state of play: 09/30/2024
POLITICAL GAME: Kalukin: Hołownia Seeks an Alibi, Breczko: The Left Orchestrated an Unprecedented Row for the Government, Gądek: Kaczyński Wanted Twice as Many Tanks for Fighting Ukraine
-- ANOTHER SHARP RISE IN INFLATION IN POLAND - BUSINESS INSIDER: “The latest data confirm that inflation in Poland is rising and after a few months, it has exceeded the acceptable range set by the NBP. Inflation in September increased to 4.9 percent year-on-year – reported GUS on Monday morning, publishing preliminary data”.
https://businessinsider.com.pl/gospodarka/kolejny-spory-skok-inflacji-w-polsce-dane-gus-nie-pozostawiaja-zludzen/9ydq8sw
-- THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY HAS BEEN UNUSUALLY UNIFIED FOR SEVERAL DAYS. COMPROMISE, CHAOS, SHAME – THESE ARE THE MILDER TERMS - ALICJA GARDULSKA IN GW: "Polish science is drowning." This is a post on the official profile of the Polish Academy of Sciences on X. The scientific community has been unified like rarely before for several days. Compromise, chaos, shame – these are the milder terms. Laureates of prestigious grants are wondering if conducting research in Poland is still safe. Perhaps it's better to take the money and leave the country? Demands for resignation and pleas to the Prime Minister to "get angry" are growing louder. And warnings that not only the Left but the entire coalition is losing voter support. Science has gained unexpected publicity."
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31344751,naukowcy-prosza-tuska-by-sie-wsciekl-i-zastanawiaja-sie.html
-- THE LEFT ORCHESTRATED AN UNPRECEDENTED ROW FOR THE GOVERNMENT - BOLESŁAW BRECZKO IN GW: “Ignoring the achievements of one scientist and the absurd defense of this decision by the Ministry of Science may undermine the Left's position in the governing coalition. The scandal is already spreading beyond the scientific community and is beginning to affect Donald Tusk.”
-- THE MINISTRY OF SCIENCE HAS UNITED THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY IN POLAND - FURTHER FROM BRECZKO: “The results of the competition for the new president of IDEAS NCBR and the attack on Piotr Sankowski have united the scientific community in Poland. The Ministry has growing experience in this, as a moment earlier, it similarly angered scientists with the idea of changes in the Polish Academy of Sciences. The unified voice of scientists is hitting not only the Left, but also the ruling coalition and Prime Minister Donald Tusk harder every day.”
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,177150,31343949,lewica-zgotowala-rzadowi-awanture-jakiej-jeszcze-nie-bylo.html
-- DUDA AT ZEMAN'S BIRTHDAY. SIKORSKI: THE VISIT WAS CONSULTED WITH THE MINISTRY OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS. WE ADVISED AGAINST IT - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/09/30
-- UKRAINE COULD HAVE FALLEN, KACZYŃSKI, THEN DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER, REPLIED THAT HE WOULD GIVE UKRAINE TWICE AS MANY TANKS, AND BŁASZCZAK GAVE TWICE AS MANY, WRITES JACEK GĄDEK IN NEWSWEEK: “Shortly after Russia's aggression against Ukraine, the Ministry of National Defense under Błaszczak proposed at one of the top government official meetings to transfer 130 T-72 tanks to Ukraine. Time was critical. Ukraine could have fallen. Jarosław Kaczyński, then Deputy Prime Minister, replied that he would give twice as many. And Błaszczak gave twice as many. He is loyal to the party leader on every issue – from trivial matters to fundamental ones. But he did not always instantly grasp his master's thoughts.”
