state of play: 11/20/2018
-- EMILEWICZ: WE ARE DEALING WITH A CRISIS, THE REGULATOR SHOULD NOT TALK TO THE PRESIDENT LIKE THIS, SASIN POLEMIZES WITH GLAPIŃSKI - 300LIVE:https://300polityka.pl/live/2018/11/20
-- BIEDROŃ AT 9% IN RP POLL: in a calculation with Biedroń's movement: PiS 40 (+3), KO 27, Biedroń 9, SLD and Kukiz 5 each, PSL 4 https://www.rp.pl/Kraj/311199878-Sondaz-Na-kogo-chcaglosowacPolacy.html
-- THE PRIME MINISTER SEEMS TO BE THE ONLY ONE EMPHASIZING SOMETHING BAD HAPPENED - PIOTR ZAREMBA in DGP: “The Prime Minister seems to be the only one emphasizing that something bad happened. Likely due to his dislike for the circles behind the KNF head forced to resign. And possibly also due to his knowledge. Morawiecki understands what the disgrace of the banking sector regulator means in the international financial world. Other right-wing politicians, however, picked up on this weakly. And the right-wing media rallied around the thesis that nothing happened. At most, as one commentator put it, 'Chrzanowski's inappropriate behavior.'
-- WE SEEM TO HAVE CAPTURED THE MOMENT OF PREPARATIONS FOR AN ENGINEERING THAT CHANGES THE BUSINESS LANDSCAPE - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “We are still far from building a new right-wing oligarchy in the style of Viktor Orbán. Especially since Kaczyński, even if he wanted to, also fears such magnates. How reluctantly he reacted in 2014 to the idea of nominating Senator Bierecki as a presidential candidate. But we seem to have captured the moment of preparations for an engineering that changes the balance of power in business. The current one was built at the beginning of the Third Republic, often with the help of former nomenklatura banks and power institutions. It is possible that Chrzanowski spoiled these preparations with his personal calculations. And that's where his 'awkwardness' lies.”
-- COMMENTATORS FORGET THAT ZIOBRO'S POSITION IS SOLIDLY PROTECTED BY HIS STATUS AS A REAL COALITION PARTNER - ZAREMBA CONTINUES: “The position of people like Ziobro is today solidly protected by his status as a real coalition partner of PiS, which commentators forget. He controls a few MPs needed for a majority, and is also a figure entrenched in the consciousness of the right-wing electorate. The relationship between Glapiński and the PiS leadership is even more complicated. It seems that Jarosław Kaczyński himself pins his hopes on him. The question is, to what extent are they specific?” https://wiadomosci.dziennik.pl/opinie/artykuly/585566,afera-knf-chrzanowski-czarnecki-przedterminowe-wybory-pis-glapinski.html
-- FAKT ON THE FACT THAT 6 NAMES WERE REPORTEDLY PUT FORWARD FOR RECONSTRUCTION AT THE PIS LEADERSHIP: “As Fakt has established, Jarosław Kaczyński (69) has already set the number of changes in Mateusz Morawiecki's (50) cabinet: five plus one. What does this mean? So far, speculation has been about replacing five ministers: Deputy Prime Minister Beata Szydło (55), Minister for Humanitarian Aid Beata Kempa (52), Minister of National Education Anna Zalewska (53), Minister of Energy Krzysztof Tchórzewski (68), and Minister of Infrastructure Andrzej Adamczyk (59). However, our sources say that the leader used the phrase 'five plus one'. – But maybe he did it intentionally? The leader sometimes probes things this way – speculates an important PiS politician. Who could this sixth person be? There has already been speculation about Mariusz Błaszczak's (49) departure from the Ministry of National Defence to take up the position of Sejm Marshal. Some wonder if it could be Zbigniew Ziobro (48) – Morawiecki has been on bad terms with him. However, most of our sources from within the party leadership believe that the leader will not decide on a dismissal of this magnitude, as it would overturn the entire current power structure.” https://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/prezes-zgadza-sie-na-rekonstrukcje-rzadu/5brvt8m -- DZIENNIK ZACHODNI ON THE FRONT PAGE: WHY DID THE INVESTIGATION GO TO KATOWICE? “Why did the Silesian department of the National Prosecutor's Office initiate an investigation into suspected bribery? The leadership of the National Prosecutor's Office today consists primarily of investigators originating from or connected with the Silesian region. Not only the first deputy prosecutor general and national prosecutor Bogdan Święczkowski (who worked on dismantling the fuel mafia), but also deputy prosecutor generals Krzysztof Sierak, Robert Hernard (who dealt with gangs in the Gliwice area) and Marek Pasionek (who worked on dismantling the Krakowiak gang).” https://plus.dziennikzachodni.pl/afera-korupcyjna-knf-dlaczego-sledztwo-w-sprawie-afery-knf-trafilo-do-katowic/ar/13678270
-- FAMILY NETWORK - GW's lead (W. Czuchnowski): “In July 2018, the 29-year-old son of the coordinator of special services, Mariusz Kamiński, received a lucrative position at the World Bank thanks to the National Bank of Poland. The services subordinate to Kamiński are now to investigate the KNF affair, in which the president of the central bank is involved.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24187727,rodzinna-siec-w-panstwie-pis-syn-mariusza-kaminskiego-dostal.html
-- ZIOBRO AND KAMIŃSKI HUNT FOR CORRUPTION WITHIN THEIR OWN SYSTEM - Agnieszka Kublik in GW: “Regarding the KNF affair, Ziobro assured that party affiliation would not matter. This sounds like mockery from the start. After all, Kamiński's services – presumably with the knowledge of Prosecutor Ziobro – gave Chrzanowski enough time to freely search his office at KNF. If Ziobro and Kamiński do not distance themselves from this matter as much as possible, it means that the investigation is simply supervised by the party. And that it is to be swept under the rug at Nowogrodzka.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,24187801,ziobro-i-kaminski-przy-sledztwie-ws-afery-knf-to-znaczy-ze.html
-- THE WAITING STRATEGY IS A RISK FOR THE RULING PARTY - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI in RZ: “This is likely why PiS has adopted a waiting strategy in the KNF affair. However, such a strategy is a considerable risk for the ruling party. Above all, it prevents it from getting out of the defensive position it found itself in during the subsequent days of the affair.”
