state of play: 09/07/2024
STATE OF PLAY: GW Poll: Difference Between Civic Coalition and PiS Narrows from 6.1 to 0.5 Points in a Month, Onet: PiS Accelerates After Holidays, Michalski: Without an Agenda, Reckonings are Fruitless Machiavellianism Destroying Social Capital
-- WITHIN A MONTH, THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN CIVIC COALITION AND PIS HAS NARROWED FROM 6.1 TO 0.5 POINTS - OPINIA24 POLL FOR GW DESCRIBED BY AGNIESZKA KUBLIK: “In the Opinia24 poll, the Civic Coalition lost only slightly over 2 percentage points in a month. This is a difference within the margin of error. In the same period, PiS improved its ratings by 3 percentage points. As a result, the difference between these two party hegemons has shrunk from 6.1 to 0.5 percentage points!”
-- IN THIRD PLACE - FOR FOUR MONTHS NOW - IS KONFEDERACJA - FURTHER IN THE GW POLL: “In third place – for four months now – is Konfederacja with 12.3% support. Trzecia Droga came in fourth with 10.5%, slightly less than a month ago. Lewica has 9.1%.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31277142,opinia24-kaczynski-dogania-tuska-koalicja-obywatelska-wyprzedza.html
-- DONALD TUSK'S HEADACHE. PIS ACCELERATES AFTER HOLIDAYS - TITLE IN ONET ABOUT GW POLL.
https://wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/bol-glowy-donalda-tuska-pis-przyspiesza-po-wakacjach-sondaz/4bbg9rx
-- KOSINIAK-KAMYSZ MAN OF THE YEAR, AND CIVIC COALITION DOESN'T APPLAUD. THE GREAT ABSENCES OF THE ECONOMIC FORUM - TOMASZ NYCZKA IN GW: “The most important ministers from PSL and Nowa Lewica came to Karpacz, and Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz even received an award. Civic Coalition politicians say: - There was a clear suggestion in the club not to go there.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31284122,dlaczego-ko-zbojkotowala-forum-ekonomiczne-w-karpaczu-kiedys.html
-- TRZECIA DROGA DISAGREES WITH ITSELF - 300POLITYKA: The Minister of Development criticizes the Minister of Funds, and at almost the same time, the Minister of Climate criticizes a prominent PSL politician. These are no longer minor differences of opinion, but divisions on important government policies that have surfaced in the media for the first time.
https://300polityka.pl/news/2024/09/06/trzecia-droga-dzis-nie-zgadza-sie-sama-ze-soba/
-- THE HEAD OF PIS WOULD EVEN AGREE TO BAŃKA'S FANCIES, SUCH AS SUPPORT FOR PARTNERSHIP MARRIAGES OR DISTANCE FROM JASNA GÓRA SÉANCES WITH FATHER RYDZYK. BUT BAŃKA REFUSED - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ IN NEWSWEEK: “The head of PiS – who desperately needs a candidate who has a chance to win – would even agree to Bańka's fancies, such as support for partnership marriages or distance from Jasna Góra séances with Father Rydzyk. But Bańka refused. Firstly, he is not entirely on the same page with the currently radicalizing Kaczyński. Secondly, he feared that if he won, he would have to surround himself with hardline PiS people, as he has no political base of his own. And thirdly, he was afraid that if he lost, Kaczyński would shift all responsibility onto him, badmouthing him in right-wing media.”
-- MORAWIECKI WANTS TO FORCE HIS NOMINATION - STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “I heard about this plan of Morawiecki's from his people a few months ago. The former Prime Minister is counting on the fact that Kaczyński's presidential casting call will end in nothing, meaning the candidate chosen in the next few weeks will not be able to build high support. Then, at the turn of the year, Kaczyński will have to change the candidate. To put it bluntly – Morawiecki wants to force his nomination.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/opinie/prawdziwe-intencje-morawieckiego-do-kaczynskiego-jeszcze-to-w-pelni-nie-dotarlo/gx1zgb4
-- THE MAIN PROBLEM OF THE GOVERNMENT AND THE COALITION IS NOT AN AUTHORITARIAN EXCESS OF EFFECTIVENESS, BUT ITS LACK - CEZARY MICHALSKI IN INTERIA: “Lewica, which is trying to punish Tusk for his lack of left-wing policies, is using a completely false, mechanical argument. The problem for Tusk, his government, and the coalition is not an authoritarian excess of effectiveness today, but its lack. Compromises within the coalition are still being made too slowly, or not at all. After eight months of the coalition's majority in the Polish parliament, no legislative, compromise solutions have been passed by this parliament on housing issues, health contributions, two trading Sundays, abortion, or partnership marriages.”
