-- PRESIDENT DUDA ON NOT RESTING ON LAURELS, TRZASKOWSKI ON THE BUDGET SITUATION, BIEDROŃ ANNOUNCES FUSION WITH SLD - 300LIVE: https://300polityka.pl/live/2020/06/29/ -- JAROSŁAW KACZYŃSKI WAS AT JASNA GÓRA YESTERDAY - WP: As Wirtualna Polska has established, the leader of PiS, Jarosław Kaczyński, appeared at Jasna Góra in the Sanctuary of the Częstochowa Madonna on Sunday evening, as preliminary exit poll results were being announced. The information was confirmed to us by the spokesperson for Jasna Góra, Fr. Michał Legan. https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/wieczor-wyborczy-prezes-jaroslaw-kaczynski-pojechal-na-jasna-gore-6526652007102081a -- SENATE MARSHAL TOMASZ GRODZKI, PRIME MINISTER MATEUSZ MORAWIECKI, DEPUTY SENATE MARSHAL MICHAŁ KAMIŃSKI, DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER JADWIGA EMILEWICZ, HEAD OF THE CHANCELLERY OF THE PRIME MINISTER MICHAŁ DWORCZYK, FORMER COLLABORATORS OF PRIME MINISTER TUSK: IGOR OSTACHOWICZ AND SŁAWOMIR NOWAK WERE GUESTS AT 300POLITYKA'S ELECTION NIGHT EVENT YESTERDAY. -- RESULTS FROM 99.8% OF COMMISSIONS: Andrzej Duda – 43.67% Rafał Trzaskowski – 30.34% Szymon Hołownia – 13.85% Krzysztof Bosak – 6.75% Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz – 2.37% Robert Biedroń – 2.21% Turnout was 64.4%. -- THE WAR IS NOT OVER - SE's front page. -- THE END IS NEAR - Fakt's front page. -- CHARMS ABOUT TRZASKOWSKI EASILY WINNING HOŁOWNIA'S VOTERS WON'T HELP - PAWEŁ BRAVO IN TYGODNIK POWSZECHNY: “A twelve-point difference is a lot to make up, and no incantations that the Civic Platform candidate will easily attract Szymon Hołownia's voters, because the latter so ardently attacked Duda and PiS, or that the ultra-liberal segment of Krzysztof Bosak's electorate will vote for Trzaskowski against PiS "socialism," will help. Hołownia gained a significant portion (perhaps one-third) of voters who had not previously voted. He brought people out of their homes who were previously absent from political and polling radars. What will happen to them next – it's hard to predict.” -- THE LEAST VISIBLE AND RECOGNIZED VOTERS WILL THROW SEVERAL IMPORTANT CARDS ON THE TABLE FOR A NEW ROUND - BRAVO'S CONCLUSION: “'A colossus on clay feet' – Krzysztof Bosak said about his main competitors and announced on Sunday evening that 'we are in new, wide waters of political work.' Of course, there's a lot of exaggeration and preening in this – Bosak's grouping has moved beyond marginal folklore, but its support is still weak. And the colossus on clay feet rules at all levels of government, especially local government, and will continue to do so for at least the next three years. But if there is a new round in Polish politics soon, then undoubtedly these voters of Hołownia and Bosak, who have been least visible and recognized so far, will throw several important cards on the table in two weeks. Even if neither group would want to be mentioned alongside the other.” https://www.tygodnikpowszechny.pl/zdecyduja-ci-o-ktorych-wiadomo-najmniej-163849 -- DUDA IS LIKE ALICE IN WONDERLAND; HE WILL HAVE TO RUN VERY FAST TO STAY IN THE SAME PLACE - KAROLINA WIGURA IN FAKT: “First, the short-term perspective: the next two weeks. Whoever thinks they have seen everything in this campaign is mistaken. In 'Alice in Wonderland,' the titular heroine had to run very fast to stay in the same place. The same can now be said of the incumbent president. If he wants to maintain his lead over Rafał Trzaskowski, a long fight awaits him with no guarantee of a satisfactory outcome.” -- THE DUOPOLY IS DOING WELL; CITIZEN MOVEMENTS MUST STILL WAIT FOR THEIR 5 MINUTES - WIGURA CONTINUES: “Medium-term perspective. The results of the first round indicate that the PiS-PO duopoly is doing very well in our country. Although many people in Poland are critical of this political landscape that has persisted for 15 years, there is no doubt that this structure has proven to be very stable. Only the two largest political parties currently have the structures, finances, and competencies necessary to win elections of this type. The biggest losers of the first round are therefore the less powerful parties, primarily the Lewica coalition. Citizen movements like the one behind Szymon Hołownia must still wait for their 5 minutes.” -- FOR PROPONENTS OF LIBERAL DEMOCRACY, IT IS A LONG GUERRILLA WAR, SLOWLY OCCUPYING POSITIONS, RATHER THAN THE POSSIBILITY OF A BLITZKRIEG - WIGURA CONTINUES IN FAKT: “Long-term perspective. In 2015, populism won easily in Poland, on a wave of successive presidential and parliamentary elections. This happened largely to the complete surprise of not only PO but also PiS itself. All indications are that removing it from