-- BESIDES MISIEWICZ,CHRZANOWSKI IS THE MOST SPECTACULAR EXAMPLE OF THE FAILURE TO BUILD NEW ELITES: “The resignation of Marek Chrzanowski is likely not the first or last resignation of a person appointed to a high position by PiS governments. However, it is perhaps – alongside the case of Bartłomiej Misiewicz – the most spectacular example of the failure of the concept of building new elites.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/311199899-Szuldrzynski-Od-Misiewicza-do-Chrzanowskiego.html
-- JOANNA SOLSKA ON DOUBTS ABOUT PPK: “The second reason is even more important. One can lose money on the stock market due to changes in economic conditions. In Poland, to one risk associated with the nature of the capital market, another is added – namely, we have no guarantee that the funds that will manage the PPK will not be more inclined to invest our money in ventures that politicians care more about, rather than following economic rationality and the chance of future profits. For example, in bankrupt mines. As we see in the KNF affair, politicians use a whole range of methods to force financial institutions to do so. For politicians, their current benefits and profits related to the upcoming elections are more important than the future profits of retirees. Loss or the chance for additional votes in their calculations counts more than the amount of our future pensions.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/rynek/1772014,1,ustawa-o-ppk-podpisana-godniej-nie-bedzie.read
-- TOMASZ PIETRYGA ON PIŞ'S SOFTENING STANCE TOWARDS THE EU - he writes in RZ: “The accusation that the party had opted for Polexit proved to be crucial. Escalating the dispute with Brussels would give the opposition additional arguments to confirm this thesis just a few months before the European Parliament elections. PiS therefore has no choice. It grits its teeth and takes a step back. Continuing the conflict could prove too costly.” http://archiwum.rp.pl/artykul/1390633-PiS-lagodnieje-bojac-sie-polexitu.html
-- ANONYMOUS OMBUDSMAN FOR CHILDREN'S RIGHTS - PRZEMYSŁAW WILCZYŃSKI in Tygodnik Powszechny: “Parliamentarians who decide on his fate will therefore have to work hard to demonstrate that the formal requirements are met. The Act on the Ombudsman for Children's Rights speaks of at least 5 years of experience 'in working with children or for their benefit'. https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/bezimienny-rzecznik-praw-dziecka-156425
-- LOCAL GW ON THE SILESIAN VOIVODESHIP BOARD: “The left will be represented in the board by Marek Balt, head of Silesian SLD, and Marek Szczerbowski, former director of the Silesian Stadium and councilor in Katowice. Wojciech Saługa from Civic Platform will remain Marshal, and Michał Gramatyka (PO) is to be the second deputy marshal. There is no certainty who will represent PSL on the voivodeship board. It is certain that it will not be – as it is currently – Stanisław Dąbrowa, nor sejmik councilor Stanisław Gmitruk.” http://katowice.wyborcza.pl/katowice/7,35063,24188223,wiemy-kto-bedzie-marszalkiem-wojewodztwa-slaskiego.html
-- RADEK SIKORSKI FOR A EUROPEAN ARMY - he tells Łukasz Pawłowski in Kultura Liberalna: “In a European defense union, Poland would be one of the most important countries – at least in the version in which this project was formulated in the past, when Poland was a leader in this process. In defense matters, we are relatively larger than our economy size would suggest – we are roughly the 23rd largest economy in the world, but we have the 18th largest defense budget in the world. This would be a form of cooperation in which we would not be recipients of security, but its co-creators.”
-- PROVINCIAL AUTHORITARIAN PERSONALITIES - SIKORSKI CONTINUES IN KL: “It seems to me that when it comes to PiS politicians, there are these provincial authoritarian personalities who fear relationships where they cannot dominate the conversation – with a Frenchman, a German, or a Spaniard – but they maintain respect for the boss from across the ocean, who is supposed to protect us from any quarrel with neighbors we get into. This is how they imagine foreign policy in PiS, only their provincial imaginings are far from reality.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2018/11/20/sikorski-trump-wywiad-polityka-zagraniczna-macron-pis/#
-- BIRTHDAYS: Jadwiga Rotnicka, Jacek Merkel, Jolanta Pieńkowska.
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