-- DUDA ON BRINGING IN MIGRANTS: THIS IS SOMETHING SIMILAR TO WHAT WE ARE DEALING WITH AT THE BORDER WITH BELARUS, IN A MUCH MITIGATED SITUATION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/06/21 -- POLES BELIEVE IN NEITHER KACZYŃSKI NOR TUSK - PIOTR PACEWICZ ON THE IPSOS POLL FOR OKO.PRESS: “Donald Tusk won the plebiscite for a leader in difficult times against Jarosław Kaczyński. But more accurately, it was Kaczyński who lost it, losing his advantage even in his strongholds, from where it seemed no one could dislodge him: the countryside and among the elderly. Tusk only narrowly loses in one group – people who regularly attend church.” -- TUSK'S LEAD OVER KACZYŃSKI, FAR GREATER THAN KO'S OVER PIS, WOULD BE GOOD NEWS FOR THE PRIME MINISTER WERE IT NOT FOR THE FACT THAT HE CAN CONVINCE MERELY 44 PERCENT OF POLES OF HIS LEADERSHIP, WHICH IS STATISTICALLY THE SAME AS A YEAR AGO WHEN HE WAS IN OPPOSITION (41 PERCENT) - PACEWICZ FURTHER ON THE POLL FOR OKO: “He also cannot increase trust in himself in traditionally liberal groups, especially younger people. Voters of TD and Lewica have doubts about Tusk as a leader in difficult times. The answer 'neither of them' hangs over the government and the entire October 15th Coalition like a dangerous cloud of doubt.” -- INDICATIONS OF TUSK AS A LEADER IN DIFFICULT TIMES HAVE INCREASED BY MERELY 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS OVER THE YEAR (FROM 41 TO THE CURRENT 44 PERCENT), WHICH MAY BE SURPRISING GIVEN HE IS SUCH A DISTINCT AND EFFECTIVE PRIME MINISTER. MEANWHILE, KACZYŃSKI HAS LOST AS MUCH AS 10 PERCENTAGE POINTS - PACEWICZ FURTHER ON IPSOS: “He lost one-third of his support (down from 30 to 20 percent). As a result, Tusk's lead has more than doubled: it was 11 percentage points, now it is 24. However, the KO leader owes this not so much to his own advancement in public opinion as to the political degradation of his eternal rival.” -- KACZYŃSKI'S RESULT IS MERELY SLIGHTLY OVER HALF THE RATINGS OF HIS OWN PARTY. THIS IS A DISASTER FOR HIS IMAGE - PACEWICZ FURTHER: “...which bodes well for pro-democratic forces, because it doesn't look like PiS will decide to change leadership, and a leader with such depleted potential will drag the party down.” -- TUSK HAS EVEN TAKEN THE COUNTRYSIDE FROM KACZYŃSKI - PACEWICZ FURTHER: “As can be seen, in 2023, Kaczyński garnered 43 percent of votes in the countryside (including 31 percent definitively) and beat Tusk (31 percent) by 12 percentage points. Today, it is Tusk (36 percent) who has such a lead over Kaczyński (24 percent). This radical change could be influenced by the cutoff of the countryside from public media propaganda, not compensated by the more inaccessible TV Republika.” -- ONLY THE KO ELECTORATE HAS HIGH TRUST IN TUSK. THE ELECTORATES OF LEWICA AND TRZECIA DROGA DECLARE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS FAITH IN THE PRIME MINISTER OF A COALITION GOVERNMENT, WRITES PACEWICZ ON THE IPSOS POLL: “Only the KO electorate has such high trust in Tusk. The electorates of Lewica and Trzecia Droga declare significantly less faith in the prime minister of a coalition government, with one-third (31 percent each) stating that neither Tusk nor Kaczyński can cope with the challenges. The loyalty of the TD and Lewica electorates to the government's policy and its leader is not very strong.” -- THE DISCUSSED POLL CONFIRMS THAT THE LOYALTY OF THE TD AND LEWICA ELECTORATES TO THE GOVERNMENT'S POLICY AND ITS LEADER IS NOT VERY STRONG - PACEWICZ FURTHER IN OKO: “In another question of the poll, as much as 89 percent of KO voters feel satisfaction with Tusk's government, but only 53 percent of Lewica voters and 46 percent of Trzecia Droga voters. We also observed disappointment among young people, especially women, as well as the Lewica electorate, due to the unfulfilled promise – the right to abortion. The Lewica electorate also rejects the idea of a 'buffer zone' on the border with Belarus and the push-back policy, which raises doubts even among the TD electorates (21 percent against) and even KO (28 percent). And finally, quite a few people voting for TD and Lewica have bought into the PiS narrative about the Tusk government's pro-Russian stance before 2015. The discussed