state of play: 08/01/2024
STATE OF PLAY: Miączyński on "Ozusowanie" Affecting ~1 Million, Leading to Significantly Lower Net Pay; Stefaniak in GW: A Poor Coalition Balance Sheet; Chrabota: Early Elections?
-- RENTS ARE RISING UNCONTROLLABLY AND THE BIGGEST PRICE HIKES ARE YET TO COME - MONEY.PL: “Apartment rents are rising rapidly. - There’s no end to the price increases in sight. It’s sheer madness,” concerned readers are writing to money.pl, reporting on hikes in their housing associations and cooperatives. Meanwhile, according to property managers, the biggest increase in fees is yet to come.”
https://www.money.pl/gospodarka/czynsze-rosna-bez-umiaru-istne-szalenstwo-7053329517828640a.html
-- A REVOLUTION IMPOSED BY THE GOVERNMENT IS LOOMING. FULL "OZUSOWANIE" (SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS) FOR MANDATE AND WORKS AGREEMENTS - PIOTR MIĄCZYŃSKI IN GW: “The start? From next year. Political support? Uncertain. The stake? Billions of zlotys for the budget. The matter concerns about a million people who will receive much less net pay than before. And no one is prepared for the change.”
-- THE PROJECT, WHICH HAS STILL NOT BEEN PUBLICLY REVEALED, GOES FURTHER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED - MIĄCZYŃSKI CONTINUES IN GW: “(...) it concerns the inclusion of all civil law contracts (including works agreements) under social security contributions. This means two things. Firstly, that the project (which has still not been publicly revealed) goes further than previously announced.”
-- A 28 PERCENT DECREASE IN NET WAGES FOR MANDATE CONTRACT HOLDERS - MIĄCZYŃSKI CONTINUES IN GW: "However, if the ordering party could not afford to increase costs, maintaining the mandate agreement while keeping costs at the current level would mean a 28 percent decrease in the net wage of the mandate contract holder," concludes Grant Thornton.”
https://wyborcza.biz/biznes/7,159911,31189081,szykuje-sie-rewolucja-narzucona-przez-rzad-pelne-ozusowanie.html
-- MAJOR FAILURE AT PKO BP. BILLIONS IN LOSSES ON ACCOUNTS - ONET:
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/awaria-w-pko-bp-miliardowe-straty-na-kontach/sf0fcxn,79cfc278
-- MAJOR FAILURE AT PKO BP. CUSTOMERS FURIOUS, SYSTEM SHOWING BILLIONS IN LOSSES - GAZETA.PL.
https://next.gazeta.pl/next/7,151003,31191673,wielka-awaria-w-pko-bp-klienci-wsciekli-system-pokazuje-miliardy.html
-- A POOR BALANCE SHEET FOR THE OCTOBER 15 COALITION - PIOTR STEFANIAK IN GW OPINIONS: “There are many unfulfilled promises by the coalition. Of course, it is not easy to reverse eight years of bad law in eight months (especially with a president still in office), but unfortunately, there is also no visible strong determination from the ruling party to do so. Moreover, in many areas, the original creators are continuing to "improve" the catastrophic decisions of the previous team. This is very bad. The current government was brought to power by an unprecedented mobilization of citizens. The same happened in 2007. We know how it ended.”
-- A WELL-DESERVED ONE-AND-A-HALF MONTH BREAK? - STEFANIAK CONTINUES IN GW: “At the end of July, parliamentarians concluded the sixteenth session of the Sejm and went on a one-and-a-half-month break. One can have justified doubts as to whether it was deserved. (...) Few professions offer so much time off. Apart from such a long summer break, parliamentary sessions usually only last a few days a month.”
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75968,31188162,kiepski-bilans-koalicji-15-pazdziernika.html
-- 80TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE WARSAW UPRISING OUTBREAK.
-- THAT DEFEAT TAUGHT US THAT IT IS NOT ENOUGH TO MEASURE STRENGTH BY INTENTIONS; IT TAUGHT US REALISM, PRUDENCE, AND THINKING IN TERMS OF THE COMMON GOOD. CARING FOR POLAND IS A DEBT WE MUST CONSTANTLY REPAY TO THE VICTIMS OF THAT UPRISING - ADAM MICHNIK IN GW.
-- IN OTHER WORDS: THE TRAGEDY OF THE UPRISING TAUGHT POLES THAT THEY SHOULD ALWAYS PERSISTENTLY SEEK COMPROMISE – WHEN POSSIBLE, BUT THEY CAN PAY WITH THEIR OWN LIVES FOR FREEDOM – WHEN NECESSARY - MICHNIK CONTINUES.
https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,31189785,chwala-zwyciezonym.html
-- TRZASKOWSKI: TODAY NO ONE DOUBTS THAT THE WARSAW UPRISING MADE SENSE - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2024/08/01
-- PIŚ WILL FRAME THE ISSUE AS FOLLOWS: CLOSING THE SYSTEM BY ELECTING THE RULING COALITION'S CANDIDATE AND PERSECUTION OF THE OPPOSITION, OR MAINTAINING PLURALISM - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Who knows, perhaps this will become the theme of next year's presidential campaign, in which PiS will frame the issue as follows: closing the system by electing the ruling coalition's candidate and persecution of the opposition, or maintaining political pluralism by electing a candidate supported by the right. In this way, the benefit that the coalition will now gain from taking money from PiS may turn into political fuel for the opposition in a few months.”
