state of play: 02/04/2025

POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: Długosz: No One Around Duda is as Strong as Mastalerek; Wysocki: The Right is Deceiving Itself, as Trzaskowski Isn't Drowning; Lubuskie Marshal on the Crisis in Słubice

Łukasz Mężyk

— WIPLER: IF PSL WANTED ITS OWN GOVERNMENT, I WOULD VOTE FOR IT – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/04/

— BEST ARTICLE OF THE DAY:

— NO ONE AROUND ANDRZEJ DUDA IS AS STRONG AS MARCIN MASTALEREK. ALL WHO TRIED TO CONFRONT HIM LOST – DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN NEWSWEEK: “There is no second politician as strong as Marcin Mastalerek in Andrzej Duda’s circle. Everyone who tried to confront him has lost. Marcin Kędryna officially left because he said a few words too many in an interview for Polsat. Unofficially, because he was in significant conflict with Marcin Mastalerek. Jakub Kumoch, who handled the President’s foreign policy, was in such conflict with Mastalerek that rumors circulated in Warsaw that the two men almost came to blows on their way to Kyiv. Kumoch left the Presidential Palace. Mastalerek stayed. His conflict with Grażyna Ignaczak-Bandych, the former head of the Presidential Chancellery, became legendary within the palace. She left. Theoretically, she retired; unofficially, it was because Mastalerek effectively undermined her.”

— MASTALEREK NEEDS ANDRZEJ DUDA, AND DUDA NEEDS MARCIN MASTALEREK. IT IS MARCIN MASTALEREK WHO FLIES TO THE STATES FOR MEETINGS WITH THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION – DŁUGOSZ FURTHER IN NEWSWEEK: “Mastalerek needs Andrzej Duda, and Duda needs Marcin Mastalerek. He builds the President’s contacts within the party. It is thanks to him that Andrzej Duda has a very good relationship with Mateusz Morawiecki’s circle. It is thanks to him that information emerged that the former Prime Minister and the current President might head the ‘PiS light’ project, which would appeal to less radical voters. For now, the project has been frozen somewhere, as Morawiecki also has his problems. It is Marcin Mastalerek who flies to the States for meetings with the Trump administration. He was also present during Andrzej Duda's meeting with Donald Trump last April, six months before the elections.
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/zmiany-w-palacu-to-efekt-jego-kolejnej-wojny-to-twardziel-z-ambicjami-kulisy/90g6kd0

— THE RIGHT IS DECEIVING ITSELF – CONCLUSION FROM GRZEGORZ WYSOCKI’S ARTICLE IN GAZETA.PL: “Next, Lisiewicz extensively refers to Kamiński’s media appearances, where he harshly criticized Trzaskowski’s candidacy, but also Tusk. Lisiewicz’s conclusion? Perhaps Kamiński dreams of replacing Trzaskowski, but with Sikorski. Then there's a quote from Paweł Piskorski (he doesn’t believe in a replacement) and from Radosław Fogiel (he considers a replacement probable because ‘the government isn’t doing well’). The article ends. This is how ‘Gazeta Polska’ REVEALED ‘true sentiments in Tusk’s party’ and all the secrets and details of the Great REplacement.”

— LIBERAL-LEFT MEDIA, WHILE OCCASIONALLY LOSING TOUCH, ARE NOT YET PERMANENTLY SO DETACHED FROM REALITY AS TO COMPLETELY DISTORT IT – FURTHERMORE, WYSOCKI IN GAZETA.PL: “The logic of tribal civil war that has prevailed in Poland for years would suggest that if one side writes about a drowning government, the other side (liberal-left) will write only about a drowning Nawrocki, his pathetic campaign, and a losing Kaczyński. This is not the case. And that’s good. Because it means that liberal-left media, while occasionally losing touch, are not yet permanently so detached from reality as to completely distort it. And if, for example, Nawrocki has recently made up ground on Trzaskowski, quickly built national recognition, and is now reaching PiS’s poll numbers, then ‘Polityka,’ ‘Newsweek,’ or ‘Tygodnik Powszechny’ are reporting on it.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31660400,trzaskowski-tonie-a-w-platformie-huczy-o-podmianie-czyli.html

— THE AUTOSTRADA WOLNOŚCI HAS BECOME A HELL, A HUMILIATION. GERMANY, WITH ITS POORLY ORGANIZED BORDER CONTROLS, HAS DEVASTATED OUR LIVES – SAYS MARCIN JABŁOŃSKI, LUBUSKIE MARSHAL, IN A CONVERSATION WITH MAJA SAŁWACKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA.

— TODAY, THIS LIFE IS DEVASTATED BY THE GERMANS – FURTHERMORE, LUBUSKIE MARSHAL MARCIN JABŁOŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “We understand this, but the method used to secure the borders against the influx of migrants is wrong. I live on the border, I feel it and understand it perfectly. Controls can be conducted in a way that is less burdensome for border life. Today, this life is devastated by the Germans.”

— SŁUBICE SMELL OF URINE. THE AUTOSTRADA WOLNOŚCI IS SIMILARLY A HELL. DRIVERS, NOT JUST TRUCKERS, ARE TRAPPED IN THE OPEN FIELD. THEY HAVE NO ACCESS TO TOILETS, WATER – FURTHERMORE, MARSHAL JABŁOŃSKI IN A CONVERSATION WITH SAŁWACKA IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “It’s not just exhaust fumes that are bothering us. There are also sanitary issues that are not openly discussed. Travelers waiting in cars for hours to cross the border have to relieve themselves somewhere. They drive into side streets, go out onto squares, playgrounds, urinate under trees, and let their children use the sidewalk. This is thousands of cars per day. Słubice smells of urine. The Autostrada Wolności is similarly a hell. Drivers, not just truckers, are trapped in the open field. They have no access to toilets, water. They sometimes wait in traffic jams for over a dozen hours. They have to cope somehow. Such a journey is a humiliation.”

