Kantar Poll: Trzaskowski to Beat Duda in a Second Round 43% to 41%

17/06/2020

19:30

Michał Olech

Here are the results of the latest, June Kantar poll:

Andrzej Duda - 38%
Rafał Trzaskowski - 27%
Szymon Hołownia - 8%
Krzysztof Bosak - 6%
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz - 6%
Robert Biedroń - 4%
Marek Jakubiak - 0%
Stanisław Żółtek - 0%
Another candidate - 0%
Don't know/hard to say - 11%

Compared to the results from May, Rafał Trzaskowski saw the largest increase in support (by 9 percentage points). The percentage of supporters for Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz (by 3 percentage points) and Robert Biedroń (by 2 percentage points) also grew to a lesser extent.

In contrast to the May survey, Szymon Hołownia's ratings fell (by 7 percentage points), as did, to a lesser extent, Krzysztof Bosak (by 2 percentage points), Marek Jakubiak (by 2 percentage points), and Andrzej Duda (by 1 percentage point). The number of undecided individuals decreased (by 1 percentage point).

The Kantar poll indicates that if the current president were to face Rafał Trzaskowski in the second round of the presidential election, he would receive 41% of the votes, while the Civic Coalition candidate would get 43%. In this scenario of second-round candidates, 16% of voters would not know how to vote.

Furthermore, if Andrzej Duda and Szymon Hołownia were to compete in the second round, the results would be similar – 41% of voters would vote for the former, and Szymon Hołownia would receive 43%. 16% of respondents would not know whom to cast their vote for.

This is a regular Kantar survey, not commissioned by any political party. Survey period: June 5-10. Sample: A representative sample of 986 residents of Poland aged 18 and over (presidential preferences: N=748 individuals declaring "definitely" or "rather" their intention to participate in the election). Technique: Computer-assisted direct interviews (CAPI).

Michał Olech

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