-- THEY NOTICE HIS EFFORTS TO BE A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE IN THE PARTY - FURTHER FROM GĄDEK ABOUT BŁASZCZAK: “They notice his efforts to be a presidential candidate in the party. – He is lobbying, but without fouling. He will accept the nomination if that is Kaczyński's decision – we hear.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/mariusz-blaszczak-marzy-o-prezydenturze-chodzi-po-drogich-sklepach-kulisy/t7qx4pm
-- HE RESTED IN BRUSSELS, CAUGHT UP ON SLEEP, AND SUDDENLY REALIZED THAT THIS IS A COMPLETELY SIDELINE AND HE STILL WANTS TO PLAY POLITICS - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ ON MARCIN KIERWIŃSKI - WRITES IN NEWSWEEK: “He rested in Brussels, caught up on sleep, and suddenly realized that this is a completely sideline and he still wants to play politics. And he started figuring out how to get back – they say in Civic Platform about Marcin Kierwiński.”
-- MAYBE DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER? - SUGGESTION FROM ONE OF DŁUGOSZ'S INTERLOCUTORS: “His political future depends on how he handles this. Some in Civic Platform are certain that since he has returned, he will not make another mistake and cannot be easily distracted from his duties. – I am sure that once he has everything in order again, exposes his opponents and deals with them, he will start thinking about something bigger. Maybe Deputy Prime Minister? – wonders our interlocutor.”
https://www.newsweek.pl/polska/polityka/drugie-dno-powrotu-kierwinskiego-ta-robota-to-jest-mina-ale-nie-mogl-odmowic-kulisy/pvgeg4d
-- PARTY DEPLOYMENT TO TOTALIZATOR SPORTOWY. POLITICAL ACTIVISTS RECEIVED LUCRATIVE POSITIONS - MARCIN TERLIK AND SZYMON PIEZGA IN ONET: “A good example is Bartosz Piech, the new head of the regional branch of Totalizator Sportowy in Lublin. He is a long-time district councilor from Janów Lubelski and a well-known activist of the Polish People's Party in the region. Three years ago, he even ran for leadership of the party's provincial structures but lost to Krzysztof Hetman. – I don't think I got this position through political channels – Piech tells Onet when asked about his new job. – My nomination does not conflict with performing my duties as a councilor at all. The act on district self-government does not prohibit me from working in a State Treasury company in any way – he adds.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/partyjny-desant-na-totalizator-sportowy-oni-dostali-lukratywne-stanowiska/7nvq01b,79cfc278
-- HOŁOWNIA SEEKS AN ALIBI - RAFAŁ KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “In recent months, he has probably been waiting mainly for an offer from Donald Tusk, which, however, did not come and likely never will. Because in the face of falling ratings, the prospect of remaining Marshal of the Sejm until the end of the term would probably suit Hołownia the most. This would allow him to exit the presidential race in English, citing the need to focus on the duties of the "second person in the state." However, this would likely only be possible in a scenario with a common candidate for the entire ruling coalition, whom the departing Hołownia could safely support. The problem is that only Tusk could be such a candidate.”
-- CZARZASTY HAS NO INTENTION OF RESIGNING FROM THE PROMISED SEJM MARSHAL'S SEAT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE TERM - FURTHER FROM KALUKIN: “Partly due to his own ambitions, as he reportedly quite frankly announces his resignation from party leadership next year, which without a prestigious reward would be seen as a defeat. And partly in the interest of his formation, which suffers from the lack of a distinct national figure.”
-- RACING AGAINST MENTZEN IS ALREADY MAKING REAL SENSE - FURTHER FROM KALUKIN IN TYGODNIK POLITYKA: “...Hołownia would only have to change his personal settings a bit. But if you don't have the form for gold in the individual sprint, at least help win bronze in the relay.”
