-- OPINIA24 FOR GW: Civic Coalition 35.3% PiS 33.5% Confederation 12.5% Third Way 7.1% The Left 5.9% -- BOTH COALITIONS (THE LEFT AND THIRD WAY) BELOW THE ELECTION THRESHOLD, BUT WE ASSUME THEY CAN RUN AS ELECTORAL COMMITTEES IN THE ELECTIONS, IN WHICH CASE THE THRESHOLD WOULD BE 5% NOT 8% - GW POLL ANALYZED BY AGNIESZKA KUBLIK AND ANDRZEJ MACHOWSKI: “So, a trend is visible: the two main parties are neck and neck, the Confederation has strengthened and has stable ratings above 10 percent. Third Way and The Left are weakening. Both coalitions are below the election threshold, but we assume they can run as electoral committees in the elections, in which case the threshold would be 5% not 8%.” -- PIS AND CONFEDERATION COMBINED – 242 SEATS - CONTINUES KUBLIK AND MACHOWSKI: “According to our poll, the Civic Coalition could count on 185 seats (28 more than in the 2023 elections), and PiS on 188 (6 fewer). But this is the only good news for the October 15 Coalition. Third Way would suffer huge losses, winning only 23 seats (as many as 42 fewer than last year), and The Left with 10 seats (16 fewer). The biggest winner in our poll is the Confederation – it wins 54 seats, as many as 36 more than in the last elections. The October 15 Coalition would therefore have a total of 218 seats. And the victorious national-Catholic right (PiS and Confederation combined) – 242.” -- OPINIA24 POLL FOR GAZETA WYBORCZA FROM OCTOBER 7-9, SAMPLE OF 1000 ADULT POLES, COMPUTER-ASSISTED TELEPHONE INTERVIEWS (CATI) https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31375205,sondaz-pracowni-opinia24-dla-wyborczej.html -- WE WERE HOPING FOR A POLITICAL REVOLUTION, AND IT'S NOT HAPPENING. IT'S SLIGHTLY FRUSTRATING - A YOUNG VOTER IN A REPORT BY IWONA GÖRKE IN GW: “- But are there any other changes that are noticeable in daily life? Unfortunately, no. We were hoping for a political revolution, and it's not happening. It's slightly frustrating. I know not much time has passed, but this government has been around for a while and could have done more – assesses a high school senior who will graduate next year. He is sitting on a bench with his friend. Olaf has just started medical studies.” -- HAS THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT DONE ANYTHING, IN YOUR OPINION, FOR WOMEN TO FEEL SAFER? - NO, I DON'T FEEL SAFER – STATES THE DELICATE LIDIA DECISIVELY - FURTHER IN IWONA GÖRKE'S REPORT IN GW: “- Has the current government done anything, in your opinion, for women to feel safer? - No, I don't feel safer – states the delicate Lidia decisively. She is resting in a hammock on a glade by Lake Kortowskie in Olsztyn. Next to her sits Basia, her friend. - Recent events actually make me feel less and less secure as a woman – she begins. She recalls a widely publicized incident in August on a street in Warsaw. Nina, returning from work early in the morning, was approached by a man. - She didn't want to go with him, he grabbed her and dragged her across the street. She called the police. Officers arrived, but maintained they could do nothing further for her.” -- DESPITE THE ENTIRE GOVERNMENT NARRATIVE ABOUT PRIORITIZING THE "ACCOUNTING FOR PIS," IT'S HARD TO NOTICE ANY CHANGES THAT WOULD GO BEYOND THE RETURN TO THE PRESCRIBED STATUS QUO - STILL IN IWONA GÖRKE'S REPORT IN GW: “- But let's get back to Poland. In your opinion, has the Tusk government done anything good? - Despite the entire government narrative about prioritizing the 'accounting for PiS,' it's hard to notice any changes that would go beyond the return to the prescribed status quo. I'm not saying there are none at all, because, for example, the law on financing in vitro from the state budget, as well as salary increases for teachers, are steps in the right direction – believes Paulina.” https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31366539,moze-razem-moze-konfederacji-ale-w-sumie-komu-dzis-by-zaufali.html -- I'VE RETURNED FROM THE BRINK. MY HEALTH HAS IMPROVED, ALTHOUGH I AM NOT AT FULL STRENGTH AND AM UNDERGOING VERY INTENSIVE REHABILITATION - ZBIGNIEW ZIOBRO IN A CONVERSATION WITH JACEK NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “I have returned from the brink. My health has improved, although I am not at full strength and am undergoing very intensive rehabilitation. Please remember that