state of play: 07/24/2018

POLITICAL STATE OF PLAY: Krzyżak: Civic Platform Has No Vision Since 2015 and is Constantly Retreating, Zandberg: Concentrate Forces for an Attack in Warsaw Where There Are Real Chances for Change, WP: Bronisław Trzaskowski

Łukasz Mężyk

-- THE ANTI-PIS SIDE HAS FINALLY DISCOVERED THE FEELING THAT HAS LONG FILLED THE HEARTS OF THE RIGHT-WING VOTERS - WOJCIECH ENGELKING IN WP: “The fact that the anti-PiS side has started to use desperate methods reminiscent of those once employed by Samoobrona, shows that it has finally discovered the feeling that has long filled many right-wing voters. This is the feeling of being a stranger in their own country, a feeling that Jarosław Kaczyński masterfully exploits, and which can no longer be ended at the state level.” https://opinie.wp.pl/wojciech-engelking-to-moze-czas-sie-rozstac-6276452220233857a

-- MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI WRITES ABOUT CHRABOT'S ARTICLE: “In this narrative, the ruling party 'feeds us the aesthetics of martial law,' and 'police cordons before the Sejm' are a major indictment of the government. But the aforementioned 'grotesque transportation of citizens to the parliament in car trunks' has no author. Similarly, it's unknown why the rulers are putting up these barriers. For pleasure? Out of a passion for tormenting citizens? Where is the aggressor? He's lost. Was there also bloodshed from the police? We won't find out. How can one, in such a discussion, omit those who, in groups of several dozen, shout that 'the Sejm is ours'? Theirs? By what right? On what basis?”

-- KARNOWSKI WRITES THAT ANOTHER OPPOSITION EMBARRASSMENT WILL ONCE AGAIN SOLIDIFY PIS'S LEAD: “But this is a terribly risky game, primarily for the country, but also for its authors. It could just as easily bring about the complete embarrassment of the opposition and its media, the consequences of which will solidify Jarosław Kaczyński's camp's current lead for years to come. This is exactly what happened after December 2016. For now, everything points to a repeat. Because there are even fewer crowds this time, less seriousness, only more madmen and radicals. The bitter finale for the initiators of this media Maidan can be predicted.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/405061-prawdziwy-pucz-sie-nie-udal-robia-wiec-medialny

-- SCHETYNA SIGNED THE ORDINANCE ON THE ABSENCE OF OFFICERS' NAMES ON UNIFORMS IN FORMATION - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2018/07/24/

-- AND JAKUB BIERZYŃSKI WRITES ABOUT A DELIBERATE MOVE WITH IDENTIFIERS - in wyborcza.pl: “The rotation of units and the lack of police identifiers in front of the Sejm indicate that the intention was to deliberately provoke the crowd to gain a pretext for repression. An old and well-known tactic – Minister Brudziński is following in the footsteps of his authoritarian predecessors.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,23708774,jakub-bierzynski-dla-wyborczej-rzecznik-policji-bez-identyfikatora.html

-- PIS WILL NOT LOSE ON THE STREET - PAWEŁ BRAVO IN TP: “In anger and despair, it is impossible to see the weak points of the current rulers that could be used to strip them of power in just over a year. After the holidays, the government will return to dismantling further systemic brakes, while the opposition would do well to return with fresh ideas. Because for now, they have no idea how to build a politically effective alternative. Power will not be wrested from PiS's hands on the street. The recent photos from Wiejska well illustrate the balance of power. Power will still – and, let's hope, always – be taken at the polling station.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/pis-nie-przegra-na-ulicy-154303

-- IN THE TV CONTROLLED BY CIVIC PLATFORM, WE WERE GIVEN EIGHT SECONDS FOR A MONTH - ADRIAN ZANDBERG IN PRZEGLĄD: “We don't need to be convinced that the rules of the game are not the same for everyone. I clearly remember the 2015 election campaign, when in the public television controlled by Civic Platform, we were allocated exactly 8 seconds for a month. To be clear – what PiS is doing to public television now is an absolute scandal. However, I don't delude myself that their arch-enemies from Civic Platform would offer a radical change in the sphere of media pluralism…”

-- CONCENTRATE FORCES WHERE THERE ARE REAL CHANCES FOR CHANGE - ZANDBERG CONTINUES: “The art, of course, is to ensure that presence on the political scene doesn't reduce to squeaking in a thin voice somewhere on the margins. To gain efficacy. That's why we need to concentrate forces for an attack where there are real chances for change. I think Warsaw is such a place today.”

-- WARSAW IS A CITY WHERE MANY PEOPLE WERE SEVERELY HURT BY CIVIC PLATFORM: “Warsaw is a left-leaning city and it's tired of PiS. But Warsaw is also a city where many people were severely hurt by Civic Platform, by Hanna Gronkiewicz-Waltz. Warsaw will be a very important place on our electoral map in these elections.”