power will not happen so quickly. This is not only because in the eyes of many Poles, PiS has proven simply effective in implementing its social promises. It is also significant that after the last five years, there is no easy return to the time before Jarosław Kaczyński's grouping won. The fact that there are more directions for further change is indicated, for example, by the (preliminary) fourth place result of Krzysztof Bosak in the first round. Proponents of liberal democracy, therefore, are likely to face a prolonged guerrilla war, further explaining the significance of the dispute over the rule of law for Poland, painstakingly occupying successive positions, rather than the possibility of any spectacular Blitzkrieg.” https://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/wyniki-wyborow-komentuje-dr-karolina-wigura/ffv0n0l -- HIGH TURNOUT MEANS THE RESERVE OF NEW VOTERS IS SMALLER THAN EXPECTED: “High turnout means that the reserve of 'new' voters for the second round, whom one can try to win over, is smaller than could have been assumed. And everything is at stake. For the next two weeks, we will therefore have a very interesting situation: a brutal fight for the voters of other candidates, but conducted out of necessity by Duda and Trzaskowski outside their own circles. https://www.fakt.pl/wydarzenia/polityka/wybory-prezydenckie-komentuje-lukasz-warzecha/byxshsv -- NO ONE HAS EVER SUCCEEDED IN WHAT TRZASKOWSKI HOPES FOR - ANDRZEJ STANKIEWICZ ON ONET: “To become president, Rafał Trzaskowski must gain 20% support between the first and second rounds, which is several million new voters. No one has ever managed that.” -- STANKIEWICZ ON THE DIFFICULTLY CONCEALED MINOR MOODS IN CIVIC COALITION: “Similar results were shown by almost all polls in the days before the vote. So why the difficultly concealed minor moods in the Civic Coalition? It is because the unofficial results from early Sunday afternoon were significantly better for Trzaskowski – Duda was around 37-38%, and Trzaskowski 31-32%. With such results, he could – as he put it in his election night speech – 'go and fight for Poland.' With a 16 percentage point difference – as partial results from the National Electoral Commission indicate at this moment – it will be extremely difficult for him to fight.” -- THERE ARE NO OBVIOUS RESERVOIRS FOR DUDA - STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “In this situation, Duda is the favorite to win. But that doesn't mean it will be easy for him. Firstly, in the first round, he achieved a result similar to PiS in the autumn parliamentary elections (with similar turnout, exceeding 60%). Therefore, Duda has practically no room for growth in support within the PiS electorate; he must fish in foreign waters. And secondly, looking at the results of the other candidates, there are no obvious reservoirs of support that Duda could take over. In this situation, Duda is the favorite to win. But that doesn't mean it will be easy for him. Firstly, in the first round, he achieved a result similar to PiS in the autumn parliamentary elections (with similar turnout, exceeding 60%). Therefore, Duda has practically no room for growth in support within the PiS electorate; he must fish in foreign waters. And secondly, looking at the results of the other candidates, there are no obvious reservoirs of support that Duda could take over.” -- TRZASKOWSKI IS IN A MORE DIFFICULT POSITION - STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES ON ONET: “Trzaskowski is in a more difficult position. The mayor of the capital has so far benefited from the privilege of novelty. On the one hand, he gained from being fresh in the race. On the other hand, he has re-consolidated the liberal electorate, which previously did not believe in Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska and intended to vote for Szymon Hołownia or Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz.” -- HE MUST CONDUCT A COMPLETELY NEW CAMPAIGN; THE BELIEF IN DEMOBILIZING PIŚ VOTERS IS ILLUSORY - STANKIEWICZ ON TRZASKOWSKI'S SITUATION: “Now it's time for a real test for Trzaskowski as a politician. If he wants to win, he must conduct a new, completely different campaign. Only this will give him a chance to reach the electorates that will decide the presidency – the voters of Hołownia, the supporters of Bosak, and the undecided. There was no such idea visible on election night. After the results were announced, Trzaskowski spoke in a way that threatened voters with PiS rule – and it's been evident since 2015 that this doesn't work. Those who hate PiS are already with Trzaskowski; they don't need to be mobilized. On the other hand, Trzaskowski once again – as