state of play: 02/18/2025

STATE OF PLAY: Wyrwał on Onet: EU's Collective Suicide Course Maintained, Bielecki: Poland Failed in Paris, Miłosz: A Wasted Year for the Arms Industry, Tusk Responds

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— TUSK: NEITHER POLLS NOR THE HINTS OF HEATED COMMENTATORS WILL INFLUENCE MY DECISIONS ON UKRAINE – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/18

— COURSE FOR COLLECTIVE SUICIDE MAINTAINED – MARCIN WYRWAŁ ON ONET: “We need unity and decisiveness. The summit in Paris proved that even with a knife to our throat, we are incapable of achieving either. What is Europe's reaction to these shocks? Our leaders are still unable to agree. After the summit in Paris, the course for collective suicide is maintained.”

— PERHAPS AMERICAN LEADERS WERE RIGHT WHEN, DURING THE MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE, THEY SCOLDED EUROPEAN LEADERS – WYRWAŁ CONTINUES ON ONET: “Perhaps American leaders were right when, during the Munich Security Conference, they scolded European leaders like a pack of quarrelsome, incapable-of-joint-action adolescents.”

— THE SAME POLITICIANS MAY START SINGING A COMPLETELY DIFFERENT TUNE THE DAY AFTER THE ELECTIONS, AND IT WILL LIKELY HAPPEN – WYRWAŁ ON ONET STILL: “An uninformed observer might be surprised by Poland's stance, as it is considered a country that practically goes above and beyond, for example, with deliveries of heavy weaponry. The reason for Poland's position is actually simple – before the presidential elections, politicians avoid such decisions like the plague, fearing that they would thus bury their candidate's chances of victory. These same politicians may start singing a completely different tune the day after the elections, and it will likely happen. The question is whether it won't be too late, because events are moving fast, and the Americans and Russians – unlike the Europeans – are decisive.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/marcin-wyrwal-europa-po-szczycie-w-paryzu-kurs-na-zbiorowe-samobojstwo-utrzymany/x155hck,79cfc278

— POLAND FAILED IN PARIS. WHY IS DONALD TUSK MISREPRESENTING THE TRUTH? – JĘDRZEJ BIELECKI IN RZ: “Tusk's stance significantly contributed to the difficulty in considering the Paris summit a success. Since Poland did not rise to the occasion, other leaders who participated in the meeting also felt no obligation to do so: the prime ministers of Spain and Italy, and the Chancellor of Germany. Declarations of willingness to participate in a mission to Ukraine did not come from them either.”

— POLAND'S SHARED RESPONSIBILITY FOR UKRAINE'S FATE COULD PROVE VERY SERIOUS – BIELECKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “Let's hope it doesn't result in an agreement without real security guarantees for Kyiv, as has already happened twice in the past: in the Budapest Memorandum and the Minsk agreements. In that case, Poland's shared responsibility for Ukraine's fate could prove very serious.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41817031-jedrzej-bielecki-w-paryzu-polska-zawiodla-dlaczego-donald-tusk-mija-sie-z-prawda

— EUROPE IS WAKING UP TO ACTION REGARDING UKRAINE. POLAND IS THE GREAT ABSENTEE – TITLE IN RZ.

— HISTORY MAY SURPRISE DONALD TUSK – BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: “The point is that defending fundamental European values precisely involves distancing oneself from the demands of current, local politics. If we do not master this art, if we do not shed our local egoisms, we will perish completely. Ukraine will not fall on its own.”
https://www.rp.pl/konflikty-zbrojne/art41814881-boguslaw-chrabota-historia-moze-zaskoczyc-donalda-tuska

