state of play: 01/22/2025
— DOES IT NOT BOTHER YOU THAT INTERNET PLATFORMS WILL BE PART OF US TECHNOLOGICAL AGGRESSION TOWARDS EUROPE? If the European Commission is unable to stop platform X from interfering in European politics, the European Union will lose sovereignty, and you are the vanguard of this aggression, you are traitors to Europe – BARTŁOMIEJ SIENKIEWICZ IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT:
https://x.com/rafalhubert/status/1881694378890314194
— FORMER MINISTER SIENKIEWICZ IS PROBABLY NOT HELPING HIS PARTY AND POLAND MUCH – STANISŁAW TYSZKA ON X:
https://x.com/styszka/status/1881811728692060320
— A "JOURNALIST" FROM A FOREIGN "SERVICE" POSTED A VIDEO ON MONDAY MORNING, BUT YOU ONLY NEED TO WATCH IT AND LISTEN TO WHAT THEY SAY TO HAVE CERTAIN DOUBTS, BECAUSE NOTHING LIKE THAT IS HAPPENING IN IT – MICHAŁ PŁOCIŃSKI IN RZ: “It went like this: a "journalist" from a foreign "service" posted a video on Monday morning showing Mateusz Morawiecki talking to security personnel. That’s all you can see. Only from the description do we learn that Morawiecki was supposedly not being let into a rally before Donald Trump’s inauguration. And to prove who he is, he supposedly showed them a Wikipedia page about himself. The thing is, you only need to watch the video and listen to what they say to have certain doubts, because nothing like that is happening in it.”
— AND BECAUSE SOMETHING TURNED OUT TO BE FAKE, WELL… TOO BAD. LET’S GO WITH ANOTHER VIDEO – PŁOCIŃSKI CONTINUES IN RZ: “And because something turned out to be fake, well… too bad. Let’s go with another video, maybe this one will turn out to be real, we’ll see (again, after the fact). And so we expose ourselves to disinformation, often controlled from who knows where (from where they are popping champagne corks). Pleased and proud of ourselves, because we’ve hammered them so well!”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41707671-michal-plocinski-morawiecki-z-wikipedia-fejk-ktory-swiata-nie-zmieni-a-powinien
— PIS IS OVERTAKING PLATFORMA, KONFEDERACJA HAS AS MUCH AS BOTH OF TUSK’S COALITION PARTNERS – POLLSTER POLL FOR SUPER EXPRESS: https://polityka.se.pl/wiadomosci/pis-i-konfederacja-przejmuja-wladze-mamy-nowy-sondaz-aa-3nGu-aAXz-Sg57.html
— A COALITION OF PIS AND KONFEDERACJA WOULD HAVE 253 SEATS: https://x.com/MateuszPluta02/status/1881706886275477635
— THE TOTAL POLL SUPPORT FOR THE GOVERNMENT COALITION PARTIES HAS BEEN REGULARLY FALLING FOR A YEAR, WHILE SUPPORT FOR THE RIGHT-WING OPPOSITION IS GROWING – MICHAŁ ROGALSKI ON ONET: “Party support is currently probably the most important factor determining the outcome of the presidential election. Only then comes the individual quality or strength of the candidate. Even the best candidate cannot win in an electoral environment where their party is less popular than the competitor's party. This is where the first real problem for the KO candidate emerges. The total poll support for the government coalition parties has been regularly falling for a year, while support for the right-wing opposition is growing. This refers to the combined support of PiS and Konfederacja.”
— THIS STATE OF AFFAIRS SUGGESTS A DECIDEDLY MORE EVEN FIGHT IN THE SECOND ROUND – ROGALSKI CONTINUES ON ONET: “Currently, support for the conservative opposition is rapidly approaching the support for the government coalition. This state of affairs suggests a decidedly more even fight in the second round of the presidential election than the presidential polls show.”
— TRZASKOWSKI’S LEAD IS CLOSELY DEPENDENT ON THE COALITION PARTIES’ SUPPORT – ROGALSKI CONTINUES ON ONET: “In studies conducted on the same sample, Trzaskowski performs about 7 percentage points better than the coalition parties' electoral result. Here we are comparing Trzaskowski’s lead in the second round of the election to the lead of the combined government coalition parties over the combined support of PiS and Konfederacja. We also see here that Trzaskowski’s lead is closely dependent on the coalition parties’ support.”
— POSITIONING ONESELF AS A CENTER-RIGHT POLITICIAN MAY NOT ONLY PROVE INEFFECTIVE BUT ALSO VERY RISKY – WRITES MICHAŁ ROGALSKI ON ONET: “However, the current campaign idea for Rafał Trzaskowski may prove to be a significant problem. The Mayor of Warsaw is trying to shift to the right, likely seeking support among opposition voters. Positioning oneself as a center-right politician may not only prove ineffective but also very risky. Such a strategy, with little gain on the right, could ultimately demobilize one’s own electorate.”
