state of play: 02/28/2019

POLITICAL SCENE: Gowin's allies disappearing from TVP Info, SE: Marcinkiewicz a burden for KE, HGW praises Kosiniak, Newsweek on KE's problems, Dudek: Never before has there been such a wagon of election sausage

Łukasz Mężyk

300SEKUND: EU's response to Chinese provocations, we don't need Russian gas, debut of the Responsible Development Index http://300gospodarka.pl/300sekund/2019/02/28/300sekund-unijna-odpowiedz-na-chinskie-zaczepki-nie-potrzebujemy-rosyjskiego-gazu-debiut-indeksu-odpowiedzialnego-rozwoju/

-- SPUREK CONFIRMS 300'S INFO ABOUT HIS DEPARTURE FROM THE RPO OFFICE, KOSINIAK ON PSL'S STABILIZING ROLE BEFORE THE LEFT TURN, SZEFERNAKER ON FOGL'S ROLE IN THE PIS CAMPAIGN - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2019/02/28/

-- PLATFORMA BELIEVES MARCINKIEWICZ WOULD BE A BURDEN - SE: "As 'Super Express' has learned, despite great efforts, Kazimierz Marcinkiewicz (60) will not be on the European Coalition's lists in the European Parliament elections. The reason? Important PO politicians point to the long-standing issue of his failure to pay alimony to his ex-wife, Izabela Marcinkiewicz (38). - There is no discussion about Marcinkiewicz - PO's deputy leader Borys Budka (41) tells us. In unofficial conversations, important politicians admit that the former Prime Minister's absence from the EP lists is linked to the turmoil in his private life. And the fact that he doesn't pay alimony to his ex-wife. - Although Marcinkiewicz wants to run with us, it's not happening. He would be too much of a burden for us. He talks about the rule of law, yet in his private life, he disregards the law. I'm not in favor of someone like that being on our EP lists - summarizes one of the important PO politicians." https://www.se.pl/wiadomosci/polityka/koalicja-europejska-nie-chce-marcinkiewicza-na-listach-do-europarlamentu-wstydza-sie-go-tylko-u-nas-aa-xSLV-XRBD-SWms.html

-- SCHETYNA IS EFFECTIVE - HANNA GRONKIEWICZ-WALTZ - in an interview with Tomasz Żółciak in DGP: "No one is born a prime minister, and there is no school for prime ministers. Barbara Nowacka rightly noted that in the ranks, you need not only stars but also people who work hard. I think in the past, prime ministers were not always stars, but rather people who worked hard at a given moment in history. Mazowiecki had a certain aura, he had his 'burden.' Then came Bielecki, Suchocka, who introduced VAT, then Pawlak and others. In politics, effectiveness is important, and as we can see, Grzegorz Schetyna is effective."

-- HGW PRAISES KOSINIAK: "He is a very good leader. I saw it for the first time when, a few years ago at the Grand Theatre in Warsaw, we participated together in a meeting with seniors. He gave a speech there as the Minister of Labor. It was an excellent presentation, which I personally congratulated him on."

-- HGW ADMITS SHE VOTED FOR LECH KACZYŃSKI: "In 2002, I myself voted in the second round for Lech Kaczyński, not for Marek Balicki, who seemed too distant from my worldview, as he was already too 'left-wing.' Today I regret it, because in this way, I contributed to the Kaczyński brothers remaining in big politics." https://www.gazetaprawna.pl/artykuly/1400324,gronkiewicz-waltz-wywiad-o-nbp-i-polityce.html

-- JACEK GĄDEK ON HOW POLITICIANS FROM GOWIN'S PARTY ARE DISAPPEARING FROM TVP INFO: "Politicians from Porozumienie have started disappearing from two flagship current affairs programs on TVP Info – they are being pushed out by Solidarna Polska. Jarosław Gowin's party sees this as revenge for Minister Jadwiga Emilewicz's critical remarks about 'Wiadomości.' In unofficial conversations, politicians from Jarosław Gowin's party indicate that this is related to the critical comments about TVP made by the Deputy Prime Minister's close associate – Minister of Entrepreneurship Jadwiga Emilewicz. On February 5th, on Radio Plus, she said about TVP's 'Wiadomości': This is not the standard that is close to me, and this is not the form of communication that I would use during this difficult time, even if the other side heats up the debate." http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,24497429,po-krytyce-wiadomosci-z-tvp-info-zaczeli-znikac-ludzie-jaroslawa.html