— DONALD TUSK'S UNDONE HOMEWORK – MACIEJ MIŁOSZ IN RZ: “Although the Prime Minister can rightly boast about spending a lot on defense, the government still has no idea for the development of the Polish armaments industry. The last dozen or so months have been a wasted time in this area. (…) If nothing changes here, if Donald Tusk does not do his homework on the armaments industry, then despite large expenditures on weaponry, our situation will still not be good. Dariusz Łukowski, the new head of the National Security Bureau, aptly put it: ‘Looking at the war in Ukraine, we see that the worst that can happen to us is to be a client of other countries. When political and defense decisions depend on other capitals, not our own capabilities and interests.’”
https://www.rp.pl/opinie-ekonomiczne/art41814381-maciej-milosz-przemysl-zbrojeniowy-czyli-prymusa-donalda-tuska-nieodrobiona-praca-domowa

— KONFEDERACJA NOTED AN INCREASE IN SUPPORT BY OVER 5 PERCENTAGE POINTS – OPINIA24 FOR RMF: According to the latest Opinia24 poll for RMF FM, in the electoral race, Civic Coalition (31.8%) would beat Law and Justice (27.9%). Konfederacja would take third place with 18.7% support, and Third Way would receive 8% of the votes. Nowa Lewica would get 5.5% of potential votes, and the Razem party – 2.9%. Compared to the opinion poll from a month ago, Konfederacja gained the most (an increase from 13.5% to 18.7%) and – proportionally – Razem (from 2% to 2.9%)
https://www.rmf24.pl/polityka/news-pis-spada-szybciej-niz-po-najnowszy-sondaz-parlamentarny-opi,nId,7913971

— IT IS SAID THAT THE CHANCELLOR'S OFFICE ALREADY IN 2018 FORESAW THAT THE PIPELINE COULD LEAD TO WAR ESCALATION – BUSINESS INSIDER ON A NEW BOOK IN GERMANY: “Thiele and Dobbert's book contains many other details about the history of Nord Stream, including the roles of former Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier and Chancellor Angela Merkel. It is said that the Chancellor's Office already in 2018 foresaw that the pipeline could lead to an escalation of the war, which would result in many refugees. ‘We know what we will do with them,’ Merkel's advisors were said to have told a delegation from Ukraine in October 2018.”

— THIELE AND DOBBERT ALSO SHOW FOR THE FIRST TIME HOW MUCH MONEY GERMANY TRANSFERRED TO RUSSIA FOR GAS SUPPLIES FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE WAR IN UKRAINE IN 2014 UNTIL ITS ESCALATION IN FEBRUARY 2022 – CONTINUES BI: “Thiele and Dobbert also show for the first time how much money Germany transferred to Russia for gas supplies from the beginning of the war in Ukraine in 2014 until its escalation in February 2022: over 104 billion euros. The authors based this amount on Gazprom prices, which had previously been kept secret. They spoke with insiders, one of whom participated in several price negotiations. This covered even one-third of Russia's military spending each year of the war.”
https://businessinsider.com.pl/wiadomosci/brudne-gierki-olafa-scholza-dziennikarze-odkrywaja-kulisy-nord-stream-2/p5vysvw

— FURTHER DEVELOPMENTS FOLLOWING CIESZYŃSKI'S REQUEST FOR AN ANTI-CORRUPTION SHIELD IN THE CONTEXT OF WORK TO RESTRICT THE AVAILABILITY OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS: “– The shield has not been activated yet, however. – the former Minister of Digitization tells Salon24. I received a response stating that I need to justify my request. These laws always generate a lot of emotion. I think that if the anti-corruption shield is introduced, we will be able to protect ourselves against hostile actions from corporations. The Ministry of Finance focused mainly on excise tax increases, while the Ministry of Health, led by Izabela Leszczyna, prepared projects aimed at restricting access to e-cigarettes. Interestingly, these proposals differ significantly from earlier political announcements.”
https://www.salon24.pl/newsroom/1428463,ministerstwo-zdrowia-e-papierosy-i-anonim-do-poslow

— GRZEGORZ SCHETYNA'S 62ND BIRTHDAY.


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