-- RAZEM IS THE THIRD FORCE IN THE CAPITAL - ZANDBERG CONTINUES: “Today, according to polls, Razem is the third force in the capital. And we can realistically fight for the second round. We have a strong team. Jan Śpiewak needs no introduction. It is thanks to him that the privatization theft could not be swept under the rug. We have excellent candidates for deputy mayors. Hanna Gospodarczyk, leader of Razem in Warsaw – she forced the provincial Civic Platform in Warsaw to introduce an IVF program. Justyna Drath, an experienced teacher, a member of ZNP, but also a creator of Polish urban movements. Finally, Paulina Piechna-Więckiewicz, in my opinion, the best councilor in today's city council. She consistently defended tenants' rights, opposed the madness of right-wing historical policy. And she secured free tickets for schoolchildren.” https://www.tygodnikprzeglad.pl/ludzie-maja-juz-dosc-polski-dla-bogatych/

-- BRONISŁAW TRZASKOWSKI - Kamil Sikora writes on WP: “One might think that Rafał Trzaskowski has much less potential for ridicule than Bronisław Komorowski did. However, the wave of mockery after a recent post dedicated to Bronisław Geremek shows that nothing is impossible. Similarly, the victory of a PiS candidate in traditionally anti-PiS territory like Warsaw seems increasingly possible. The PiS campaign is working hard on this, and the Civic Platform's campaign is helping them. With its helplessness.”

-- SIKORA ON CIVIC PLATFORM'S HELPLESSNESS: “Now it is evident that PiS is returning to its campaign mode, fully aware of the power of the internet and its strength in shaping public discourse. Trzaskowski argued in an interview for 'Plus Minus' that 'there's no point in fighting all the distortions, manipulations, and propaganda of the rulers.' And indeed, he himself does not have (and should not have) time for this. But he can only dream of having such active and disciplined supporters as his PiS competitor has, and as Andrzej Duda had in 2015.” https://opinie.wp.pl/bronislaw-trzaskowski-po-trzech-latach-uspienia-pis-znowu-wygrywa-w-sieci-i-demoluje-kampanie-po-6276474812487809a

-- ANNA GIELEWSKA ABOUT THE SCENARIO OF REPLACING THE MARSHAL WITH BŁASZCZAK: “Sejm Marshal Marek Kuchciński is running for the European Parliament as the leader of the Podkarpacie list. According to unofficial information from 'Wprost,' Mariusz Błaszczak, the head of the Ministry of National Defense, might replace him. – For today, the most serious scenario looks like this: Kuchciński may resign after the local elections, and Błaszczak will replace him. In turn, Michał Dworczyk could replace Błaszczak at the Ministry of National Defense – we hear from one of the sources in PiS.”

-- GIELEWSKA ON THE WASSERMANN SCENARIO: “Another scenario involves Małgorzata Wasserman taking the position of Marshal, if the head of the Amber Gold commission does not win the mayoral election in Krakow against Jacek Majchrowski. After the local elections, another government reconstruction is planned. Ministers who will be running for the European Parliament are expected to leave then. PiS politicians, in unofficial conversations, mention the Minister of National Education, Anna Zalewska, and the Minister for Refugees, Beata Kempa.” https://www.wprost.pl/kraj/10141156/blaszczak-marszalkiem-za-kuchcinskiego.html

-- WHAT KACZYŃSKI HAS REALLY CHANGED IN POLAND - Jakub Majmurek in GW: “Some of the social programs introduced by PiS – led by 500+ – now seem politically untouchable. A party that tries to take this money away from Polish families can say goodbye to power. However, the durability of the other parts of the party's 'social package' from Nowogrodzka is weaker. Future governments will be able to withdraw from them at a relatively low political cost, especially in an atmosphere of 'cleaning up after the authoritarian PiS,' because they are not part of any coherent policy defining the state's social obligations towards citizens; they have a distinctly ad hoc character, dictated by political conjunctures.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,23708775,bagno-i-500-plus-tyle-zostanie-po-kadencji-rzadow-kaczynskiego.html

-- CIVIC PLATFORM HAS NO VISION FOR ITSELF AND IS CONSTANTLY RETREATING - Tomasz Krzyżak in RZ: “To draw a sports analogy, when a team stands still and cannot achieve success, the coach is replaced – like Adam Nawałka now. Meanwhile, Civic Platform has had no vision for itself since 2015 and is constantly retreating. Perhaps it's time to change the coach? The problem, however, is that there's no one on the horizon... and Donald Tusk, whom the party structures miss dearly, is still playing in Brussels.” http://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/307239909-Krzyzak-Pozne-przebudzenie-Platformy.html&template=restricted

-- SCHETYNA HAS EMBARRASSED HIMSELF - one of the headlines on the front page of Fakt.