-- IF THERE IS NO AGENDA, RECKONINGS WILL INDEED BECOME PR-ART FOR ART'S SAKE, FRUITLESS MACHIAVELLIANISM OF THE PERIPHERY DESTROYING SOCIAL CAPITAL INSTEAD OF BUILDING IT - MICHALSKI CONTINUES: “However, weakening a political competitor is only a tool to facilitate the implementation of one's own political, social, economic, ideological agenda. If there is no such agenda – a compromise-based, centrist, concrete one, worked out jointly by Lewica, KO, and Trzecia Droga – reckonings will indeed become PR art for art's sake, fruitless Machiavellianism of the periphery destroying social capital instead of building it.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-czy-tusk-jest-autorytarnym-dyktatorem-jak-twierdzi-radykalna,nId,7775701
-- PIS POLITICIANS WHO KNEW THIS RULING, THEREFORE KNEW PERFECTLY WELL WHAT THE DANGERS OF USING OTHER INSTITUTIONS FOR SELF-PROMOTION IN A CAMPAIGN WERE - DOMINIK WIELOWIEYSKI IN GW: “PiS politicians who knew this ruling, therefore knew perfectly well what the dangers of using other institutions for self-promotion in a campaign were. And if the same Extraordinary Control Chamber now upholds PiS's appeal, it will ultimately compromise itself. Because it will deny exactly what it ruled in the case of Szymon Hołownia's Poland 2050.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31279189,politycy-pis-znali-wyrok-ich-wlasnej-izby-sadu-najwyzszego.html
-- THE OFFICE OF PRIME MINISTER TUSK PROHIBITED THE BROADCAST OF A SPOT PROMOTING THE "ACTIVE FAMILY" PROGRAM, WHICH FEATURED THE MINISTER OF FAMILY, LABOUR AND SOCIAL POLICY AGNIESZKA DZIEMIANOWICZ-BĄK. THE PRIME MINISTER STATED THAT THIS WAS SELF-PROMOTION "TYPICAL OF THE PIS TIMES".
https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41090261-agnieszka-dziemianowicz-bak-jak-ministrowie-z-pis-ostra-reakcja-premiera
-- COULD THE ABW NOT HAVE WARNED THE PROSECUTOR? THIS LACK OF COORDINATION BETWEEN SERVICES EVOKES THE GANG OF OLSEN - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “This impression is even stronger when we recall a recent situation. A court in Lublin released three individuals convicted of espionage for Russia with low sentences, who, despite not having served them, immediately disappeared. And these were minor players. Here, however, we are dealing with an exceptionally big fish. While it will be difficult for him to return to the EU, especially since the court in Rzeszów will try him in absentia. But he can train and instruct others from the GRU.”
-- THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION USED THE EXAMPLE OF RUBCZOW, WHO IS HALF SPANISH BY THE WAY, IN ITS NEXT REPORT ON THE VIOLATION OF THE RULE OF LAW AND FREEDOM OF SPEECH IN POLAND - ZAREMBA CONTINUES IN INTERIA: “PiS services supposedly made a mistake. This version was promoted so zealously that finally the European Commission also included the example of Rubcow, who is half Spanish by the way, in its next report on the violation of the rule of law and freedom of speech in Poland. Today, MEP Maciej Wąsik is vainly demanding an apology from the EC.”