throughout the campaign – vowed that he would not reverse PiS's social transfers, such as 500 plus. Before the first round, this was a game calculated to demobilize the PiS electorate – it was in Trzaskowski's interest for them to stay home, calm. But the final result shows that it was all for naught. The PiS electorate dutifully went to the polls. And they will go again in two weeks, even if Trzaskowski promises to maintain 500 plus every day. The belief in demobilizing PiS supporters is illusory.” -- KOSINIAK'S POOR RESULT MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO BREAK UP THE UNITED RIGHT - STANKIEWICZ CONTINUES: “Both Bosak and Kosiniak-Kamysz will practically not lose anything from these results. Biedroń bore no risk, as he is not the leader of any formation – he likes it in Brussels. Kosiniak is also politically safe – there is no competitor for him in PSL today. But his result is a cold shower for those on the right who considered building a new political formation with PSL. It is unofficially known that, for example, former Deputy Prime Minister Jarosław Gowin was analyzing this. In this sense, it is another benefit for Kaczyński: Kosiniak's poor result makes it difficult to break up United Right and build a competitor to PiS.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2020/06/28/sawczuk-w-poniedzialek-zwyciestwo-dudy-i-trzaskowskiego-katastrofa-biedronia-i-kosiniaka-kamysza/ -- DUDA'S RESULT IS GOOD, BUT NOT FANTASTIC - MICHAŁ SZUŁDRZYŃSKI IN RZ: “Andrzej Duda's almost 42% is a good result, but not fantastic. The president cannot sleep soundly now, because anything can still happen in the second round. Considering the president's boastful announcements from election rallies that the elections should be decided in the first round, some of his voters may feel disappointed. These are the consequences of overplaying one's hand – victory then tastes worse. Duda must also draw conclusions from the fact that 58% of voters voted against him. Did they want to give him a yellow card, or perhaps a red one? Did they want to send him a warning signal, or tell him 'enough'? Whether he manages to build the support necessary to win in the second round in two weeks will depend on recognizing these sentiments.” -- TRZASKOWSKI'S TASK IS ACHIEVABLE, ALTHOUGH NOT MOST PROBABLE - SZUŁDRZYŃSKI: “Rafał Trzaskowski's result is acceptable. If he ultimately maintains a result of over 30%, he can be satisfied that he improved the Civic Coalition's result from the October elections. But if he seriously thinks about the presidency, he must undertake colossal work to mobilize new voters. Although the anti-PiS reservoir seems larger than Duda's hunting grounds, Trzaskowski would have to gather more than twice as many new voters in two weeks to win than his competitor. This is an achievable task, though not the most probable.” -- SZUŁDRZYŃSKI ON BOSAK'S BIGGEST GAIN: “He has become a very recognizable politician, civilized the radical right, and withstood campaign pressure. He confirmed that PiS has permanently grown a strong competitor on its right flank, which will keep President Jarosław Kaczyński awake at night, as he dislikes having anyone on his right.” https://www.rp.pl/Komentarze/200629333-Szuldrzynski-Prezydent-Duda-nie-moze-spac-spokojnie-Bosak-sie-zbudowal.html -- FOR A CANDIDATE WHO WAS SUPPOSED TO STORM AHEAD - THIS IS WEAK - JACEK KARNOWSKI: “Rafał Trzaskowski received less than Andrzej Duda did five years ago in the first round. He received as much as Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska did at her best. For a candidate who was supposedly storming ahead, who – as we heard – was convincing various social groups – this is weak.” -- WILL HOŁOWNIA'S VOTERS DEFINITELY GO IN THE SECOND ROUND? - KARNOWSKI CONTINUES: “Rafał Trzaskowski was largely stopped by Szymon Hołownia. The fact that he did not melt in the fire of polarization indicates that he established a fairly deep relationship with a significant group of voters. Now, likely through Rafał Trzaskowski, but will his voters certainly heed this call 100%? Will they go to the polls in the second round?” -- WHICH FLAG WILL CONFEDERACY CHOOSE? - KARNOWSKI CONTINUES: “Krzysztof Bosak can speak of a great success. Fourth place and a key role before the second round. But on the other hand – he probably expected a bit more too. Now the most important question: what will Confederacy choose before the second round? Which flag?” -- TRZASKOWSKI DID NOT SHINE, HE WAS STOPPED, DUDA WEATHERED THE ASSAULT - KARNOWSKI CONTINUES: “But it is Andrzej Duda who is closer to the presidency. Because Trzaskowski did not shine. He disappointed. He was stopped. And Andrzej Duda – in a very difficult situation, defending his achievements – defended a good starting position. He did not decide the battle, but he held the ranks, weathered the assault. Now he needs to find those missing percentages. However, there are significantly fewer of them than in Trzaskowski's case.