a malignant tumor with metastases diagnosed in me, despite radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and complex surgeries I have undergone, still sends over 60 percent of patients to the other world within five years. However, I am optimistic.” -- WE WILL HOLD ACCOUNTABLE THOSE WHO COMMITTED ABUSES AND THOSE WHO PERPETRATED THEM, STARTING WITH TUSK, BODNAR, AND THEIR HENCHMEN - CONTINUES ZIOBRO WITH NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “Yes, and a free Poland will return! Poland will return, for which my grandfather fought, for which he sacrificed his life. We will hold accountable those who committed abuses and those who perpetrated them, starting with Tusk, Bodnar, and their henchmen.” -- I ENTERED POLITICS INSPIRED BY MY GRANDFATHER, WHO AFTER THE WAR WAS SENTENCED TO LIFE IMPRISONMENT BY THE STALINIST JUDGE SCHNEPF, AN UNCLE OF TUSK'S CLOSE ASSOCIATE – AMBASSADOR RYSZARD SCHNEPF - ZIOBRO TELLS NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “I had a great temptation to respond to this provocation. However, I decided not to respond and asked my colleagues in Suwerenna Polska to do the same. Escalating tensions within the United Right would only serve Donald Tusk. As for my motivations, I entered politics inspired by my grandfather. He was a soldier in the September campaign and an officer of the Home Army. After the war, he was sentenced to life imprisonment by the Stalinist judge Schnepf, an uncle of Tusk's close associate – Ambassador Ryszard Schnepf. My grandfather was a role model for me in understanding patriotism.” -- THE MOST INFAMOUS COMMUNIST VERDICTS SENTENCING POLISH PATRIOTS TO DEATH, SUCH AS GEN. AUGUST EMIL FIELDORF "NIL," WERE VALID IN THE POLISH LEGAL SYSTEM UNTIL THE REOPENING OF PROCEEDINGS LED TO THEIR ANNULMENT BY THE COMPETENT COURTS - CONTINUES ZIOBRO WITH NIZINKIEWICZ IN RZ: “Even in the darkest Stalinist period, it never happened that a Minister of Justice of the communist regime would say that an inconvenient verdict did not exist, and that the judges who issued it were not judges. Even then, a pretense was maintained, and verdicts inconvenient to the authorities were eliminated through legal channels, not through political statements by a minister. I will give another example – the most infamous communist verdicts sentencing Polish patriots to death, such as Gen. August Emil Fieldorf 'Nil,' were in force in the Polish legal system until, as a result of the reopening of proceedings, they were annulled by the competent courts.” -- I WILL REVEAL THE DECISION ON THE DAY OF MY HEARING - ZIOBRO IN RESPONSE TO NIZINKIEWICZ'S QUESTION IN RZ ABOUT WHETHER HE WILL APPEAR BEFORE THE INVESTIGATIVE COMMISSION ON OCTOBER 14. -- THE ONE WHO WOULD HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCE IN THE SECOND ROUND AND WOULD NOT CAUSE CONTROVERSY ON EITHER SIDE OF THE PATRIOTIC CAMP - ZIOBRO ON NIZINKIEWICZ'S QUESTION ABOUT WHO IS THE BEST PIS CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT. https://www.rp.pl/polityka/art41277951-zbigniew-ziobro-w-wywiadzie-dla-rz-rozliczymy-naduzycia-zaczniemy-od-donalda-tuska -- GAJEWSKA AND MYRCHA ARE SCHEMING LIKE A TYPICAL POLE. AND THAT'S THE PROBLEM; IF WE ARE TO EVER END THIS CLEVERNESS, POLITICIANS SHOULD SET AN EXAMPLE - TOMASZ KRZYŻAK IN RZ: “It's just typical Polish scheming. If we are to ever end this cleverness, politicians should set an example. Because law is law, but there is also something called decency.” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41275071-tomasz-krzyzak-kinga-gajewska-i-arkadiusz-myrcha-kombinuja-jak-typowy-polak-i-w-tym-wlasnie-problem -- IN HER EMOTIONS, USING PARLIAMENTARY LANGUAGE (OF THE "CH..." AND "K..." VARIETY), A CIVIC COALITION MP CONVINCED ME THAT THE HOUSE IN BŁONIE IS UNSUITABLE FOR HABITATION; I WILL NOT CITE LITERAL QUOTES BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT SUITABLE - TOMASZ KRZYŻAK IN RZ: “In her emotions, using parliamentary language (of the 'ch...' and 'k...' variety), a Civic Coalition MP convinced me that the house in Błonie is unsuitable for habitation, because if it were, she wouldn't be renting an apartment in the capital. I will not cite literal quotes because they are not suitable. In the end, the MP wished me that everything that had happened to her in the past