-- SCHETYNA'S EMBARRASSMENT - headline in Fakt.

-- SCHETYNA'S ACROBATICS - front page of Gazeta Wrocławska.

-- JANUSZ MAJCHEREK WRITES IN GAZETA.PL THAT THE REASON FOR THE LOW TURNOUT AT PROTESTS WAS THE ALIENATION OF PARTIES AND ORGANIZED FORCES: “One of the reasons is the alienation of political parties and organized forces from the protests and the attempt to give them a purely civic, non-partisan character. It turns out that non-partisan civic movements, associations, and social organizations are unable to mobilize broad masses of citizens and social circles. Non-partisan or apolitical politics is a fantasy; the political situation cannot be changed without the participation of organized political forces, led by politicians. Constant and thoughtless criticism of them does not bring us closer to normality.”

-- MAJCHEREK: BE CAREFUL WITH DISCREDITING CIVIC PLATFORM: “Be careful with discrediting the largest opposition party and its leader, because only around it, or at least with its participation, can a force be created capable of removing PiS from power and stopping the destruction caused by the 'good change' (this is for Robert Biedroń and the symmeterists). Be careful with materialistic interpretations of social and political phenomena and processes, and especially with reducing their causes to greater or lesser generosity in distributing money (this is for the neo-Marxists). Be careful with revolutionary zeal, because the national-Catholic right has far more exciting slogans than defending the precarious, fighting against temporary employment contracts, and raising taxes on the wealthiest (this is for the neo-socialists).” http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,161770,23705798,zohydzaja-iii-rp-wybrzydzaja-na-po-zakazuja-grilla-tak-lewica.html

-- SZYMON HOŁOWNIA WRITES ABOUT WHY HE WILL GO TO THE PROTEST FOR THE COURTS: “I can't shout at demonstrations and shake police fences, I will bring an empty sheet of paper. For me, this is the clearest sign: there are no names on it that I am fighting against, but there is also no endorsement from me for what is happening today. If anyone feels the same – let them do the same.” http://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,23708015,szymon-holownia-idzie-protestowac-w-obronie-sadow-wezmie-ze.html

-- ADAM LESZCZYŃSKI IN OKO O MOŻLIWYCH ZMIANACH W KIEROWNICTWIE CBOS: “In the new CBOS Council, representatives of the authorities or their sympathizers hold the majority. This opens the door to changing the statute and then taking control of the institution. A change of statute, as we hear, has already been discussed.” https://oko.press/dobra-zmiana-w-cbos-pis-obsadzil-rade-moze-zmienic-statut-dyrekcje-a-potem-profil/

-- POLICE HAVE HAD ENOUGH - front page of GW: “The atmosphere is so bad that, according to police officers, many officers have taken sick leave in recent days. – Apparently, there are as many as 230 such people – says one of our sources in the police. Among the officers, there are also whispers that the atmosphere is close to rebellion in the riot police units from Katowice.” http://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,23708557,policja-ma-dosc-funkcjonariusze-nie-chca-sie-bic-z-demonstrantami.html

-- OUR PEOPLE ARE EXTINGUISHING FIRES IN SWEDEN - headline in Fakt.

-- SWEDISH MISSION OF POLISH FIREFIGHTERS - headline in GW.

-- GRZEGORZ WSZOŁEK IN GPC ABOUT PETRU: “Petru followed in Palikot's footsteps – he achieved a quite decent election result, engaged thousands of people, and then, as soon as problems arose, he led his political plan to ruin. And he was left with his plan like Himilsbach with English.” https://gpcodziennie.pl/94590-ponowoczesnoscryszardapetru.html

-- GPC FRONT PAGE ABOUT GAWŁOWSKI'S CROATIAN APARTMENT: “I saw MP Gawłowski several times in a Croatian apartment – Józef Cieślik, an entrepreneur from Złocieniec, told Radio Szczecin. The witness bought an apartment from Bogdan K., who was charged with numerous offenses in the land reclamation scandal. Although he bought the property three years earlier, its price was almost twice as high as what Gawłowski's stepson's parents-in-law paid.” https://gpcodziennie.pl/94618-widzialemgawlowskiegowchorwackimapartamencie.html

-- BIEDROŃ AGAINST FINANCIAL SANCTIONS THAT WOULD HIT LOCAL COMMUNITIES - writes in Politico: “PiS’s policies clearly violate fundamental European values, and the EU’s response should be clear and politically efficient. But it should also be socially responsible. It should target the offenders — not local communities, especially in the less developed regions.” https://www.politico.eu/article/pis-poland-eu-cohesion-funding-to-fight-populists-go-local/

-- HOW KACPER PŁAŻYŃSKI PLAYS BASKETBALL!

-- BIRTHDAYS: Katarzyna Lubnauer, Mateusz Cieślak, Kuba Cebula, Justyna Sieklucka.


Łukasz Mężyk