state of play: 06/13/2019

STATE OF PLAY: Miłosz in DGP: Agreement with the USA has the political strength of 500+, Wroński: The President's trip to Washington is his triumphant journey, Mazur: PiS embodies the current normality

Łukasz Mężyk

-- KUKIZ BETRAYS WHO HE'S TALKING TO - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/06/13/ -- PIS WON BECAUSE IT BEST EMBODIES CURRENT NORMALITY - KRZYSZTOF MAZUR: "I remember Tusk's speech in the Sejm when, as Prime Minister, after another Independence March, he said that his camp represents normality, and PiS are nationalists who want to set Poland on fire. In this way, he won the battle for the center, pushing the right to radical positions. But today the context is completely different. The ruling camp is the defender of the status quo, because it was Kaczyński who placed his party's banner in the place reserved for the political center. Tusk is thus being pushed into radical positions, because only by sharpening his message can he clearly distinguish himself from PiS. The roles have therefore been reversed. Once Tusk defined normality, and nationalists were radicals. Today, Kaczyński defines normality, and LGBT ideologues are radicals. This is the only way I can explain PiS's nearly 50 percent result in the elections least favorable to them." https://klubjagiellonski.pl/2019/06/12/mazur-pis-wygralo-bo-najlepiej-uosabia-obowiazujaca-dzis-spoleczna-normalnosc/ -- HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO TRUMP AT THE WHITE HOUSE: https://www.tvn24.pl/prezydent-duda-w-usa-sto-lat-dla-donalda-trumpa-w-bialym-domu,944335,s.html -- WASHINGTON EVEN CLOSER TO WARSAW - DGP's lead story. -- AGREEMENT WITH THE USA HAS THE POLITICAL STRENGTH OF 500 PLUS - MACIEJ MIŁOSZ IN DGP: "One can fuss that the Law and Justice team is simply benefiting from the geopolitical conjuncture. One can, and rightly so, state that nothing has simply been spoiled, and the influence of Polish politicians was relatively small. For strategic reasons, Americans find it suitable to increase their presence on the Vistula River." -- US COMMITMENT WILL GROW - CONTINUES MIŁOSZ: "In the coming years, the military involvement of the United States on the Vistula will grow. To a large extent, this guarantees us the inviolability of our borders, time for development, and building state capacity. In 20 years, US troops in Poland will be present... or not. For these billions, we are buying time to prepare for a worsening geopolitical situation. During this time, we should ensure that the cost of aggression is radically higher than it is now. Even without US forces in Poland." https://wiadomosci.dziennik.pl/opinie/artykuly/600103,porozumienie-polska-usa-duda-trump-spotkanie-zolnierze-f-35-uzbrojenie-500-plus.html -- MORE AMERICA IN POLAND - GW's lead story - Paweł Wroński: "Increasing the military presence of the United States in Poland is a success and the fulfillment of the plans of generations of Polish politicians of all stripes who have strived for this for years." -- WROŃSKI ON DUDZ'S TRIUMPHANT JOURNEY: "The President's trip to Washington in June is his triumphant journey. Poland joins the ranks of the most important US allies, becoming a country where America – at least declaratively – wants to place its investments and with which it wants to share some of its technologies." -- WROŃSKI ON THE USA NOT REPLACING THE EU: "Transatlantic policy cannot replace European policy. The difference is that while we can influence the long-term policy of the EU as an important member, our influence on the decisions of the current and subsequent US presidents will always be limited." http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24894108,polska-usa-czyli-dylematy-prymusa.html -- A BIG STEP TOWARDS INCREASING SECURITY - JERZY HASZCZYŃSKI IN RZ: "Fort Trump will probably not be a real fort. But it is with President Donald Trump that Poland has taken another big step towards increasing its security." -- HASZCZYŃSKI ON PRO-RUSSIAN SENTIMENTS AMONG YOUNG GERMAN POLITICIANS: "It is unknown if and when these feelings will translate into the policy of the federal government in Berlin. What is known is that the military alliance with the USA must be strengthened. The presence of American soldiers is 'permanent' rather than 'fixed,' which still shows how difficult it is to convince allies that we are as much the West as Germany or Italy. But we are heading in the right direction; now there will be even more troops from America here, and their status will be less rotational, closer to infinite. Besides, Americans, once they enter, they stay. At least in those European countries that want them." https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/306129921-Haszczynski-W-nieskonczonosc-razem-z-Ameryka.html -- MARCIN MAKOWSKI ON THE USA BEING A