few days would happen to me too. Then she wrote a message that she wasn't calling as an MP, 'but as a mother of three children who has been hounded for nine days, whose homes and kindergarten are shown on TV Republika every day.'” https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art41278061-tomasz-krzyzak-jak-kinga-gajewska-wydzwaniala-do-mnie-po-krytycznym-komentarzu -- GAJEWSKA CHANGES MYRCHA'S NARRATIVE ABOUT THE HOUSE: “Previously, the MP boasted that she could get to work from her house in just a few dozen minutes. In a conversation with WP, she defends herself by saying that her parents live there. - We sometimes used their hospitality, especially during holiday weekends. All children like staying overnight at their grandparents' – she says.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/kinga-gajewska-przerywa-milczenie-tak-tlumaczy-sie-z-majatku/3ev2vvk,79cfc278 -- MOST POLITICIANS IN POLAND SHARE A LOVE FOR CARS WITH INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES. AFTER PIS, THE BATON IN THE FIGHT AGAINST THE BAN ON THE SALE OF SUCH VEHICLES WAS TAKEN OVER BY THE CIVIC COALITION - ANDRZEJ KUBLIK IN GW: “Did any of the politicians from Suwerenna Polska, whose leader Zbigniew Ziobro was known for his loud criticism of EU plans to accelerate motorization electrification, say this? No. This assessment was presented by Civic Coalition MEP Bartłomiej Sienkiewicz.” https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,156481,31374054,spalinowa-szarza-po-w-parlamencie-europejskim.html -- PRIVILEGED HUNTERS. THEY DON'T HAVE TO BE TESTED, THEY RECEIVE GIFTS FROM THE GOVERNMENT - AGNIESZKA SOWA IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “Hunters in Poland are currently the only group authorized to possess and use firearms in public spaces without the obligation to undergo periodic medical and psychological examinations. This concerns approximately 130,000 people.” https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/spoleczenstwo/2273755,1,uprzywilejowani-mysliwi-nie-musza-sie-badac-od-rzadu-dostaja-prezenty-jak-to-mozliwe.read?src=mt -- FEMALE COMPANIONS IN A GOVERNMENT AGENCY. HOW WALDEMAR PAWLAK'S PEOPLE TOOK OVER PAIH - JACEK GĄDEK IN NEWSWEEK: “The Polish Investment and Trade Agency recently hired two directors. The first has already received a prison sentence. The second is accused. Both have strong backing in the Polish People's Party (PSL), and especially from the very influential Waldemar Pawlak.” -- HAHAHAHA: “So, she covered approximately 8,000 kilometers monthly with her company car, including for private purposes. We contacted Agnieszka Barcińska. Initially, she stated that she didn't have time to talk because she was driving.” -- ZDZISŁAW SKORŻA IS A PRIVATE FRIEND OF WALDEMAR PAWLAK. THE GENERAL WAS PREVIOUSLY THE DEPUTY HEAD OF ABW – THE PSL PROMOTED HIM TO THIS POSITION. ACCORDING TO ANNA MARIA SKORŻA, SHE RECEIVED THE JOB AS A RESULT OF A QUALIFICATION PROCEEDING - FURTHER IN GĄDEK'S REPORT IN NEWSWEEK: “Anna Maria Skorża also got a job at PAIH. On LinkedIn – a social networking site specializing in professional and business contacts – she presents herself as Anna Maria Scorezzi Skorża. At PAIH, she is the deputy director of export support. Her father, Gen. Zdzisław Skorża, is a private friend of Waldemar Pawlak. The general was previously the deputy head of ABW – the PSL promoted him to this position. According to Anna Maria Skorża, she received the job as a result of a qualification proceeding.” https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/dworki-w-rzadowej-agencji-jak-ludzie-waldemara-pawlaka-wzieli-paih/1pmfxp4,452ad802 -- HOW DID IT HAPPEN THAT ADRIAN ZANDBERG AND MAGDALENA BIEJAT ARE FIGHTING EACH OTHER? YET THEY BOTH LEAD THE PARTY TOGETHER - PODCAST BY AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK, DOMINIKA SITNICKA, AND PATRYCJA TARKIEWICZ FOR SUPPORTERS OF OKO.PRESS: https://oko.press/czy-lewica-sie-rozpadnie-matysiak-biejat-i-zandberg -- MORAWIECKI MANAGED TO SELL PEOPLE THE MYTH OF A POLAND DEVELOPING LIKE THE SECOND REPUBLIC – MAINLY THROUGH LARGE INVESTMENTS; POLES CERTAINLY BOUGHT INTO SUCH A DEVELOPMENT NARRATIVE - PRZEMYSŁAW SADURA IN A CONVERSATION WITH AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK AT OKO.PRESS: “In this regard, Morawiecki