-- A METHOD HAS BEEN FOUND TO HARASS SOMEONE WHO IS NOT SUSPECTED OF ANYTHING, YET THEIR COMPUTER AND PHONE WITH SENSITIVE DATA CAN BE TAKEN AWAY WITH IMPUNITY, AND THEIR FAMILY CAN BE TRAUMATIZED IN THE PROCESS - ZAREMBA ON THE BĄKIEWICZ CASE: “Thus, a method has been found to harass someone who is not suspected of anything, yet their computer and phone with sensitive data can be taken away with impunity, and their family traumatized in the process. The Gang of Olsen is transforming into something entirely different, but only when it's easy. I write this without knowing, of course, who is responsible for the lack of coordination in sharing Rubcow's case files: the prosecutors or the special services.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-lis-w-kurniku-szpieg-dopuszczony-do-akt,nId,7775608
-- KOTULA EXCLUDES AN ABORTION REFERENDUM - AS SHE STATES IN A CONVERSATION WITH DANIEL DROB IN GAZETA.PL: “- It is risky, above all, because if the referendum were lost – for various reasons – it would close the door to liberalizing the law. I am very skeptical about whether such an idea is being seriously considered. Less than two months ago, I spoke with Prime Minister Donald Tusk. He asked me what we could do without changes in the law; we then discussed the guidelines of the Minister of Justice and the Minister of Health. They have been implemented. Now we will strive to pass decriminalization through the Sejm up to the 12th week of pregnancy and restore the third premise, which was eliminated by the Constitutional Tribunal in 2020 – Katarzyna Kotula tells us.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31283418,ko-chce-referendum-ws-aborcji-piekarska-niedopuszczalne.html
-- I WOULD LIKE TO KNOW WHAT YOU, NATIONALISTS, PROPOSE WHEN YOU TELL US TO BE CONCERNED. I HAVE THE IMPRESSION THAT IT IS ABOUT STIRRING UP FEAR AMONG POLES, BENEFICIAL TO PUTIN, RATHER THAN SOLVING ANYTHING - PIOTR ZAREMBA IN RZ: “The text in „Do Rzeczy”, apart from ominous drumming, contains no prescriptions. It may be worthwhile to anticipate certain processes. Only I would like to know what you, nationalists, propose when you tell us to be concerned. I do not believe, like dogmatic leftists, that discussing the characteristics of newcomers, their culture and customs, and the consequences of their influx is a manifestation of racism or fanaticism. But for now, the warnings are general, and therefore fruitless. I have the impression that it is about stirring up fear among Poles, beneficial to Putin, rather than solving anything.”
https://www.rp.pl/plus-minus/art41080941-piotr-zaremba-granice-sasiedzkiej-cierpliwosci
-- AGORA, DON'T KILL THE MEDIA - ONE WOULD LIKE TO SAY: “Agora has suspended the daily news service. The "Morning Conversation Gazeta.pl" will also not be produced. Agora is ceasing operations of the service Jeden News Dziennie, linked to the Gazeta.pl portal. It was intended to be a response to the shallowness of mass information on the internet. There will also be no new episodes of the video program "Morning Conversation Gazeta.pl." The service Jedennewsdziennie.pl published an in-depth article on a single topic daily. The service was launched in July 2023. Agora explained at the time that it was created as an attempt to respond to the increasingly common phenomenon of audiences avoiding news.”
https://www.press.pl/tresc/83472,agora-zawiesila-serwis-jeden-news-dziennie_-nie-bedzie-tez----porannej-rozmowy-gazeta_pl
-- BIRTHDAYS: Jerzy Stępień, Piotr Marciniak, Teresa Czerwińska. SUNDAY: Zofia Wojtkowska, Roch Kowalski, Jerzy Szmit, Ewa Żmuda-Trzebiatowska.
live
3 days
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„I Am Appalled by Minister Sikorski’s Lack of Knowledge,” — Leśkiewicz Comments on Decorations for MFA Employees
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Leśkiewicz: It is obvious that marriage is a union between a woman and a man
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„He's Trying to Create an Alternative Legal Reality.” — The President's Spokesman on Żurek
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Domański: It's Clear Inflation Has Been Effectively Tamed
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