STABILIZER AGAINST GERMANY BUILDING NORD STREAM: "In a situation where the European Union is unable to provide military security against potential aggression from Russia, and Germany is building a joint gas pipeline and announcing a move towards resetting diplomatic relations with Moscow, only the United States can be a stabilizer and an argument that will deter Vladimir Putin from repeating the hybrid warfare variant successfully tested in Georgia and Ukraine." https://opinie.wp.pl/makowski-slono-zaplacilismy-w-usa-za-bezpieczenstwo-ale-bylo-warto-wizyta-duda-trump-otwiera-nowy-rozdzial-opinia-6391409760802945a -- THE OPPOSITION SEES THAT MORAWIECKI IS AN ASSET FOR THE UNITED RIGHT, WHICH IS WHY HE IS SO ATTACKED - MICHAŁ DWORCZYK IN CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ OSIECKI IN DGP: "In his situation, Mr. Falenta could write that he has incriminating material on every one of the 28 prime ministers from the European Union. For weeks, we have observed attacks on the prime minister. I am convinced that one of the main reasons for this is his effectiveness. Alongside President Jarosław Kaczyński, Prime Minister Morawiecki is the father of the success of the recent election campaign. The opposition sees what a strong asset he is for the United Right. Hence these merciless attacks using lies and manipulation." -- WE ARE INCREASINGLY RESEMBLING THE DOMESTIC AND EMIGRÉ FOLLOWERS OF THE GOVERNMENT-IN-EXILE, NOT AN ARMY MARCHING TO VICTORY - JACEK ŻAKOWSKI IN GW: "And when we can no longer uncritically adore our path and representation, we resort to the argument of last resort, that 'beggars can't be choosers,' as Marek Beylin did, defending the leader of PO in the article 'Schetyna is also a fish for beggars.' We stand by the crayfish, as soon as a little fish appears that brings something new, and thus could one day threaten the position of the crayfish and their path. Kuhn showed that in such situations, hope lies only in the little fish. And our part of society suffocates them or allows them to perish in an unequal struggle with the crayfish. Remember how many democratic talents, ideas, and initiatives have emerged since 2015, and ask yourselves if, as voters and citizens, we were right to allow them to be cleared from the stage. Attachment to old paths and people leads us from one defeat to another. Therefore, we are increasingly resembling the domestic and émigré adherents of the government in London, who have persisted for half a century in an outdated paradigm of the interwar world, and less and less like an army marching to victory. But this is not the fault of those who lead, but of those who senselessly follow them. That is, ours." http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,24893371,w-rybkach-nasza-nadzieja.html -- MINIMUM WAGE IS NOT THE GOVERNMENT'S MERIT - STEFAN SĘKOWSKI IN NOWA KONFEDERACJA: "Let no one tell us that a higher minimum wage is a gift from the government, because if these funds are not earned by businesses, the government decree on the increase will be good for nothing more than stuffing wet boots on a January evening." https://nowakonfederacja.pl/to-nie-jest-wasze-700-plus/ -- THE OPPOSITION NEEDS FRESH TOPICS, LANGUAGE, ENERGY, AND PEOPLE - AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK IN OKO: "The opposition needs fresh topics, language, energy, and people. It is not enough to warn that winter is coming in the Polish game of thrones; one must competently and passionately talk about a better Poland. This will be done by people involved in civic affairs, especially women." -- SZCZĘŚNIAK ON THE PRIVILEGING OF MEN: "Not placing women in the highest positions on the lists is closing one's eyes to the political obviousness – that a significant part of society wants to see women as their representatives today. And these women can be found primarily outside party structures. The privileging of men in opposition politics is all the less understandable because – according to polls – it is women in Poland who are willing to support the center-left opposition, while men are much more in favor of the populist and nationalist right." https://oko.press/szczesniak-bardzo-przepraszam-ale-nie-chce-miec-samych-politykow-na-listach/ -- OKO ANALYZES HOW FEW POLES, COMPARED TO OTHER NATIONS, BELONG TO PARTIES: "Only 0.8% of eligible voters belong to political parties in Poland. Compared to Europe, including Eastern Europe, we are doing terribly. Croats, Serbs, Romanians, and Bulgarians are more involved in party life. And perhaps Polish parties are even smaller than they declare." https://oko.press/partie-jak-klubiki-dla-elit-nalezy-do-nich-tylko-08-proc-polakow-to-fatalny-wynik-na-tle-europy/ -- BIRTHDAYS: Andrzej Morozowski, Janusz Lewandowski, Aleksandra Zieleniewska, Antoni Szymański, Krzysztof Bosak.

Łukasz Mężyk