-- ANDRZEJ GODLEWSKI HAS DIED: https://wpolityce.pl/media/450099-nie-zyje-andrzej-godlewski -- JOURNALISTS BID FAREWELL TO GODLEWSKI: https://www.tvn24.pl/wiadomosci-z-kraju,3/andrzej-godlewski-nie-zyje-dziennikarz-mial-49-lat,943025.html -- RYSZARD BUGAJSKI HAS ALSO PASSED AWAY. -- BIEDROŃ SPEAKS OF THE CENTER-RIGHT UNITING - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/06/08/ -- ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF SUPPORT FOR PIS - ON JAKUB KUBAJEK'S BLOG: “In the second set of models, the explained variable was the change in PiS support between the 2015 parliamentary elections and the recent EP elections. Here too, one can see that the inclusion of spatial dependencies affects the change in statistical significance of individual variables and their parameters. Similar to before, only the SEM model allowed the elimination of a hidden spatial factor. Analyzing the model results, it is worth paying attention to the value of the parameters associated with the PSL 2015 and Kukiz 2015 variables. The parameter with a value of 0.435, associated with the PSL 2015 variable, means that 1 percentage point of PSL support in 2015 translated into an increase in PiS support by 0.435 percentage points. In the model, the impact of the 500+ program was found to be insignificant, which, combined with the results of the first part of the analysis, may suggest that the so-called 500+ effect occurred in the 2015 parliamentary elections and has persisted at a constant level since then, and the introduction of an additional benefit for the first child did not translate into an additional increase in support for the ruling camp.” https://jkubajek.github.io/EP2019/analiza.html?fbclid=IwAR0kNHaOKpf61YQoDqK1c1q1WKR6KHRz_UjioIo58juhdvMVVcA2D-FIUOA#zmiana_poparcia_pis -- GRZEGORZ WYSOCKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA QUOTES FRIENDS AND FAMILY VOTING FOR PIS: “Uncle Janek: 'It's very upsetting to me when Janda and other people from the elite say that we vote for the 'pisiorów' (derogatory term for PiS supporters) because they throw some money and bribe the poor. And when Janda herself received money for the theater from the city budget or the Ministry of Culture, what was that?' -- TUSK AND PLATFORMA DID NOTHING - ANOTHER VOICE: “I like everything about PiS. And most of all, that they win, thanks to which we live in PiS Poland,” adds the uncle, a railway auditor. “And at the same time, I vote against Platforma and Tusk because they did nothing before.” http://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,24875271,polowa-mojej-rodziny-glosuje-na-pis-przestancie-ich-lekcewazyc.html -- GAZETA LUBUSKA ON THE POSSIBILITY OF PSL REVERSING THE COALITION IN THE REGIONAL ASSEMBLY: https://plus.gazetalubuska.pl/czy-krajowe-zawirowania-w-psl-przeloza-sie-na-koalicje-w-lubuskim-sejmiku-na-ile-zawarta-w-bolach-koalicja-jest-trwala/ar/c1-14190005 -- WILL THERE BE A SECESSION OF PSL ACTIVISTS? - PAWEŁ WROŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “However, it cannot be ruled out that the PSL will go to the elections independently, if the dynamics of events in the party take a direction difficult to control by its current leader Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz. Unfortunately, a secession of part of the PSL activists, whom PiS or Jarosław Gowin might entice to their lists, is possible, if only to cause more confusion on the opposition's side.” -- SCHETYNA FACES A CHOICE LIKE KACZYŃSKI ONCE DID - CONTINUES WROŃSKI: “The leader of the European Coalition has paradoxically found himself in Jarosław Kaczyński's situation from a few years ago: a politician stripped of credibility, who had to be hidden for elections along with Antoni Macierewicz. The question is whether Grzegorz Schetyna will be able to find new electoral locomotives, as Andrzej Duda, Beata Szydło, or to some extent Jarosław Gowin, who opened PiS to the center, became for Kaczyński. Grzegorz Schetyna was not present at the June 4th commemorations in Gdańsk, but there were more than enough young, dynamic leaders. Schetyna must make this choice now, because an electoral defeat will mean his resignation.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24876472,dylematy-opozycji-czyli-powyborcza-gra-w-gorace-krzesla.html -- FEAR OF NO LONGER BEING HEARD - KAROLINA WIGURA IN CONVERSATION WITH RAFAŁ WOSIEK IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “The fear that they have stopped being heard. That they have lost that hold on people's souls which they held for so long and from which they seem to have become dependent. It is the fear of losing the role of intellectual and ultimate political arbiter in public affairs. To some extent, a fear of being unnecessary. Humanly speaking, I understand these concerns, but I watch with unease how much they dwell on this fear. And these are people who, in the past, were intellectual signposts for me.” -- WIGURA ON LIBERALS AND THE BASILISK: “With liberals after 2015, the same thing happened as with the basilisk, which looked in the mirror and turned to stone. They were so afraid of authoritarianism from the entire right wing that they themselves became like it.