managed to sell people the myth of a Poland developing somewhat like the Second Republic – mainly through large investments. So, it could be that PiS has a large development electorate. This alone could cut across the divisions we spoke about earlier. Those who vote according to their own interests might also see this pro-development aspect. And those who are fanatics might also want development. And even those who are skeptics and vote for the 'lesser evil.' Poles certainly bought into such a developmental narrative. Polska 2050 also has such an electorate – pro-development, wanting to move forward. The example of Paulina Matysiak, on the other hand, shows that even very intelligent people with left-wing sensitivity buy into this myth propagated by Morawiecki.” -- MORAWIECKI IS COMPLETELY UNRELIABLE IN MANY RESPECTS, BUT HE IS SOMEHOW CONSISTENT IN PRESENTING SUCH A VISION. IT SUITS HIM, HE IS PERCEIVED THAT WAY – AS A MODERN POLITICIAN - CONTINUES SADURA WITH SZCZĘŚNIAK: “Morawiecki is completely unreliable in many respects, but he is somehow consistent in presenting such a vision. It suits him, he is perceived that way – as a modern politician. The vision of Poland that he proposes for the future is also perceived as modern.” -- TRZASKOWSKI IMMEDIATELY GARNERS THE ENTIRE LEFT-WING ELECTORATE; FRANKLY, I AM CONVINCED HE WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT - CONTINUES PRZEMYSŁAW SADURA WITH AGATA SZCZĘŚNIAK AT OKO: “For me, it is obvious that Trzaskowski will be the Civic Coalition's candidate. And frankly, I am convinced that he will be the next president. (...) And Trzaskowski is still so good-looking that some female voters might say: handsome guy, nice. And he is consistently building an image of Europeanism, modernity, and charm. Moreover, Trzaskowski immediately garners the entire Left-wing electorate. He is twice as popular in this electorate as any of that party's leaders. We also showed this in previous reports. He has the entire Civic Coalition electorate behind him. He will be accepted by Hołownia's voters and will attract some undecided people. He doesn't have a large negative electorate.” -- IT'S HARD TO CALL WHAT TUSK IS DOING WITH THE THIRD WAY AND THE LEFT 'PARTNER-LIKE'; IT'S CLEARLY AIMED AT DEVOURING THEM - CONTINUES SADURA WITH SZCZĘŚNIAK AT OKO.PRESS: “With a level playing field between PiS and the Civic Coalition, we need to observe the parties fighting for third place. Neither PiS nor the Civic Coalition will be able to govern alone for some time yet. Although it is evident today that the Civic Coalition is moving towards devouring its satellites. It's hard to call what Tusk is doing with the Third Way and The Left 'partner-like.' It's clearly aimed at devouring them. Just as PiS once wanted to devour LPR and Samoobrona. We just hope the Civic Coalition doesn't choke on it, and that we all end up with a hiccup. If this leads to one of the partners falling below the threshold, how will we win then?” https://oko.press/sadura-pis-jak-komunisci-we-wloskim-parlamencie -- "WE WON'T THROW OURSELVES ONTO THE WIRES FOR TUSK." BRUDZIŃSKI ON TALKS WITH PSL AND PL2050 POLITICIANS - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/10/11 -- BECAUSE INTERNATIONAL CONCERNS MAKE ALL SORTS OF "DUBLIN-DUTCH" SANDWICHES THAT A TIRED POLISH TAX OFFICIAL CANNOT DIGEST - WRITES RAFAŁ WOŚ IN INTERIA, WHICH BELONGS TO A COMPANY THAT BELONGS TO A COMPANY THAT BELONGS TO A FOUNDATION, THE STRUGGLE FOR WHICH FROM CYPRUS TO LIECHTENSTEIN IS OBSERVED BY ALL OF POLAND: “The liberals' answer to such a question was always more or less the same. They would say that it's not that simple, because international corporations have immense capabilities to circumvent tax regulations. They make all sorts of 'Dublin-Dutch' sandwiches that a tired Polish tax official cannot digest. And generally, it's not worth picking a fight with a horse. Besides, one shouldn't annoy foreign capital, because it's very nervous. They'll get angry, take their toys away, and we'll be left with nothing. That's what they used to say...” https://wydarzenia.interia.pl/felietony/news-dlaczego-usmiechnieci-znowu-nie-umieja-opodatkowac-zagranicz,nId,7832925 -- BIRTHDAYS: Barbara Fedyszak-Radziejowska, Sławomir Siwek, Stanisław Bisztyga, Krzysztof Lipiec, Jerzy Halbersztadt.