candidate Bronisław Komorowski once won the presidency, firstly, it was in special circumstances (in 2010, shortly after Smolensk), secondly – he was never a classical liberal (only a conservative), and thirdly – it wasn't such a success at all (because in 2015 he lost his second term to the right-wing greenhorn Andrzej Duda). Therefore, Trzaskowski would have to break the unfavorable rule for liberals that they are unable to win the presidency because they do not have over 50% of public support.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/to-beda-bardzo-brudne-prawicowe-wybory-mesjaszem-antypisu-pozostal-tusk/55w4gmw

— TUSK IS DRAGGING DOWN TRZASKOWSKI'S CANDIDACY – MAREK PYZA IN SIEĆI: “Tusk has no choice, he must adopt completely different positions. So it will be: a higher and denser fence on the border! CPK – let them dig until it flies! Green Deal – out! Migration Pact – out! Make Poland Great Again! You will be surprised how much Tusk will embrace this – we hear from someone who accompanied the Civic Platform in more than one election campaign.”

— THEY SEE THAT THE PENDULUM MIGHT SWING, POWER MIGHT CHANGE, AND THEN 'JIHAD 2.0' WILL APPEAR AGAINST THEM. BECAUSE OF THIS, WE HAVE MULTI-LEVEL PARALYSIS IN THE ADMINISTRATION – PYZA CONTINUES IN SIEĆI: “People demand big projects. PiS accustomed them to the idea that we are no longer a second-class state, that we have money for large investments, that we have ambitions. The Prime Minister was not interested in this at all. He had his obsession: – He moved the 'jihad' to another level. He really wanted to put PiS members in prison. He entered power aggressively, without regard for the law, and quickly stopped. Both Civic Platforms – the one in government and the other, serving as a voting machine in the Sejm – heard at the beginning of their term: don't worry, they won't be back. Today, they have increasing doubts about whether to carry out all orders obediently. They see that the pendulum might swing, power might change, and then 'jihad 2.0' will appear against them. Because of this, we have multi-level paralysis in the administration – says our interlocutor.”
https://wpolityce.pl/tygodniksieci/719401-poczatek-konca-polacy-juz-wiedza-jak-rzadzi-donald-tusk

— I HAVE THE IMPRESSION THAT THE PATIENCE OF A CERTAIN PART OF THE VOTERS HAS ALREADY BEEN EXHAUSTED. IF WE LOOK AT CBOS SURVEYS, WHERE DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT IS IN THE SAME POSITION AS MORAWIECKI'S GOVERNMENT WAS – MARCIN DUMA IN CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ OSIECKI AND TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK ON MONEY.PL: “The October 15th elections were about that. Back then, PiS stole. We, as a society, chose a new force that credibly promised that it knew how to do it and would do it. Because it has better contacts in Europe, it will be accepted and it will be able to unblock KPO. It will be able to do all of this, and overnight. However, this did not happen overnight, nor did it happen in a year. And I have the impression that the patience of a certain part of the voters has already been exhausted. If we look at CBOS surveys, where Donald Tusk's government is in the same position as Morawiecki's government was when it handed over power, it shows that this line of reasoning holds up.”

— IT WAS SAID THAT WHEN KPO ARRIVES IN POLAND, THIS HUGE WAVE OF MONEY WILL ACTUALLY FLOW TO THE CITIZEN. THAT'S NOT REALLY THE CASE – DUMA CONTINUES ON MONEY: “Over a year and a half ago, Poles were promised that when the current coalition came to power, it would immediately unblock funds from KPO. This unblocking happened – perhaps not as quickly as promised, but quite quickly. It was said that when KPO arrived in Poland, this huge wave of money would actually flow to the citizen, and he would see the difference almost immediately. That's not really the case.”

— FOR NOW, THE POLE SEES IT AS AN AFFLICTION. HE BELIEVES HE IS STILL UNABLE TO BUY THE THINGS HE COULD BUY IN 2019, AND THE PROMISE HE VOTED FOR WAS THAT IT WOULD BE BETTER – DUMA TELLS OSIECKI AND ŻÓŁCIAK: “For now, the Pole sees it as an affliction. He believes that he is still unable to buy the things he could buy in 2019. We call it the 'Yaris effect.' In 2019, an ordinary, average citizen could buy a city car like a Toyota Yaris for PLN 49,000. The same car, of the same class, with the same equipment, costs PLN 90,000 today. That's an 85% increase. And wages have not increased by 85%. This citizen cannot afford this car. He is not even in the same place he was five years ago. And the promise he voted for was that it would be better – either through a magic wand, as Minister Leszczyna talked about, or KPO money, which the then opposition leader, and now Prime Minister Donald Tusk, showed on a full stadium during the campaign. The promise was that all this would happen when we removed the 'hordes of thieves' from draining state-owned companies and government funds.”