poll confirms that the loyalty of the TD and Lewica electorates to the government's policy and its leader is not very strong.” https://oko.press/kaczynski-sie-kurczy-tusk-pokonal-go-nawet-na-wsi-ale-w-jego-przywodztwo-wierzy-tylko-44-proc -- TUSK GRABS THE ECONOMIC REINS AND SIDELINES COALITION PARTNERS - GRZEGORZ OSIECKI AND TOMASZ ŻÓŁCIAK IN MONEY.PL: “Tusk's decision also brings with it strengthened political control over this body. Its head, as before, will be Finance Minister Andrzej Domański, but previously his deputy was the Minister of Development and Technology. This position in the coalition distribution fell to PSL, currently held by Krzysztof Paszyk. However, the Prime Minister has decided that the deputies to the head of KERM will be the head of Tusk's chancellery, i.e., Jakub Grabiec, the head of the standing committee, Maciej Berek, and the Minister of State Assets, Jakub Jaworowski. All are individuals trusted by the Prime Minister.” -- THE PRIME MINISTER WANTS TO DISCIPLINE THE COALITION PARTNERS, EVEN TO TAKE THEM BY THE SCUFF OF THE NECK - A COALITION POLITICIAN TO ŻÓŁCIAK AND OSIECKI: “KERM is to be a dam against ideas that might prove too costly or difficult to implement, also from a political point of view. – This means that the Prime Minister wants to discipline the coalition partners, even to take them by the scruff of the neck – there is no doubt about the intentions of these changes, according to one coalition politician.” https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/ko-chwyta-gospodarcza-kierownice-i-odsuwa-koalicjantow-7040611061803776a.html -- HOŁOWNIA RECORDS A SHARP DROP IN THE TRUST RANKING, OVERSHADOWED BY MORAWIECKI - IBRIS POLL FOR ONET DESCRIBED BY GAZETA.PL: “However, Sejm Marshal Szymon Hołownia recorded a sharp drop in the trust ranking, achieving his weakest result since the October parliamentary elections. 35.9 percent of respondents trust him, which is 7.1 percentage points less than in the previous poll. The leader of Poland 2050, on the other hand, is not trusted by 50 percent of respondents. Hołownia thus took fifth place and was overtaken by Mateusz Morawiecki. The former Prime Minister was trusted by 37.7 percent of those surveyed, while 52.6 percent of poll participants were of the opposite opinion.” https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31079039,szymon-holownia-notuje-gwaltowny-spadek-w-rankingu-zaufania.html -- SHE PROMOTED LUXURY BMWs, NOW SHE WILL ASSESS HOSPITAL INVESTMENTS. PERSONNEL CAROUSEL IN THE MINISTRY OF HEALTH - JUDYTA WATOŁA IN GW: “A week ago, we asked the Ministry of Health what competences Ms Małgorzata Cecherz gained during her work at BMW predestine her to assess hospital investments? Despite repeated requests, we have not yet received an answer.” -- LACK OF EXPERIENCE IN HEALTHCARE RESULTS IN SEVERE MISTAKES FOR THE MINISTRY OF HEALTH LEADERSHIP - WATOŁA FURTHER IN GW: “Lack of experience in healthcare results in severe mistakes for the Ministry of Health leadership. The latest of these is the announcement of amendments to the health act and the act on healthcare entities, included in the government's legislative work plan. (...) The amendment is the responsibility of Deputy Minister Katarzyna Kacperczyk, who oversees the investment assessment department. Kacperczyk is the only person in the immediate leadership of the Ministry of Health whom Leszczyna fully trusts, as she chose her herself, while the other deputy ministers are imposed by coalition partners. The problem is that Kacperczyk also had no prior involvement in healthcare. The result? In the justification for the draft amendment, we read that the changes are necessary because an analysis of the 'general surgery profile in 24-hour wards showed that over 60 percent of hospitalizations could be settled as outpatient day surgery services.' Exactly word-for-word the same can be read in the justification for the hospital modernization act, endorsed by former minister Adam Niedzielski, and even rejected by PiS.