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/506802-to-andrzej-duda-jest-blizej-prezydentury-niz-trzaskowski -- DOES THE CONFEDERACY ENVIRONMENT MISS BEATING AND PROVOCATIONS AT THE INDEPENDENCE MARCH? - MICHAŁ KARNOWSKI: “These circles understand the importance of freedom of speech and do not miss the monopoly from the PO era, the beating of demonstrations and provocations against the Independence March. These are voters who will not agree with the assertion that we do not need large airports in Poland because there are nice ones in Berlin. They would also prefer that the dubbler of Tusk does not return, that German companies do not drive us around the city, that millions of liters of sewage do not flow into the Vistula. This majority also has a good memory and remembers the times of mocking the poverty of children, because 'lots of sorrel and mirabelle plums' grow calmly by the ditches. This is where the majority is and the answer to the question of how to win the second round.” https://wpolityce.pl/polityka/506860-10-zdan-o-tym-jak-wygrac-ii-ture-i-gdzie-jest-wiekszosc -- DUDA IS PARADOXICALLY IN KOMOROWSKI'S SITUATION AS HE IS DEFENDING THE STATUS QUO - DOMINIKA WIELOWIEYSKA IN GW: “Currently, paradoxically, Duda is in the role of Komorowski – defending the existing order and expecting support from proponents of change – because that is the character, despite all differences, of Szymon Hołownia's and Krzysztof Bosak's voters. However, it is difficult to imagine that Hołownia's supporters would support the incumbent president, and it is unlikely that Bosak's electorate would support him. Confederacy has already announced that it will not support anyone, and for its young voters, Duda is a passé politician. Most likely, the incumbent president will try to do everything to discourage them from voting.” -- THE DEBATE WILL BE DECISIVE - WIELOWIEYSKA CONTINUES: “The presidential debate may be of decisive importance. So far, the pro-president TVP has dictated the terms of the game. Trzaskowski will likely be interested in a confrontation, and on neutral ground, where the questions will not be tailored for Duda. Presidential elections are, after all, elections of leaders and personalities. One of the conclusions from the first round is that most candidates present more interesting personalities than the current head of state.” https://wyborcza.pl/7,75398,26080373,duda-czy-trzaskowski-siedem-zadan-przed-ii-tura.html -- HOŁOWNIA CONFIRMS THE RULE OF AN INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE - JAROSŁAW KUISZ IN KL: “Szymon Hołownia's result (13.3 percent) shows that precisely in a PO-PiS duopoly situation, an independent candidate is always valued. Someone outside the system, outside the circle of professional politicians in Poland, can count on about one in ten votes. Hołownia confirms the rule.” -- NO FAIR PLAY, THIS IS A PRELUDE TO THE ATMOSPHERE OF THE NEXT 2 WEEKS - KUISZ'S CONCLUSION: “The great unknown – Krzysztof Bosak (7.4 percent). Nationalists, in the atmosphere created by PiS, not only feel like fish in water. They are growing, strengthening. Will their radicalism cause them to not vote for Duda? The incumbent president, immediately after the announcement of the preliminary results, began to speak warmly about Bosak. When Duda wanted to thank other candidates for the competition, especially Trzaskowski, disrespectful booing from the audience could be heard. No fair play! This is a preview of the election atmosphere for the coming two weeks.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2020/06/28/81859/ -- NOT TRZASKOWSKI'S BEST DECISION REGARDING ELECTION NIGHT, NATIONALIST SHOUTS FOR DUDA - EVERYONE IN THEIR ROLES - TOMASZ SAWCZUK IN KULTURA LIBERALNA: “According to IPSOS, Trzaskowski achieved a result of about 30.4 percent of the votes in the election, which is close to the pre-election poll indications. The candidate from the Civic Platform has a lot of work ahead of him before the second round, as he has not yet managed to clearly break through the 30 percent support. Moreover, as the campaign progressed, Trzaskowski stopped conducting a relatively flawless campaign. For example, the decision of the PO candidate's campaign team regarding the location for organizing election night was not the best. Trzaskowski organized a meeting next to a new, rather exclusive, private investment, Elektrownia Powiśle, in the center of