— TRZASKOWSKI IS DISAPPEARING AS A SECOND-ROUND CANDIDATE FOR CONFEDERACJA VOTERS – A SMALLER AND SMALLER PERCENTAGE OF THIS PARTY'S VOTERS ARE READY TO VOTE FOR HIM – MARCIN DUMA CONTINUES ON MONEY.PL: “He is the favorite today, and if he were to face Karol Nawrocki in the second round, he would win today. But he is gradually weakening. For a month and a half now, Rafał Trzaskowski has been steadily disappearing as a second-round candidate for Confederation voters – a smaller and smaller percentage of this party's voters are ready to vote for him. A significant segment of Third Way voters is connected with them; they are interchangeable. And a similar process is visible among Third Way voters, although it is progressing more slowly.”
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/chcemy-nad-wisla-polskiego-trumpa-polak-otwiera-portfel-i-nie-widzi-tam-tych-pieniedzy-7117674635422496a.html

— WILL WE WITHDRAW THE 800+ BENEFIT FROM THOSE TO WHOM SUPPORT SHOULD PRIMARILY GO? DOES ECONOMIC PATRIOTISM REQUIRE THIS? – KRYSTYNA GARBICZ IN OKO.PRESS: “Refugees from Ukraine are a diverse group. In addition to young, able-bodied people who can strengthen the Polish economy day and night and fit into an acceptable image of a migrant, many have found themselves in Poland against their will: the elderly, children with disabilities, and people traumatized by war. People who, due to Russian aggression, are struggling with problems and are therefore 'inconvenient' for a state that relies on 'patriotism' based on segregating people and children by nationality. Yes, they can find shelter in a collective accommodation center and live there for free for 120 days. But will they be able to become self-sufficient in a foreign country within three months after the trauma of fleeing their homeland? What will happen to them and the child on the 121st day? Illogical logic: we are withdrawing benefits from those who should receive them first. Is that the purpose of this 'social policy'?”
https://oko.press/zdrowy-rozsadek-patriotyzm-gospodarczy-powiedz-to-dziecku-ktorego-tata-nie-wrocil-z-frontu

— HE ASKS NOT TO MENTION IN THE TEXT WHAT FUNCTION HE HELD, OR EVEN WHAT GENDER HE IS. – CHECK WHAT THE 'LOVE BOAT' WAS – HE SAYS THROUGH A SLIGHTLY OPEN DOOR. THIS SUGGESTION, WHICH APPEARED EARLIER IN CONVERSATIONS WITH INFORMERS, DOES NOT NECESSARILY CONCERN NAWROCKI – WOJCIECH CZUCHNOWSKI AND KRZYSZTOF KATKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA (COLLABORATION: AGNIESZKA KUBLIK): “The accounts of people who worked in the service at the time are fragmented. As we wrote a week ago, former and current employees are afraid to talk. They don't want to provoke someone who ruled the museum with an iron fist and might now become president. – Please don't even say you found me – says a person formerly employed in the hotel part, whom we manage to find at her apartment. She asks not to mention in the text what function she held, or even what gender she is. – Check what the 'love boat' was – she says through a slightly open door. This suggestion, which has appeared before in conversations with informers, does not necessarily concern Nawrocki. He was not the only one residing in the hotel part. It turns out that one of the deputy directors, who was appointed during Nawrocki's time, also occupied the apartment for a very long time – about a year – although he also lives in Gdańsk.”

— CBOS HEAD DENIES THE EXISTENCE OF A HIDDEN POLL REGARDING THE SECOND ROUND – CZUCHNOWSKI AND KATKA CONTINUE IN GW: “According to this account, the poll was conducted by CBOS, but it was not published. However, Prof. Ewa Marciniak, head of CBOS, denies this: the research center cannot hide the results of support in the second round, because it does not study it at all. – We only study the first round – in the poll from January 7-8, Rafał Trzaskowski had 35% support, and Karol Nawrocki had 31%. We have another poll planned for early February, and we will also only ask about the first round – she assures. She also adds that we are another editorial office asking about a 'hidden poll.'”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31643565,tajemnice-apartamentu-nawrockiego-kto-go-odwiedzal.html

— 'THEY LIED, THEY ARE LYING, AND THEY WILL CONTINUE TO LIE!'. SZEFERNAKER ON 'FAKE NEWS': https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/01/27/#post-745785

— 15TH ANNIVERSARY OF TUSK'S WORDS ABOUT THE CHANDELIER: Tusk announced that he would not run in the 2010 presidential elections. 'Tusk made a mistake, because the presidency is not just a chandelier' – Tadeusz Mazowiecki said then on Radio ZET.

— BIRTHDAYS: Urszula Pasławska, Magdalena Kochan.