-- A LARGE CAMPAIGN TO SUPPORT THE PARTY MAY BECOME A POLITICAL VEHICLE FOR THE NEXT POLITICAL SEASON - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI CONTINUES: “PiS, in need of funds, will most likely turn directly to its voters for help. A large campaign to support the party may become a political vehicle for the next political season.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40900891-michal-szuldrzynski-pkw-odracza-najtrudniejsza-decyzje-w-historii
-- WILL THERE BE EARLY PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS? - BOGUSŁAW CHRABOTA IN RZ: “While awaiting the PKW's verdict on the financial settlements of political parties, a rumor about accelerated elections swept through Warsaw like a boomerang. They would be advantageous for Civic Platform and Donald Tusk, who, in the event of their candidate's success in the presidential election, could use them, and on the wave of success, try to get rid of inconvenient coalition partners.”
https://www.rp.pl/komentarze/art40896941-boguslaw-chrabota-czy-beda-wczesniejsze-wybory-parlamentarne
-- FOR DUDA, KACZYŃSKI, SZYDŁO, ŚWIRSKI, CZABAŃSKI, BABIARZ FELL FROM THE SKY - AGNIESZKA KUBLIK IN GW: “The situation where Duda, Kaczyński, Szydło, Świrski, or Czabański are fighting censorship and for journalistic independence is unbearably irritating. Do not torture us any longer with your false attachment to the constitution. You have torn it apart for too long to be believed.”
https://wyborcza.pl/magazyn/7,124059,31190427,gdyby-tvp-tylko-zawiesila-babiarza-to-pol-biedy-ale-zrobila.html
-- IN LAW AND JUSTICE, IT IS CLEARLY FELT THAT THE CURRENT ORDER IS STARTING TO TREMBLE AT ITS FOUNDATIONS - DOMINIKA DŁUGOSZ IN NEWSWEEK: “In Law and Justice, it is clearly felt that the current order is beginning to tremble at its foundations. Politicians who have been "used up" over the last eight years have little to offer the party grassroots, and are increasingly becoming a burden. But conversations indicate that until it becomes clear who the presidential candidate will be, factions will not engage in open warfare. If it were to be Morawiecki, one would have to position themselves completely differently than if it were to be someone weaker in party struggles.”
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/newsweek/to-juz-nie-ten-pis-co-dawniej-stary-uklad-sypie-sie-na-naszych-oczach/21d2h01,452ad802
-- ABW, CBA, AND CBŚP, ON THE ORDER OF THE REGIONAL PROSECUTOR'S OFFICE IN WARSAW, MADE ARRESTS YESTERDAY IN AN INVESTIGATION CONCERNING MISUSE AT THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT - ONET UNOFFICIALLY LEARNED - KAMIL DZIUBKA:
https://www.onet.pl/informacje/onetwiadomosci/akcja-sluzb-zatrzymania-w-sprawie-ncbir/hdqy4zv,79cfc278
-- 7TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE DEATH OF CARDINAL FRANCISZEK MACHARSKI.
-- BIRTHDAYS: Irena Wóycicka.
live
80 min
57 min
So-called Rule of Law Act Tomorrow Before the Government - Żurek Confirms
59 min
New Request for European Arrest Warrant Against Romanowski; Żurek Speaks Out
61 min
Opposition Notifications Regarding Żurek. Minister Comments: I Will Undergo All Procedures, I Will Not Flee to Budapest
74 min
Fuel for 5.19 PLN? Mentzen Responds to Tusk's Post
3 hours
„We Will Comply with the CJEU Ruling. A Team is Working and We Will Find a Solution,” — Kierwiński on Recognizing Same-Sex Marriages
3 hours
„Nearly 70,000 Verified Facilities” — Kierwiński Presents the gdziesieukryc.pl Application
6 hours
Bill on Courts Before the Government Before Christmas? Żurek Announces
6 hours
„More Harmful Ideas from Eurocrats and in a Few Years We'll Be Discussing a Referendum.” — Bosak on Growing Scepticism Towards the EU
6 hours
„It's Not the Happiest Timing.” — Żurek on the Court Session Regarding Ziobro
state of play
STATE OF PLAY: Chrabota: The leaders' relations depend on actual progress in exhumations, and Zełenski must monitor this; Danielewski: Konfederacja crumbled under pressure
state of play
today
STATE OF PLAY: Szefernaker: What significance does Jacek Kurski, a rank-and-file PiS member, have for Poles today? Żurek has boiled over and is about to explode, Wielowieyska: Complacency reigns in the political center
state of play
12/20/2025
GAME STATE: Pacewicz: Liberal politicians paved the way for treacherous betrayal of Ukraine, Szułdrzyński: Nawrocki quickly learns politics and shows shrewdness, Kublik: He remains the leader of the entire right-wing
state of play
12/19/2025
THE STATE OF PLAY: Prof. Nowak: The dream scenario - Tusk versus Braun and their allies, Prof. Marciniak: Braun is the only one consolidating the anti-system electorate. And that's the whole secret of his rise
state of play
12/18/2025
POLITICAL STANDING: PiS Gains in OGB Polls and Braun Nearly Overtakes Confederation, Morawiecki Seeks a Broad Right-Wing Tent à la Reagan, GW Warns of Resuming Tree Logging
state of play
12/17/2025
STATE OF PLAY: JACEK KURSKI - A KNOWN FIGURE, ALSO FOR TWEETS WITH 220 LIKES
state of play
12/16/2025