Warsaw, while Duda met with voters in an amphitheater in Łowicz. The Civic Platform candidate unnecessarily positions himself as an "elite candidate." But Duda's voters also began to shout aggressive and nationalist slogans when Andrzej Duda, during his speech, referred to Rafał Trzaskowski to thank him for the competition. So, everyone in their traditional roles?” -- IF BOSAK'S VOTERS HAD HIS VIEWS, IT WOULD BE WORRYING, BUT THEY DON'T - SAWCZUK CONTINUES: “If all of Bosak's voters held views similar to the leaders of Konfederacja, many of whom refer to nationalist and fascist ways of thinking, such a result could be considered worrying. However, public opinion surveys show that his voters are a rather complex, heterogeneous group, which also includes people with radical free-market views. Hence, a significant portion of Bosak's voters may cast their vote for Rafał Trzaskowski in the second round or stay home. Rafał Trzaskowski has already winked at Konfederacja voters, declaring that 'when it comes to economic freedom, he largely shares the same views.'” -- POLARIZATION REMAINS THE MAIN PRINCIPLE OF OUR POLITICS - SAWCZUK'S CONCLUSION: “In any case, political polarization continues to be the main principle of our politics. In the 2019 parliamentary elections, PO and PiS received a total of 71 percent of the votes, and now Duda and Trzaskowski together received about 72 percent of the votes.” https://kulturaliberalna.pl/2020/06/28/sawczuk-w-poniedzialek-zwyciestwo-dudy-i-trzaskowskiego-katastrofa-biedronia-i-kosiniaka-kamysza/ -- WILL HOŁOWNIA HAVE ENOUGH PATIENCE TO MONETIZE HIS VOTERS' IMPATIENCE? - AGATON KOZIŃSKI IN WP: “The question is whether Hołownia will have enough patience to politically monetize this impatience. Because five years ago, it seemed that Paweł Kukiz had such an opportunity – but ultimately nothing came of it. We will see how Hołownia fares. It's harder for him than for Kukiz because the next elections are in three years, not a few months (as was the case in 2015). It won't be easy for Hołownia to maintain the mobilization of his supporters.” -- TRZASKOWSKI GAVE THE CIVIC PLATFORM A NEW LEASE OF LIFE - KOZIŃSKI CONTINUES: “With his dynamic campaign, Rafał Trzaskowski has given the party a new lease of life. And secured political agency for himself. Now everyone on the liberal opposition side will look to him. This is certainly a great success for a politician who, just a few years ago, was a widely unknown specialist on the European Union.” https://opinie.wp.pl/wyniki-wyborow-2020-kozinski-remis-ze-wskazaniem-andrzej-duda-odrobine-blizej-wygranej-opinia-6526453507943264a -- KATARYNA CLAIMS HOŁOWNIA IS THE REAL WINNER - as written in WP: “The real winner of the first round, however, is Szymon Hołownia, who, without party support, achieved a truly good result, becoming the 'custodian' of a naive but charming hope for breaking the partisan logic of Polish politics. He is probably also the only candidate who will truly gain something after this campaign – if he properly harnesses the enthusiasm of people who became involved in his campaign without any prospects of profit, it could be quite interesting. Because I see how much decent people of Hołownia have trusted, from many of my acquaintances.” https://opinie.wp.pl/wyniki-wyborow-2020-kataryna-prawdziwym-wygranym-pierwszej-tury-nie-jest-ani-duda-ani-trzaskowski-opinia-6526463802288992a -- PHOTO. Giorgione, Three Ages of Man, or the Education of the Young Marcus Aurelius, Galleria Palatina, Florence We know very little about Giorgione's life and work. He is one of the most enigmatic painters of the modern era. It is known that he was born in Castelfranco Veneto and was a student of Giovanni Bellini. He influenced other painters he met, including Titian and Sebastiano del Piombo. He died prematurely during a plague. He was one of the main representatives and creators of mature Renaissance Venetian painting, masterfully realizing its coloristic assumptions. A magnificent master of color and light. A representative of Venetian colorism, an observer of the momentary states of nature and the world. In his paintings, Giorgione realizes a new concept of representing nature's appearance, based on color, which his great successors, such as Titian, Veronese, or Tintoretto, would develop and supplement, without violating its general principles. It consisted in expressing all the most important features of the object's visual structure, i.e., the modeling of form and its placement in space and atmosphere, light and spatial depth, using a palette of colors of varying intensity and temperature. -- BIRTHDAYS: Piotr Mucharski, Katarzyna Matusik-Lipiec, Martyna Majchrzak, Piotr Wójcik.