state of play: 05/20/2019

STATE OF PLAY: European Coalition Ahead of PiS, Confederation Surges Past Kukiz – MB Poll for GW, Chancellery Strongly Responds to Harłukowicz's Article, Mastalerek: PiS Holds All the Keys and Tools to Maintain Power

Łukasz Mężyk

-- EC DOES NOT HAVE TO APOLOGIZE TO BIEDROŃ, COURT RULED HE DID NOT NOTIFY PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE ABOUT PEDOPHILIA IN SŁUPSK, BARTOSZEWSKI DISTANCES HIMSELF FROM GRUPIŃSKI'S WORDS: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/05/20/ -- ADAMCZYK ALLOWS VOLKSWAGEN TO SAVE MONEY AT THE COST OF POLES' HEALTH - ANDRZEJ KUBLIK IN GW: “According to EC data in mid-March, only 41 percent of manipulated Volkswagen engines were repaired in Poland. Only Romania fared worse, with this percentage at 37 percent. Behind Poland, but ahead of it, were also: Croatia (46 percent repairs), Slovakia (51 percent), and Bulgaria (52 percent). These results are worse than the EU average, which in mid-March was over 60 percent. Let us recall that the owner of a Volkswagen car with a manipulated diesel engine does not pay for its repair, which in some cases only requires a software update. The German concern benefits from avoiding repairs because it does not have to pay its dealer. Cars that are not repaired emit excessive amounts of nitrogen oxides in their exhaust, which contribute to lung and cardiovascular diseases, and also promote smog formation.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,155287,24796355,adamczyk-daje-oszczedzic-volkswagenowi-kosztem-zdrowia-polakow.html -- EC AHEAD OF PIS, CONFEDERATION CRUSHES KUKIZ - MILLWARD BROWN POLL FOR GW DESCRIBED BY KRZYSZTOF PACEWICZ: “In the latest pre-election poll, the EC has 36 percent, and PiS has 35 percent – a lead within the margin of statistical error. Wiosna gets 10 percent, and Confederation a significant 8 percent. Below the threshold are Kukiz'15 (3 percent) and Lewica Razem (1 percent).” -- PACEWICZ ON MAXIMIZING ELECTORATES: “The Coalition crushes PiS in large cities over 100,000 inhabitants; in smaller ones, it's a draw. However, PiS clearly dominates in rural areas. Voter flow between PiS and the EC is minimal today, with only 3 percent undecided voters, and the political center has been depleted. Therefore, the main forces are no longer fighting directly: firstly, they are trying to maximally mobilize their own electorates to show up at the polls on May 26th. Secondly, the EC is competing with Wiosna for centre-left voters, and PiS with Confederation for far-right voters.” -- RECORD TURNOUT IN CITIES, THEY CAN OUTVOTE THE PROVINCE - WRITES PACEWICZ: “Just like in the 2018 local elections, turnout will likely be particularly high in large cities (in Warsaw, it was 66.8 percent). Since there are only 13 electoral districts in the European elections, unlike parliamentary elections, they are not divided into rural and urban – therefore, residents of larger cities, with high turnout, can outvote smaller towns. Thus, it can be expected that support for the EC is underestimated today.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24803903,ke-pis-36-35-narodowcy-rosna-w-sile-kukiz-tonie-nasz-sondaz.html -- TUSK - KACZYŃSKI CONFLICT AGAIN AT THE AXIS - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “After the last weekend of the European campaign, there is no doubt: after almost a five-year break, Polish politics has returned to its roots. The conflict between Donald Tusk and Jarosław Kaczyński is once again to become the axis of political life, and the main tool – scaring the opponent.” -- IF THE EC WINS, TUSK WILL TAKE CREDIT FOR THE VICTORY - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI CONTINUES: “On the other hand, the opposition's result will be viewed primarily through the prism of his involvement. If the Coalition wins, Tusk will take credit for this victory; if it loses, opposition leaders will blame him. Therefore, one can assume that Tusk has put his authority on the line, because his political intuition suggests that the EC can win, and this victory will also strengthen him.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/190519403-Tusk-i-Kaczynski-Nowy-odcinek-starego-serialu.html -- IF I WANTED TO, I WOULD BE IN POLITICS TODAY - MARCIN MASTALEREK IN CONVERSATION WITH MARCIN FIJOŁEK IN TYGODNIK SIECI: “I will say immodestly, but if I wanted to, I would be in politics today. I made the decision to leave politics and I am fulfilling myself where I am. Let's talk about football instead. - In a moment. We are in the middle of an election marathon… - ...and I am glad that I am not participating in the campaign today.” -- MASTALEREK MOCKS POLL POLITICS: “Of course, I have colleagues, and even friends in PiS, as I was in that party for over a dozen years, but I try not to talk about politics with them. But questions do arise. I see you are not giving up and are asking about politics again. Nothing has changed regarding polls. At some point, the right was delighted with the polls, dreamed of a constitutional majority, and I emphasized that this battle would be incredibly close. Today, it is clear that I was right. In 2015, it was possible to completely overturn poll-driven democracy in Poland, to say: 'You have embarrassed yourselves, compromised yourselves, we listen to people, not polls or columnists.'” -- PIS HOLDS ALL THE KEYS AND TOOLS TO MAINTAIN POWER - MASTALEREK CONTINUES: “PiS holds all the keys and tools to maintain power. After such enormous social transfers, which benefit millions of Poles, after further 'penta-programmes', if the ruling camp is unable to defend this, it will mean that they were unable to do so during the campaign.” -- MORAWIECKI CONSISTENTLY INVESTS IN