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/efekt-bazyliszka-159146 -- JACEK KARNOWSKI ON THE FEAR OF ELITES DISCUSSED BY WIGURA: “Opposition members – not just those directly involved in politics – are also defending their biographies and choices today. And that's why they are so afraid of another term for PiS. It's not about them suffering any real harm, because that's nonsense, but because eight years of right-wing rule could no longer be dismissed as an unpleasant episode or a regrettable incident; in a sense, it would be an era, a decade, a choice of an entire generation, a period that would profoundly change Poland. Even if they were to return someday, it wouldn't be just as one of the options, but not as the 'natural party of power,' as they consider themselves.” https://wpolityce.pl/m/polityka/450008-opozycja-co-dzien-oglasza-koniec-smuty-ale-smuta-nie-znika -- SCHETYNA WOULD ACCEPT A DRAW BLIND - MARCIN MAKOWSKI IN WP: “It seems, however, that Grzegorz Schetyna in the current situation can only dream of the situation coach Brzęczek is in. Because yes, they criticize him, they laugh at him, they make memes about him, but he wins. In a catastrophic style, but he wins. And Schetyna? He's pulling this opposition wagon because he has no other choice, but before the autumn elections, the PO leader doesn't even know who will be on his team and who won't. And the opponent, strengthened by the last confident victory, has already begun training for the decisive clash. In this situation, Schetyna would probably accept a draw blind even before stepping onto the field. Although for now, even such a result seems extremely unlikely.” -- THE PATH TO A DECENT DEFEAT - CONTINUES MAKOWSKI: “The problem is that even in the today's hardly imaginable vision of a single bloc 'everyone against Kaczyński' – as oko.press forecasts – with support for PiS analogous to May 26, the structure of electoral districts for the upper house of parliament would give the opposition list only 43 out of 100 seats. Not to mention the situation where the government, having a constitutional majority and a president (which is still very possible), simply ignores the Senate, bypassing its potential obstruction or legislative remarks. If this, and not, for example, building two blocs – a conservative one with PSL and Kukiz'15, and a centrist-left one with PO, Nowoczesna, and Wiosna – becomes the opposition's greatest hope, it will choose for itself the path to a decent defeat, not victory. Politicians who do not aim for the minimum plan from the start have already lost in their own minds.” https://opinie.wp.pl/makowski-najwieksza-nadzieja-opozycji-to-strategia-nie-na-zwyciestwo-tylko-na-godna-porazke-opinia-6389397269854337a -- FRAGMENT FROM KKZ BOOK WITH BALCEROWICZ AND WAŁĘSA: “Eggs got cheaper! I remember the moment when at 8 AM at the end of January, Mrs. Teresa Hildebrandt, who monitored the markets in Poland, burst into my office beaming. Eggs got cheaper at the market in Lublin! I waited for this announcement with tension, because only then could I breathe a sigh of relief – inflation was retreating, prices were starting to fall quite clearly, and that meant the plan was working. The prices of other products followed the price of eggs, and the situation was no longer so dramatic. We knew that prices had stopped rising rapidly, which was crucial for the success of the reforms. But the first few days were indeed very nervous. Jurek Koźmiński and I would leave the ministry and visit nearby shops to see what was happening. LW: You had courage! LB: Jurek Koźmiński and I went for a walk and stopped in front of a butcher shop where, after many weeks, some goods finally appeared. Before, empty shelves were frightening. Imagine that inside was a priest who was consecrating a newly established family business. The owner noticed me, ran out of the shop, and kissed me on the forehead. I was quite embarrassed, but as you can see, perhaps also pleased, since I remember it to this day. He offered me ham sandwiches.” https://www.tvn24.pl/magazyn-tvn24/walesa-sprzedawal-pan-czolgi-brazylii-balcerowicz-a-do-rosji-jablka,219,3775 -- 16 YEARS AGO, a two-day European referendum concluded. Voter turnout was 58.85%, and 77.45% of those who voted were in favor of Poland joining the European Union. -- BIRTHDAYS: Arkadiusz Franas, Piotr Kućma, SUNDAY: Irena Lipowicz.