-- ŁUKASZ LIPIŃSKI ON THE BREAKDOWN OF TRUST IN THE NBP - writes on the POLITYKA weekly portal: "It is sad that as a result, the central bank as an institution will suffer. The salary issue has had negative consequences for the NBP's position in the eyes of Poles, according to January surveys. Since the CBOS survey in September, the percentage of good assessments of the central bank has fallen by 20 percentage points – from 55% to 35%. The percentage of bad assessments has increased even more sharply during this time – from 7% to 30%. This is another institution, after the Constitutional Tribunal, public media, and the civil service, whose reputation has been seriously damaged during the PiS government." https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/rynek/1783890,1,w-nbp-propaganda-najwazniejsza-ze-sztuk.read?src=mt

-- DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ DESCRIBES IN NEWSWEEK THE QUEUE OF 60 PLATFORMA POLITICIANS FOR THE KE'S EP LISTS: "Within Platforma itself, there are 60 people who absolutely must be on the lists, how can we all fit? - the coalition partners joke. In total, 130 people from 6 groupings will be on the lists. According to our findings, PO candidates are guaranteed first places in 7 out of 13 districts where elections to the European Parliament will be held. However, they are discussing additional ones, as they are to cede two of their 'ones' to Henryka Bochniarz and Janina Ochojska.

-- 5-6 JOINT SLOGANS, THEN EVERYONE WILL CRAFT THEIR OWN NARRATIVE - DŁUGOSZ QUOTES A KE POLITICIAN: "However, on Wednesday noon, representatives of all six parties forming the European Coalition were pondering more technical matters at the Platform's office. Such as how to form an electoral committee, who will be in the election staff, who will bear what costs. However, the first program discussions are scheduled to start on Wednesday. Not about details yet, but rather about mutual expectations. There is much to suggest that there will be no common program for the European Coalition, but rather a catalog of what the coalition partners would like to achieve in Europe. - I think we'll do it like this: there will be 5-6 common slogans, and then everyone will craft their own narrative - says a politician involved in the negotiations."

-- WE WILL TRY VERY HARD NOT TO SAY WHAT THAT MEANS - DŁUGOSZ'S INTERVIEW WITH A KE POLITICIAN: "Every dialogue looks similar:

-- What's there to say: two pillars - a rule-of-law Poland and a strong Poland in Europe - we hear in the Sejm corridor

-- But what does that mean?

-- Well, we will try very hard not to say what that means - laughs one of the MPs." https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/koalicja-europejska-uklada-program-i-listy-na-razie-nie-wie-co-zrobic-z-ewa-kopacz/p1d6x2c

-- DR ANTONI DUDEK ON AN UNPRECEDENTED WAGON OF ELECTION SAUSAGE - tells Interia: "The PiS leader offered Poles a whole wagon of election sausage on Saturday. In this regard, it is an absolute record in the history of the Third Republic. And it's unlikely anyone will beat it anytime soon. This sausage has also never been offered so openly. The wagon of sausage will surely enchant many voters and bring PiS more support. However, this does not mean that Jarosław Kaczyński's party must win the EP elections, because the key issue here is turnout. If there is strong mobilization of the urban, better-educated electorate, which usually votes more willingly in European elections, PiS may face an unpleasant surprise." https://fakty.interia.pl/autor/jolanta-kaminska/news-piatka-kaczynskiego-rekordowy-wagon-kielbasy-wyborczej,nId,2857847

-- THE OPPOSITION CANNOT CREATE AN EXCITING VISION - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: "No, it's not about PiS being great for business and Platforma being bad. The problem lies elsewhere – the opposition today cannot create an exciting vision of what Poland should look like under its rule. Poles see PiS's faults and mistakes, but – as polls indicate – this party is still more convincing than the opposition's scaremongering about economic catastrophe." https://www.rp.pl/Opinie/190229356-Michal-Szuldrzynski-Bezduszny-jak-krytyk-PiS.html&template=restricted

-- GENEROUS CHANGE - DGP's lead story: "Government plans for tax changes are taking shape. Currently, they focus on two most important aspects. The first is the final form of income tax exemption for individuals under 26 years of age. The second: how, in addition to increasing revenue-generating costs, to also reduce the PIT rate to 17 percent. That is – whether to apply a new income threshold (the preferred solution), or to relate it to the current threshold of PLN 85.5 thousand, which would mean lowering the current tax rate." https://gospodarka.dziennik.pl/news/artykuly/592371,zmiany-podatki-piatka-kaczynskiego-rzad.html

-- DEAR LADIES FROM THE NBP - GW's lead story.

-- PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE REVERSES ROLES IN AUSTRIAK'S TAPES CASE - GW: "Unofficially: the prosecutor's office is considering initiating an investigation into an attempt to defraud money from the Srebrna company by Gerald Birgfellner. This would mean a complete reversal of roles in the Kaczyński tapes case." http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24500502,birgfellner-na-celowniku.html

-- BIRTHDAYS: Krzysztof Strzępka.


Łukasz Mężyk