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31075560,lansowala-luksusowe-bmw-teraz-oceni-szpitalne-inwestycje-karuzela.html -- THEIR LIVES HAVEN'T TURNED OUT WELL AGAIN, OR WE ARE LOOKING AT THE FRUITS OF THE MINISTRY OF HEALTH'S LABOR - MAŁGORZATA SOLECKA IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “The announcement of a swift ban on the sale of e-cigarettes turned out to be a false start. Earlier, the ministry stumbled over regulations concerning the availability of emergency contraception. (...) It remains to hope – not this fragile, vain hope – that the work on banning disposable e-cigarettes will be free from political maneuvering and the tendency to violate or circumvent the constitution. The devil has had his fill. No more is needed.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/znowu-w-zyciu-im-nie-wyszlo-czyli-przygladamy-sie-owocom-pracy-ministerstwa-zdrowia-187422 -- DONALD TUSK'S GOVERNMENT CYNICALLY PLAYS WITH REFUGEES, A NARRATIVE BORROWED FROM PIS HAS FOUND FERTILE GROUND - TOMASZ KRZYŻAK IN RZ: “Just a few months ago, Civic Platform politicians saw families with children at the eastern border. Today, they see young, well-built economic migrants, whom Europe must defend against. The narrative borrowed from PiS has found fertile ground. (...) This change is unfortunately evidence that the topic of refugees was and is cynically used by both sides of the political dispute for mutual combat. It leads to the conclusion that all the words and gestures of KO politicians from a few months ago were part of this fight.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40673261-tomasz-krzyzak-rzad-donalda-tuska-cynicznie-gra-uchodzcami -- EU DECISION-MAKERS THEORETICALLY WANT TO SECURE EVERYTHING, EVERYWHERE, AND AT ONCE, BUT THEY REFUSE TO ACCEPT ONE THING. NAMELY, THAT THE PLANS THEY USE HAVE AGED OVER THESE THREE YEARS AND NO LONGER REALISTICALLY REPRESENT THE EXISTING WORLD - MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI IN AN ARTICLE PUBLISHED BY RZ. -- IT IS NO WONDER THAT MORE AND MORE COMPANIES ARE MOVING TO COUNTRIES WHERE ENERGY PRICES ARE LOWER AND BUREAUCRACY IS LESS OPPRESSIVE - MORAWIECKI FURTHER: “German chemical giant BASF has opted for China. Other German companies – Aurubis and Schaeffler – are expanding in the United States. And this is just the beginning. This also affects us, and the examples are multiplying. For instance, GE Power, which has decided to close its foundry in Elbląg and will cease its operations by 2025. Carbon leakage, the exodus of enterprises from Europe, is a dramatic loss of potential for innovation and the development of the industrial sector. This, in turn, calls into question the possibility of realizing the costly model of the welfare state.” -- SIMPLY PUT, WE CAN SAY THIS: EVERY YEAR, THE CHINESE AND INDIAN COAL-FIRED POWER PLANTS NEWLY CONNECTED TO THE GRID EMIT MORE CO₂ THAN THE ENTIRE EU REDUCES WITH ITS GREAT EFFORT - MORAWIECKI FURTHER. -- AT THIS MOMENT, EUROPE'S BIGGEST PROBLEM IN THE STRATEGIC SPHERE IS MINIMALISM IN DEFENSE AND MAXIMALISM IN CLIMATE POLICY - MORAWIECKI FURTHER. https://www.rp.pl/opinie-polityczno-spoleczne/art40680111-mateusz-morawiecki-wielka-sprzecznosc-europy -- TUSKISM IS NOT WORKING. EVERYTHING IS FALLING APART, DEFEAT IN EVERY AREA - JACEK KARNOWSKI: “Economic results are dramatic. We face a budget deficit of 60 billion. Orlen has lost 2/3 of its profit, and other state-owned companies are also reporting significantly lower profits. The 14th pension has been reduced, and further cuts to social programs are unavoidable. Taxes are rising, inflation is rising. There is no talk of energy shields. Soon, Poles will be hit by a wave of massive price increases. At the same time, the government does not oppose the introduction of further EU directives, for which Poles will pay. Everything is stagnant, everything is going downhill. 120, maybe more, deputy ministers and ministers are wandering aimlessly. There are no development programs; energy is only seen in the further stupefying and demoralization of youth, cuts to school programs, the fight against the Church, and the promotion of increasingly foolish 'isms.'” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/696147-tuskizm-nie-dziala-ta-ekipa-po-prostu-nie-umie-rzadzic -- BIRTHDAYS: Rafał Zakrzewski, Krzysztof Żuk, Krzysztof Pusz, Wojciech Filemonowicz, Mateusz Pacewicz, Edyta Hołdyńska, Andrzej Owczarek, Damian Kwiek, Wawrzyniec Smoczyński, Krzysztof Iszkowski.