— IN NONE OF THE 5 LATEST POLLS DOES THE OCTOBER 15 COALITION EXCEED 231 SEATS – ROGALSKI’S CONCLUSION ON ONET: “If parliamentary elections were held today, the chances of the governing coalition losing its majority in the Sejm would be very high. Below, we can see the projected number of seats based on five party polls from the past week. In none of them does the October 15 coalition exceed the 231 seats needed for effective governance.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/rafal-trzaskowski-traci-przewage-czy-to-poczatek-kryzysu-analiza-sondazy/sv7288l,79cfc278
— IS THIS CLEARING THE PATH FOR A COALITION WITH PIS? – AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK AND DOMINIKA SITNICKA ON OKO.PRESS: “In 2022, Jarosław Kaczyński stated that Grzegorz Braun and Janusz Korwin-Mikke stood in the way of a potential alliance with Konfederacja. So, do recent events open a new chapter for the right?”
https://oko.press/braun-poza-konfederacja-czy-to-karczowanie-sciezki-dla-koalicji-z-pis
— THE MARSHAL OF THE PODLASKIE VOIVODESHIP AND THE VOIVODE WERE ALSO THERE, THESE ARE, ONE COULD SAY, MY NEIGHBORS FROM GRABÓWKA. THE PRESIDENT OF BIAŁYSTOK, MR. TADEUSZ TRUSKOLASKI, WAS ALSO THERE, SO I TALKED WITH EVERYONE FOR A MOMENT AND THAT’S HOW IT WAS – ZENEK MARTYNIUK IN CONVERSATION WITH KAROL LEWANDOWSKI ON PLEJADA: “– We used to record songs from the radio, then listen to them. Well, that’s it. It was a very brief conversation and everyone went their own way. Besides, I met many of my acquaintances there, because the Marshal of the Podlaskie Voivodeship and the Voivode were also there, these are, one could say, my neighbors from Grabówka. The President of Białystok, Mr. Tadeusz Truskolaski, was also there, so I spoke with everyone for a moment and that’s how it was. We know each other here – the leader of the Akcent band tells us.”
— ALL THE VIDEOS WHERE I SAY THE NOW FAMOUS "TIME WILL TELL" ARE VERY POPULAR. I SAID SOMETHING LIKE THAT ONCE AND NOW ALMOST EVERYONE WANTS TO RECORD VIDEOS WITH ME. THIS WAS ALSO A REQUEST HERE – ZENEK MARTYNIUK CONTINUES ON PLEJADA: “Anyone who calls me, I will gladly meet with. I don't know, maybe they consider me some kind of mediator, and all the videos where I say the now famous 'time will tell' are very popular. I said something like that once and now almost everyone wants to record videos with me. This was also a request here.”
— IF SOMEONE FROM PIS OR HOŁOWNIA ASKED ME, I WOULD ALSO AGREE. ALL CANDIDATES WHO WANT TO, LET THEM CONTACT ME – SAYS ZENEK TO LEWANDOWSKI ON PLEJADA: “Rafał Trzaskowski simply asked me how things would look in the future, and I replied: 'time will tell.' If someone from PiS or Hołownia asked me, I would also agree. All candidates who want to, let them contact me. I will gladly meet with everyone and record videos. I will tell them what we will see in the future, and time will tell after the elections.”
https://plejada.pl/newsy/zenek-martyniuk-komentuje-spotkanie-z-rafalem-trzaskowskim-wczesniej-pisali-ze-stary/701m13g
— KAROLINA KUCHARSKA: BY PROSECUTORIAL DECISION, I WAS UNABLE TO CONTACT MY 70-YEAR-OLD MOTHER, WHO IS UNABLE TO EXIST INDEPENDENTLY, FOR SEVERAL MONTHS. THE PROSECUTOR DECIDED THAT I WOULD COLLUDE WITH MY MOTHER IN A MATTER THAT INVOLVES EXAMINING DOCUMENTS SECURED IN THE EARLY WEEKS OF THE INVESTIGATION.
https://x.com/Suwerenna_POL/status/1881814216950337693
— FOR EUROPE, THIS IS A COLD SHOWER. DUE TO ITS REGULATIONS, BARRIERS ON THE SINGLE MARKET, OVERLY EXPANDED SOCIAL SYSTEM, AND HIGH TAXES, THE UNION IS DEVELOPING SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWER THAN THE UNITED STATES – SAYS ARKADIUSZ MUŚ, A POLISH BILLIONAIRE DOING BUSINESS IN THE US, IN AN INTERVIEW WITH WITOLD GADOWSKI IN GW.
— CHEAP ENERGY IS A MAJOR ADVANTAGE FOR AMERICA, AND NO SERIOUS AMERICAN POLITICIAN WILL PROPOSE ACTIONS THAT CAUSE PRICE INCREASES. EUROPE HAS GONE IN A DIFFERENT DIRECTION – MUŚ CONTINUES AT GADOWSKI’S IN GW: “Cheap energy is a major advantage for America, and no serious American politician will propose actions that cause price increases. Europe has gone in a different direction, prioritizing climate issues, even though the European Union accounts for less than 10% of global CO2 emissions. I would not be surprised if the Trump administration completely abandoned the climate agreements, as happened during his first term [the interview took place before Trump’s inauguration; he announced his withdrawal from the agreements on the first day – editor’s note].”
— NOT IN ECONOMIC POLICY. HERE, THE GOVERNMENT IS FOLLOWING IN THE FOOTSTEPS OF PIS. THIS COULD LEAD TO THE ECONOMY FALLING INTO SERIOUS TROUBLE – MUŚ CONTINUES AT GADOWSKI’S IN GW: “I am generally worried about Polish politics. The ruling coalition won the election by opposing what PiS was doing. Therefore, it should make serious corrections. And this is happening in the area of the rule of law, in foreign policy, but not in economic policy. Here, the government is following in the footsteps of PiS. This could lead to the economy falling into serious trouble, and the coalition currently in power will lose the next elections. There is still time to start reforms that will help the economy and thus increase the popularity of the rulers.”
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,177151,31630459,arkadiusz-mus-trump-rozszyfrowal-potrzeby-tych-amerykanow.html
— DEPORTATIONS OF POLES FROM THE USA? BŁASZCZAK: WHAT TUSK IS DOING IS STIRRING UP HYSTERIA – 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2025/01/22/
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