SPORT - MASTALEREK CONTINUES: “Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, as I observe him, consistently invests capital in sport, including football. He shows an understanding of how important this is for the upbringing of young people, for identity, for Poles.” -- MASTALEREK ON A QUOTE FROM DEYNA - FIJOŁEK'S CONVERSATION EXCERPT: “Do you remember the moment when Kazimierz Deyna scored a goal against Portugal directly from a corner kick? - I cannot remember it, although I am familiar with the situation, of course. The whistles at Stadion Śląski towards the hated Legia player. - I also don't remember, because I was born seven years after that goal. But I've watched it hundreds of times. I captioned the photo with a quote from the film 'Being like Kazimierz Deyna': 'You have to do your best, even when the whole stadium is whistling.' This quote, by the way, applies both in football and in politics.” -- THE ONE WHO HAS STRONG NERVES WINS - BEATA SZYDŁO IN CONVERSATION WITH DGP (OSIECKI, ŻÓŁCIAK): “Consistency in implementing the set campaign plan. The one who has strong nerves and does not get provoked wins. One cannot make mistakes in the final stretch of the campaign. We will definitely be among the people, at meetings and conversations. I know that this is the expectation of our voters, including those from the Małopolska-Świętokrzyskie constituency, from which I am running.” -- WHAT DID PREVIOUS GOVERNMENTS DO ABOUT PEDOPHILIA? - ASKS SZYDŁO: “PiS is a conservative party, with traditional values, referring to Christian roots. At the same time, PiS is a grouping that very clearly says 'enough' to this pathology. I could ask: what did previous governments do in this matter? Did the problems presented in the Sekielski brothers' film start four years ago? Why does the opposition not want to fight pedophilia with us? The answer is simple: the European Coalition is trying to introduce a worldview war into this campaign. It all started with Leszek Jażdżewski's loud speech, preceding Donald Tusk's address. Comparisons to pigs wallowing in mud were met with no reaction from Donald Tusk. Playing with such emotions can only deepen divisions in Poland.” -- NO ALLIANCE WITH ANTI-EUROPEAN GROUPS - SZYDŁO CONTINUES: “Certainly not with extremist and anti-European groups. President Jarosław Kaczyński has met with European politicians. For now, we are in the EKR, and discussions are ongoing with various circles, coordinated by Chairman Ryszard Legutko.” https://wiadomosci.dziennik.pl/opinie/artykuly/598212,beata-szydlo-wybory-wywiad.html -- CHANCELLERY OF THE PRIME MINISTER STRONGLY RESPONDS TO GW ARTICLE: The GW article violates the personal rights of the Prime Minister and his wife; they have decided to take legal action demanding a retraction of the lies and manipulations contained therein. https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/05/20/kprm-tekst-gw-narusza-dobra-osobiste-premiera-i-jego-zony-podjeli-oni-decyzje-o-skierowaniu-sprawy-na-droge-sadowa-z-zadaniem-sprostowania-zawartych-w-nim-klamstw-i-manipulacji/ -- JACEK HARŁUKOWICZ IN GW: MORAWIECKI APPROPRIATED CHURCH LAND: “In 2002, Mateusz Morawiecki bought land from the Church. He paid five times less for plots worth PLN 4 million. Today, they are valued a hundred times more, at about PLN 70 million. There is no trace of them in the asset declaration of the PiS head of government.” http://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/7,35771,24804013,jak-morawiecki-uwlaszczyl-sie-na-gruntach-koscielnych-sledztwo.html -- THIS CASE IS A SERIES OF DISTURBING FACTS - JAROSŁAW KURSKI ON HARŁUKOWICZ'S ARTICLE: “This case is a series of disturbing facts and connections: the Church; attractive land; undervalued price; Mateusz Morawiecki – member of the Lower Silesian regional assembly; spatial development plan; investment; specific plot numbers; the favor of Cardinal Gulbinowicz; lies and deception; a hundredfold increase in land value. -- KURSKI'S QUESTIONS TO THE PRIME MINISTER: “Mr. Prime Minister, now we will ask: – Is it right or wrong that Mateusz Morawiecki, in collusion with the Wrocław Church, is appropriating state property? – Is it right or wrong that all citizens will now have to contribute to buying back the land, formerly belonging to the state, from you at a hundredfold higher price?” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24804037,wszyscy-sie-zrzucimy-na-dzialke-premiera.html -- ZUZANNA DĄBROWSKA IN RZ ON THE FIGHT ON THE LEFT - WRITES IN RZ: “The Lewica Razem party has already experienced the lack of sympathy from the major media during its own convention, which – despite being organized with great effort and resources – barely broke through the war between PiS and the EC. In this situation, we may face another political war, this time between left-wing parties, which will be looking for new voters among each other.” https://www.rp.pl/Polityka/305199968-Dabrowska-Postepowcy-miedzy-gigantami.html -- PLATFORM IS KEY IN THE MATTER OF REVOKING HONORARY CITIZENSHIP FROM ARCHBISHOPS - STOŁECZNA: “A Civic Coalition councilor has submitted a motion to revoke the honorary citizenship of Warsaw from Archbishops Głódź and Hoser. Unofficially, we hear that councilors from Nowoczesna will support her. And how will PO vote? – This should be a thoughtful debate. I don't know if the time before the European Parliament elections is good to conduct it – Ewa Malinowska-Grupińska, chairwoman of the city council (PO), tells us.” http://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,24803759,arcybiskupi-niehonorowi-zdecyduje-rada-miasta.html -- BIRTHDAYS: Hanna Krall, Aleksander Hall, Marzena Okła-Drewnowicz, Izabela Katarzyna Mrzygłocka, Robert Smoleń.

Łukasz Mężyk