— WHEN I LOOK AT THIS, I WONDER IF WE ARE STILL IN THE EU? – ASKS JABŁOŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA.

— THIS REDUCES THE COMPETITIVENESS OF POLISH COMPANIES COMPARED TO GERMAN ONES. FOR SOME, THIS COULD END IN CATASTROPHE. GERMANY IS NOT THINKING ABOUT THIS. THEIR GOODS ENTER POLAND WITHOUT DELAY – FURTHERMORE, LUBUSKIE MARSHAL JABŁOŃSKI IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “This reduces the competitiveness of Polish companies compared to German ones. For some, this could end in catastrophe. There are no facilitations for trucks carrying live animals, medicines, or perishable goods. Germany is not thinking about this. Their goods enter Poland without delay.”
https://zielonagora.wyborcza.pl/zielonagora/7,35182,31662361,marszalek-jablonski-niemcy-zdewastowali-zycie-na-granicy.html

— THE TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY OF A STATE, ESPECIALLY OF A EUROPEAN UNION MEMBER, IS UNDISPUTABLE – STATED DONALD TUSK AFTER THE INFORMAL SUMMIT OF EU LEADERS IN BRUSSELS. He referred to earlier statements by the US President, who suggested taking over Greenland. – The words about solidarity with Denmark were very important – emphasized the head of the Polish government.
https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/02/03/dla-ue-integralnosc-terytorialna-panstwa-jest-czyms-bezdyskusyjnym-tusk-o-danii/

— NATO HEAD AGREES WITH TRUMP – GAZETA.PL: NATO Secretary General agreed with Trump: Mark Rutte proposed that Alliance forces could be deployed in the Arctic region, which would increase security in that part of the world. – It is absolutely clear that Trump is right when it comes to the far north, that we need to do more – said Rutte. The US President, when discussing the takeover of Greenland, cited the argument of “national security” and concerns about China.
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114881,31665448,niespodziewane-slowa-szefa-nato-ws-grenlandii-przyznal-racje.html

— AT THE MOMENT WHEN TUSK AND TRZASKOWSKI START SPEAKING IN RIGHT-WING LANGUAGE TO THEIR VOTERS, MOST OF THEM WILL INTERNALIZE THESE VIEWS – LESZEK JAŻDŻEWSKI IN INTERIA: “At the moment when Tusk and Trzaskowski start speaking in right-wing language to their voters, most of them will internalize these views. A minority – in a situation where the alternative is the relapse of PiS rule – will consider that things have gone too far and will not vote at all (though it may be a minority crucial for winning the election).”

— SUCH A SHARP TURN TO THE RIGHT MEANS THAT THE NORMALIZATION OF PREVIOUSLY UNACCEPTABLE ATTITUDES IS PROGRESSING. IT WILL BE MUCH EASIER FOR REAL, NOT FAKE, POPULISTS TO OPERATE – FURTHERMORE, JAŻDŻEWSKI: “One might think that it’s good that voters follow their leaders? Until a point. Such a sharp turn to the right means that the normalization of previously unacceptable attitudes is progressing. It will be much easier for real, not fake, populists to play the xenophobic, anti-Ukrainian, and anti-European card. Because it turns out that even they – even if for pragmatic reasons, not conviction – former liberals are doing it.”

— DOUBT IN ONE’S OWN VALUES, INABILITY TO REFRAME THEM, GIVING UP AT THE FIRST SIGNS OF CRISIS IS THE FIRST STEP TO DEFEAT – JAŻDŻEWSKI’S CONCLUSION IN INTERIA: “Doubt in one’s own values, inability to reframe them, giving up at the first signs of crisis, is the first step to defeat. Common sense and normality are keys to victory. Until it turns out that they only fit the doors behind which our enemies triumph stand.”
https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-fanatyk-kontra-normals,nId,7904388

— POSITIVE ATTITUDE TOWARDS UKRAINIANS IN POLAND IS DECLINING – WP POLL: According to a new study, in January 2025, the positive attitude decreased by 9.1 percentage points – to 55.3%. 10.9% of Poles have a “decidedly positive” opinion, and 44.4% – “rather positive.” In less than two years, the number of people with this type of attitude has decreased. This applies to both the “decidedly positive” and “rather positive” groups. The study also indicates that the number of people with a negative attitude has increased to 33% – in the case of 14%, “rather negative,” while 19% are “decidedly negative.” This means that currently, one in three Poles has a critical attitude towards the presence of arrivals from the East. An increase of 3.5 percentage points has been noted here.
https://www.rp.pl/spoleczenstwo/art41764191-sondaz-jak-zmienilo-sie-nastawienie-do-ukraincow-wiemy-co-uwazaja-polacy

— PSL IS HINDERING SOCIAL HOUSING CONSTRUCTION IN POLAND. THANK THE PEASANTS, THEY WON’T STOP THE HOUSING CRISIS – WOJCIECH KARPIESZUK IN GAZETA WYBORCZA: “The actions of this party are downright destructive amid the deepening housing crisis. The sooner Prime Minister Tusk understands this, the better. Because this destruction is not solely on the peasants’ account.”
https://warszawa.wyborcza.pl/warszawa/7,54420,31664585,budownictwo-spoleczne-w-rekach-psl-podziekujmy-juz-ludowcom.html

— BIRTHDAYS: Joachim Brudziński, Stefan Niesiołowski, Elżbieta Bieńkowska, Marek Sowa, Arkadiusz Mularczyk, Grzegorz Jarzyna.


Łukasz Mężyk