-- HOŁOWNIA WILL LIKELY HAVE TO DEFEND HIS CURRENT 8-9% FROM POLLS - CLAIMS KALUKIN: “As the classic says: he doesn't want to, but he has to. And this time without any mincing of words. Although his strengths in the presidential competition seem meager today. Repeating the result from five years ago will be very difficult; Hołownia will likely have to defend his current 8-9% from polls.”
https://www.polityka.pl/tygodnikpolityka/kraj/2271711,1,dylematy-szymona-hamleta-holowni-startowac-czy-nie-startowac-oto-jest-pytanie.read
-- WE HAVE PLENTY OF ŻABKA STORES OPEN ON SUNDAYS AND THE DECLINE OF NEIGHBORHOOD SHOPS. THIS IS ONE OF THE INCONSISTENCIES RESULTING FROM THE TRADING BAN - KLAUDIA JACHIRA IN A CONVERSATION WITH GRZEGORZ WYSOCKI IN GAZETA.PL: “What if someone works 12-14 hours and when they get home, all other shops are already closed? Where are they supposed to do any shopping? I often come back from the Sejm around 10-11 PM, and if I want to buy soup for dinner, the only option is Żabka. The huge proliferation of Żabka stores is also a consequence of this trading ban. And supposedly we have a trading ban, yet it turned out that we have many Żabka stores open on Sundays and neighborhood shops are declining. This is one of the inconsistencies resulting from the trading ban, but there are many more.”
-- SO YOU THINK FATHER SOWA IS IN FAVOR OF CLOSED SHOPS BECAUSE HE WANTS FULL CHURCHES? OF COURSE HE IS! - FRAGMENT OF THE CONVERSATION BETWEEN WYSOCKI AND JACHIRA: “Okay, but notice that a priest is saying this, a representative of a religious union. Is there any other union or organization that imposes its calendar on Poles, believers or not, as much as the Catholic Church? We have more church holidays than state holidays in Poland.
– So you think Father Sowa is in favor of closed shops because he wants full churches?
Of course he is! He represents a group that is totally interested in this.”
-- REGARDING THE BORDER, I REMAIN IN OPPOSITION TO THE CURRENT GOVERNMENT - FURTHER FROM JACHIRA TO WYSOCKI IN GAZETA.PL: “Yes, this is a tragedy and I assess it unequivocally negatively. I had a very sharp post on this topic, which cost me a lot, but I stand by it: on the issue of the border, I remain in opposition to the current government. And I voted against the law on the impunity of soldiers at the border as one of 17 people in the Sejm. A very bad law, criticized by lawyers, experts, and the Helsinki Foundation for Human Rights… Sorry, there will be no agreement from me on this. International norms and law have not changed, after all.”
-- THEY ARE ANNOYING - THEY ARE ANNOYING THEIR ELECTORATE - THEIR OWN AND THE ENTIRE COALITION ELECTORATE - FURTHER FROM JACHIRA ON PSL IN GAZETA.PL: “The PSL has miscalculated, they just don't know it yet. And most importantly, they are anoying – irritating their electorate – their own and the entire coalition electorate, because many voters voted for the entire 15X coalition. What the PSL is doing now is mega unfair and is a betrayal of the coalition.”
-- WE HAVE PEASANT ROOTS, WHERE NOTHING WAS OURS, SO I THINK WE STILL HAVE A GENETIC NEED TO HAVE THAT DEED OF OWNERSHIP - SAYS JACHIRA TO WYSOCKI: “We have peasant roots, where nothing was ours, so I think we still have a genetic need to have that deed of ownership, because only that guarantees us. Of course, we can try to change mentality, but as we well know, this process will take some time.”
-- CIVIC PLATFORM IS CENTROLEFT TODAY - CLAIMS JACHIRA: “Civic Platform is centrist-left today. Yes, there are individual people there who hold liberal values, but they are deeply hidden now. And if only this unfortunate PSL, since it is radicalizing its worldview, would do at least something for the good of the economy… But nothing like that is happening.”
https://wiadomosci.gazeta.pl/wiadomosci/7,114884,31291350,klaudia-jachira-wcale-nie-chce-zakazac-polakom-wolnych-weekendow.html
-- BIRTHDAYS: Karol Lutkowski, Jerzy Meysztowicz, Krystyna Danilecka-Wojewódzka, Karolina Wigura.
live
3 hours
57 min
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POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: Wielowieyska on Government-Palace Cooperation Amidst Mockery, Kalukin on the Shifting Roles of Tusk and Czarzasty
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yesterday
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